Premier League Gameweek 1 Sun, Aug 17 2025 · 14:00 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Nottingham Forest
3–1 Full time · HT 3–0 xG 1.83 – 1.49
Brentford
  • C. Wood 5’, 45’
  • D. Ndoye 42’
  • 78’ (P) Thiago
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nottingham Forest beat Brentford

Nottingham Forest entered as narrow favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Wood and Ndoye. Brentford replied through a Thiago goal. Nottingham Forest finished with the higher xG (1.83 vs 1.49). On the chances created, Brentford deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nottingham Forest ✓45%
Draw26%
Brentford29%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
3
Model 1.58 · xG 1.83
Brentford goals
1
Model 1.24 · xG 1.49
Total goals
4
Model 2.83 · xG 3.32
Score 3–1
5%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. WoodNottingham Forest · 2 goals
9.3
  • RefereePeter Bankes
  • VenueThe City Ground

Timeline

  1. C. Wood 1–0
    5’
  2. D. Ndoye 2–0Assist M. Gibbs-White
    42’
  3. C. Wood 3–0Assist E. Anderson
    45’
  4. Half time · 3–0
  5. ⇄ K. SchadeFor A. Milambo
    46’
  6. N. CollinsYellow card · Foul
    52’
  7. N. WilliamsYellow card · Foul
    53’
  8. ⇄ J. HendersonFor M. Jensen
    69’
  9. ⇄ O. OnyekaFor K. Lewis-Potter
    69’
  10. Thiago (pen) 3–1
    78’
  11. ⇄ Igor JesusFor C. Wood
    79’
  12. ⇄ Jota SilvaFor D. Ndoye
    79’
  13. ⇄ R. YatesFor M. Gibbs-White
    84’
  14. ⇄ A. HickeyFor R. Henry
    88’
  15. A. HickeyYellow card · Foul
    90’
  16. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Nottingham Forest11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
Brentford10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
Nottingham ForestBrentford
54% Possession 46%
1.83 Expected goals (xG) 1.49
1.60 Expected points (xPts) 1.17
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
4 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Shots inside the box 7
5 Shots outside the box 3
417 Passes 346
82% Pass accuracy 78%
5 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.13 Team rating 6.27

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

266.7 M. Sels(G)
36.6 N. Williams 57.2 Murillo 316.6 N. Milenković 347.3 T. Aina
87.3 E. Anderson A 66.3 I. Sangaré
77.2 C. Hudson-Odoi 106.9 M. Gibbs-White A↓84’ 147.5 D. Ndoye ↓79’
119.3★ C. Wood ↓79’
  • 26M. Sels (G)6.7
  • 3N. Williams6.6
  • 5Murillo7.2
  • 31N. Milenković6.6
  • 34T. Aina7.3
  • 8E. AndersonA7.3
  • 6I. Sangaré6.3
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi7.2
  • 10M. Gibbs-WhiteA↓84’6.9
  • 14D. Ndoye↓79’7.5
  • 11C. Wood ★↓79’9.3

Substitutes used

  • 22R. Yates↑84’7.0
  • 19Igor Jesus↑79’6.3
  • 20Jota Silva↑79’6.7

Unused: A. Gunn, T. Awoniyi, Jair, W. Boly, Morato, Z. Abbott

Brentford 4-2-3-1

16.2 C. Kelleher(G)
35.6 R. Henry ↓88’ 46.2 S. van den Berg 225.9 N. Collins 336.5 M. Kayode
86.3 M. Jensen ↓69’ 186.0 Y. Yarmoliuk
146.3 Fábio Carvalho 176.6 A. Milambo ↓46’ 236.5 K. Lewis-Potter ↓69’
96.9 Thiago
  • 1C. Kelleher (G)6.2
  • 3R. Henry↓88’5.6
  • 4S. van den Berg6.2
  • 22N. Collins5.9
  • 33M. Kayode6.5
  • 8M. Jensen↓69’6.3
  • 18Y. Yarmoliuk6.0
  • 14Fábio Carvalho6.3
  • 17A. Milambo↓46’6.6
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter↓69’6.5
  • 9Thiago6.9

Substitutes used

  • 6J. Henderson↑69’6.5
  • 15O. Onyeka↑69’6.2
  • 7K. Schade↑46’6.5
  • 2A. Hickey↑88’6.9

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, K. Ajer, M. Roerslev, M. Peart-Harris, B. Arthur

Player stats

Top rated
C. WoodNottingham Forest9.3
2nd
D. NdoyeNottingham Forest7.5
3rd
T. AinaNottingham Forest7.3

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Sels G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 63% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
N. Williams D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 85% 40 2 2 0/0 2/2 6.6
Murillo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 50 0 1 1/1 0/2 7.2
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 27 1 2 0/0 0/0 6.6
T. Aina D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 33 3 2 1/2 2/1 7.3
E. Anderson M 90 0 1 2 (1) 1 87% 76 2 1 0/2 0/2 7.3
I. Sangaré M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 84% 44 1 0 1/1 1/1 6.3
C. Hudson-Odoi F 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 94% 36 0 0 2/4 0/2 7.2
M. Gibbs-White M 84 0 1 2 (0) 3 80% 54 1 0 2/3 1/2 6.9
D. Ndoye F 79 1 0 1 (1) 0 64% 11 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.5
C. Wood F 79 2 0 2 (2) 0 75% 12 0 0 1/1 0/0 9.3
R. Yates M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 1 1/1 0/1 7.0
Igor Jesus F 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
Jota Silva F 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.7

Brentford

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
C. Kelleher G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 57% 30 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
R. Henry D 88 0 0 0 (0) 1 55% 29 1 1 3/3 0/0 5.6
S. van den Berg D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 89% 64 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
N. Collins D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 48 0 1 0/0 1/1 5.9
M. Kayode D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 37 2 1 2/2 1/0 6.5
M. Jensen M 69 0 0 1 (0) 2 84% 25 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Y. Yarmoliuk M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 77% 31 0 0 0/0 3/0 6.0
Fábio Carvalho M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 12 3 0 1/3 0/0 6.3
A. Milambo M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 11 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
K. Lewis-Potter F 69 0 0 2 (0) 0 69% 13 2 0 0/2 1/1 6.5
Thiago F 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 75% 16 1 0 1/1 3/0 6.9
J. Henderson M 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 15 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.5
O. Onyeka M 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/1 2/0 6.2
K. Schade M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 9 2 1 0/1 2/1 6.5
A. Hickey D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 1 0 0/0 1/2 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.