Premier League Gameweek 38 Sun, May 24 2026 · 16:00 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Nottingham Forest
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.73 – 0.95
Bournemouth
  • M. Gibbs-White 34’
  • 54’ M. Tavernier
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth share the points

Bournemouth entered as narrow favourites, yet Nottingham Forest led 1–0 at half-time through a Gibbs-White goal. But Tavernier scored to rescue a draw for Bournemouth. Nottingham Forest finished with the higher xG (1.73 vs 0.95). On the chances created, Nottingham Forest deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Nottingham Forest33%
Draw ✓24%
Bournemouth44%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
1
Model 1.55 · xG 1.73
Bournemouth goals
1
Model 1.82 · xG 0.95
Total goals
2
Model 3.37 · xG 2.68
Score 1–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 66%
Both scored
Yes
Model 67%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. MilenkovićNottingham Forest
7.7
  • RefereeCraig Pawson
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 16th · Bournemouth 6th

Timeline

  1. J. HillYellow card · Foul
    33’
  2. M. Gibbs-White 1–0Assist O. Hutchinson
    34’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. M. Tavernier 1–1Assist A. Truffert
    54’
  5. ⇄ B. DoakFor A. Tóth
    57’
  6. ⇄ T. AwoniyiFor C. Wood
    62’
  7. ⇄ L. NetzFor Jair
    63’
  8. ⇄ R. YatesFor E. Anderson
    65’
  9. ⇄ N. DomínguezFor I. Sangaré
    65’
  10. T. AwoniyiYellow card · Foul
    66’
  11. ⇄ E. ÜnalFor Evanilson
    73’
  12. ⇄ J. KluivertFor E. Kroupi
    73’
  13. ⇄ A. AdliFor Rayan
    73’
  14. ⇄ J. McAteeFor O. Hutchinson
    78’
  15. ⇄ L. CookFor A. Smith
    90’
  16. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Nottingham Forest15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
Bournemouth17 shots · 6 in box, 11 outside
Nottingham ForestBournemouth
45% Possession 55%
1.73 Expected goals (xG) 0.95
1.91 Expected points (xPts) 0.85
15 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 6
5 Blocked shots 7
10 Shots inside the box 6
5 Shots outside the box 11
396 Passes 485
78% Pass accuracy 84%
6 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.81 Team rating 6.95

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 4-4-2

266.2 M. Sels(G)
36.3 N. Williams 47.3 Morato 317.7★ N. Milenković 235.6 Jair ↓63’
107.3 M. Gibbs-White 87.2 E. Anderson ↓65’ 66.7 I. Sangaré ↓65’ 217.2 O. Hutchinson A↓78’
116.5 C. Wood ↓62’ 196.7 Igor Jesus
  • 26M. Sels (G)6.2
  • 3N. Williams6.3
  • 4Morato7.3
  • 31N. Milenković ★7.7
  • 23Jair↓63’5.6
  • 10M. Gibbs-White7.3
  • 8E. Anderson↓65’7.2
  • 6I. Sangaré↓65’6.7
  • 21O. HutchinsonA↓78’7.2
  • 11C. Wood↓62’6.5
  • 19Igor Jesus6.7

Substitutes used

  • 9T. Awoniyi↑62’6.5
  • 22R. Yates↑65’7.0
  • 25L. Netz↑63’6.9
  • 24J. McAtee↑78’6.5
  • 16N. Domínguez↑65’6.5

Unused: S. Ortega, D. Ndoye, Z. Abbott, L. Sillah

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

16.6 Đ. Petrović(G)
37.7 A. Truffert A 57.7 M. Senesi 236.2 J. Hill 157.0 A. Smith ↓90’
127.2 T. Adams 276.7 A. Tóth ↓57’
167.7 M. Tavernier 226.2 E. Kroupi ↓73’ 376.7 Rayan ↓73’
96.9 Evanilson ↓73’
  • 1Đ. Petrović (G)6.6
  • 3A. TruffertA7.7
  • 5M. Senesi7.7
  • 23J. Hill6.2
  • 15A. Smith↓90’7.0
  • 12T. Adams7.2
  • 27A. Tóth↓57’6.7
  • 16M. Tavernier7.7
  • 22E. Kroupi↓73’6.2
  • 37Rayan↓73’6.7
  • 9Evanilson↓73’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 26E. Ünal↑73’6.2
  • 4L. Cook↑90’6.3
  • 19J. Kluivert↑73’6.7
  • 21A. Adli↑73’6.7
  • 11B. Doak↑57’6.3

Unused: C. Mandas, B. Diakité, D. Brooks

Player stats

Top rated
N. MilenkovićNottingham Forest7.7
2nd
A. TruffertBournemouth7.7
3rd
M. SenesiBournemouth7.7

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Sels G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 66% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
N. Williams D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 68% 34 2 2 1/2 1/0 6.3
Morato D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 28 1 1 0/0 1/0 7.3
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 78% 45 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.7
Jair D 63 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 23 0 1 1/1 0/0 5.6
M. Gibbs-White M 90 1 0 2 (1) 2 74% 34 0 0 2/4 1/1 7.3
E. Anderson M 65 0 0 1 (0) 2 91% 43 3 1 0/1 1/1 7.2
I. Sangaré M 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 36 0 4 0/1 3/0 6.7
O. Hutchinson F 78 0 1 0 (0) 3 81% 27 3 0 0/4 2/0 7.2
C. Wood F 62 0 0 2 (1) 1 75% 16 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
Igor Jesus F 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 81% 32 1 0 0/3 0/3 6.7
T. Awoniyi F 28 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 1 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.5
R. Yates M 25 0 0 1 (1) 0 71% 14 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
L. Netz D 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 10 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. McAtee M 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 43% 7 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
N. Domínguez M 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 14 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Bournemouth

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Đ. Petrović G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 82% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
A. Truffert D 90 0 1 0 (0) 3 87% 46 7 1 2/2 1/1 7.7
M. Senesi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 75 2 1 0/0 0/1 7.7
J. Hill D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 61 0 3 0/0 3/0 6.2
A. Smith D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 39 1 2 0/0 1/2 7.0
T. Adams M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 61 6 2 0/0 2/1 7.2
A. Tóth M 57 0 0 1 (0) 1 91% 32 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.7
M. Tavernier M 90 1 0 2 (1) 6 86% 56 1 2 2/3 0/0 7.7
E. Kroupi F 73 0 0 2 (1) 1 83% 36 0 1 1/3 0/1 6.2
Rayan F 73 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 17 0 2 2/5 0/0 6.7
Evanilson F 73 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 12 1 2 1/2 0/3 6.9
E. Ünal F 17 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.2
L. Cook M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Kluivert F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.7
A. Adli F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 2 1 0/1 0/0 6.7
B. Doak F 33 0 0 2 (1) 0 70% 10 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.