Premier League Gameweek 5 Sat, Sep 19 2026 · 17:30 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.10 – 0.67
  • 55’ J. Dasilva
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Dasilva goal decides it for Coventry

Nottingham Forest entered as clear favourites, but Coventry won 1–0 through a Dasilva goal. Coventry won despite the lower xG; Nottingham Forest created the better chances (1.10 vs 0.67). On the chances created, Nottingham Forest deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nottingham Forest62%
Draw21%
Coventry ✓17%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
0
Model 1.94 · xG 1.10
Coventry goals
1
Model 0.90 · xG 0.67
Total goals
1
Model 2.85 · xG 1.77
Score 0–1
5%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. PinnockCoventry
8.3
  • RefereeJarred Gillett
  • CoachesOliver Glasner · Frank Lampard
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 12th · Coventry 20th
  • Weather at kick-off20°C · Overcast · wind 18 km/h

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ L. TchaounaFor E. Mason-Clark
    46’
  3. J. Dasilva 0–1Assist C. Rushworth
    55’
  4. L. DelapYellow card · Argument
    59’
  5. ⇄ Igor JesusFor D. Ndoye
    59’
  6. ⇄ C. WoodFor O. Diomande
    73’
  7. ⇄ E. SimmsFor J. Rudoni
    74’
  8. ⇄ L. NetzFor D. Muñoz
    83’
  9. ⇄ I. SangaréFor J. McAtee
    83’
  10. VAR Igor JesusGoal cancelled
    88’
  11. ⇄ J. LatibeaudiereFor C. Yirenkyi
    90+1’
  12. JairYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  13. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Nottingham Forest24 shots · 12 in box, 12 outside
Coventry10 shots · 5 in box, 5 outside
Nottingham ForestCoventry
62% Possession 38%
1.10 Expected goals (xG) 0.67
1.69 Expected points (xPts) 0.99
24 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
9 Shots off target 6
12 Blocked shots 1
12 Shots inside the box 5
12 Shots outside the box 5
508 Passes 311
84% Pass accuracy 76%
6 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.92 Team rating 7.23

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

266.0 M. Sels(G)
57.7 Murillo 26.3 O. Diomande ↓73’ 236.7 Jair
37.2 N. Williams 217.3 X. Schlager 246.6 J. McAtee ↓83’ 276.7 D. Muñoz ↓83’
146.3 D. Ndoye ↓59’ 108.2 M. Gibbs-White
197.0 L. Delap
  • 26M. Sels (G)6.0
  • 5Murillo7.7
  • 2O. Diomande↓73’6.3
  • 23Jair6.7
  • 3N. Williams7.2
  • 21X. Schlager7.3
  • 24J. McAtee↓83’6.6
  • 27D. Muñoz↓83’6.7
  • 14D. Ndoye↓59’6.3
  • 10M. Gibbs-White8.2
  • 19L. Delap7.0

Substitutes used

  • 25L. Netz↑83’6.3
  • 6I. Sangaré↑83’6.6
  • 9C. Wood↑73’6.7
  • 11Igor Jesus↑59’6.5

Unused: John Victor, T. Aina, R. Yates, C. Hudson-Odoi, N. Domínguez

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Coventry 3-4-2-1

197.0 C. Rushworth(G) A
28.3★ E. Pinnock 48.2 B. Thomas 127.2 S. Mfuni
37.9 J. Dasilva 67.2 M. Grimes 166.7 O. Onyeka 86.7 C. Yirenkyi ↓90’
106.3 E. Mason-Clark ↓46’ 57.2 J. Rudoni ↓74’
236.9 S. Thomas-Asante
  • 19C. Rushworth (G)A7.0
  • 2E. Pinnock ★8.3
  • 4B. Thomas8.2
  • 12S. Mfuni7.2
  • 3J. Dasilva7.9
  • 6M. Grimes7.2
  • 16O. Onyeka6.7
  • 8C. Yirenkyi↓90’6.7
  • 10E. Mason-Clark↓46’6.3
  • 5J. Rudoni↓74’7.2
  • 23S. Thomas-Asante6.9

Substitutes used

  • 22J. Latibeaudiere↑90’
  • 9E. Simms↑74’6.7
  • 17L. Tchaouna↑46’6.3

Unused: D. Bentley, V. Torp, T. Sakamoto, G. Hamer, S. Chérif, G. Gboho

Coach: Frank Lampard

Player stats

Top rated
E. PinnockCoventry8.3
2nd
M. Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest8.2
3rd
B. ThomasCoventry8.2

Nottingham Forest

Coventry

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.