Premier League Gameweek 32 Sun, Apr 12 2026 · 14:00 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Nottingham Forest
1–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.15 – 1.02
Aston Villa
  • N. Williams 38’
  • 23’ (OG) Murillo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa share the points

Nottingham Forest entered as narrow favourites, yet Aston Villa led 1–0 after 23 minutes through an own goal. But Williams scored to rescue a draw for Nottingham Forest. The chances were even, with xG of 1.15 and 1.02.

Nottingham Forest40%
Draw ✓27%
Aston Villa33%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
1
Model 1.45 · xG 1.15
Aston Villa goals
1
Model 1.30 · xG 1.02
Total goals
2
Model 2.75 · xG 2.17
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. WilliamsNottingham Forest · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeMichael Salisbury
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 16th · Aston Villa 4th

Timeline

  1. M. CashYellow card · Foul
    11’
  2. Murillo (own goal) 0–1
    23’
  3. N. Williams 1–1Assist C. Hudson-Odoi
    38’
  4. O. HutchinsonYellow card · Foul
    45’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. MurilloYellow card · Foul
    63’
  7. ⇄ C. WoodFor O. Hutchinson
    65’
  8. J. McGinnYellow card · Foul
    67’
  9. ⇄ Douglas LuizFor R. Barkley
    77’
  10. ⇄ I. MaatsenFor L. Digne
    78’
  11. ⇄ E. BuendíaFor M. Rogers
    78’
  12. ⇄ N. DomínguezFor M. Gibbs-White
    84’
  13. ⇄ T. AbrahamFor O. Watkins
    87’
  14. ⇄ R. YatesFor Igor Jesus
    89’
  15. ⇄ D. NdoyeFor T. Aina
    89’
  16. ⇄ Andrés GarcíaFor M. Cash
    90+1’
  17. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Nottingham Forest15 shots · 9 in box, 6 outside
Aston Villa12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
Nottingham ForestAston Villa
41% Possession 59%
1.15 Expected goals (xG) 1.02
1.45 Expected points (xPts) 1.25
15 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
6 Shots off target 7
5 Blocked shots 1
9 Shots inside the box 8
6 Shots outside the box 4
336 Passes 501
83% Pass accuracy 88%
7 Corners 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
15 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.95 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

267.5 M. Sels(G)
38.2★ N. Williams 55.9 Murillo 316.9 N. Milenković 347.6 T. Aina ↓89’
86.9 E. Anderson 66.6 I. Sangaré
77.7 C. Hudson-Odoi A 106.3 M. Gibbs-White ↓84’ 216.3 O. Hutchinson ↓65’
196.5 Igor Jesus ↓89’
  • 26M. Sels (G)7.5
  • 3N. Williams ★8.2
  • 5Murillo5.9
  • 31N. Milenković6.9
  • 34T. Aina↓89’7.6
  • 8E. Anderson6.9
  • 6I. Sangaré6.6
  • 7C. Hudson-OdoiA7.7
  • 10M. Gibbs-White↓84’6.3
  • 21O. Hutchinson↓65’6.3
  • 19Igor Jesus↓89’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 11C. Wood↑65’6.5
  • 22R. Yates↑89’
  • 16N. Domínguez↑84’6.3
  • 14D. Ndoye↑89’

Unused: S. Ortega, D. Bakwa, L. Netz, J. McAtee, Morato

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

406.2 M. Bizot(G)
126.7 L. Digne ↓78’ 146.9 Pau Torres 36.5 V. Lindelöf 26.5 M. Cash ↓90’
87.5 Y. Tielemans 247.0 A. Onana
276.3 M. Rogers ↓78’ 67.0 R. Barkley ↓77’ 77.2 J. McGinn
116.0 O. Watkins ↓87’
  • 40M. Bizot (G)6.2
  • 12L. Digne↓78’6.7
  • 14Pau Torres6.9
  • 3V. Lindelöf6.5
  • 2M. Cash↓90’6.5
  • 8Y. Tielemans7.5
  • 24A. Onana7.0
  • 27M. Rogers↓78’6.3
  • 6R. Barkley↓77’7.0
  • 7J. McGinn7.2
  • 11O. Watkins↓87’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 21Douglas Luiz↑77’6.9
  • 22I. Maatsen↑78’6.9
  • 18T. Abraham↑87’6.5
  • 10E. Buendía↑78’6.3
  • 16Andrés García↑90’

Unused: J. Wright, L. Bailey, L. Bogarde, E. Konsa

Player stats

Top rated
N. WilliamsNottingham Forest8.2
2nd
C. Hudson-OdoiNottingham Forest7.7
3rd
T. AinaNottingham Forest7.6

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Sels G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 76% 25 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
N. Williams D 90 1 0 3 (3) 2 79% 24 3 1 0/1 1/1 8.2
Murillo D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 82% 50 0 2 0/0 4/0 5.9
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 37 3 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
T. Aina D 89 0 0 0 (0) 2 79% 38 3 2 1/1 0/3 7.6
E. Anderson M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 43 1 1 1/1 2/1 6.9
I. Sangaré M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 82% 33 4 0 0/1 1/1 6.6
C. Hudson-Odoi F 90 0 1 0 (0) 5 87% 23 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.7
M. Gibbs-White M 84 0 0 2 (1) 0 81% 21 0 0 1/3 1/1 6.3
O. Hutchinson F 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 21 0 2 2/2 2/0 6.3
Igor Jesus F 89 0 0 2 (0) 1 57% 14 0 1 0/1 1/1 6.5
C. Wood F 25 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
R. Yates M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
N. Domínguez M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
D. Ndoye F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Bizot G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 78% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
L. Digne D 78 0 0 0 (0) 2 87% 39 4 1 0/0 1/0 6.7
Pau Torres D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 77 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.9
V. Lindelöf D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 94% 68 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
M. Cash D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 88% 43 0 2 0/0 1/1 6.5
Y. Tielemans M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 80% 45 3 1 0/1 0/2 7.5
A. Onana M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 93% 54 2 2 1/1 2/2 7.0
M. Rogers F 78 0 0 2 (0) 1 86% 35 2 1 1/4 1/1 6.3
R. Barkley M 77 0 0 1 (1) 0 92% 24 1 0 2/3 0/3 7.0
J. McGinn M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 92% 36 0 1 4/4 1/2 7.2
O. Watkins F 87 0 0 1 (0) 1 67% 15 1 0 1/2 1/1 6.0
Douglas Luiz M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 16 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
I. Maatsen D 12 0 0 1 (1) 0 80% 5 0 0 1/1 1/1 6.9
T. Abraham F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
E. Buendía M 12 0 0 0 (0) 2 100% 6 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
Andrés García D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.