Premier League Gameweek 24 Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 14:00 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Nottingham Forest
1–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.49 – 1.90
Crystal Palace
  • M. Gibbs-White 5’
  • N. Williams 45’
  • 45’ (P) I. Sarr
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace share the points

Nottingham Forest entered as favourites and led 1–0 after 5 minutes through a Gibbs-White goal. But Sarr scored to rescue a draw for Crystal Palace. Nottingham Forest played with ten men from the 45th minute after Williams was sent off. Crystal Palace finished with the higher xG (1.90 vs 0.49). On the chances created, Crystal Palace deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Nottingham Forest52%
Draw ✓24%
Crystal Palace25%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
1
Model 1.86 · xG 0.49
Crystal Palace goals
1
Model 1.23 · xG 1.90
Total goals
2
Model 3.09 · xG 2.39
Score 1–1
11%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 60%
Both scored
Yes
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. AndersonNottingham Forest
8.2
  • RefereeTony Harrington
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 17th · Crystal Palace 15th

Timeline

  1. M. Gibbs-White 1–0
    5’
  2. Chris RichardsYellow card · Foul
    31’
  3. C. RiadYellow card · Foul
    32’
  4. N. WilliamsRed card · Professional handball
    45’
  5. I. Sarr (pen) 1–1
    45’
  6. ⇄ MoratoFor N. Domínguez
    45+3’
  7. Half time · 1–1
  8. ⇄ A. GunnFor M. Sels
    46’
  9. ⇄ R. YatesFor C. Hudson-Odoi
    46’
  10. Yeremy PinoYellow card · Argument
    54’
  11. ⇄ C. UcheFor C. Riad
    61’
  12. ⇄ D. NdoyeFor Igor Jesus
    70’
  13. N. MilenkovićYellow card · Time wasting
    75’
  14. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Nottingham Forest9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
Crystal Palace14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
Nottingham ForestCrystal Palace
33% Possession 67%
0.49 Expected goals (xG) 1.90
0.46 Expected points (xPts) 2.34
9 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 3
5 Shots off target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
6 Shots inside the box 9
3 Shots outside the box 5
282 Passes 575
73% Pass accuracy 85%
5 Corners 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
6.97 Team rating 6.58

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

266.3 M. Sels(G) ↓46’
35.9 N. Williams 57.3 Murillo 316.9 N. Milenković 347.5 T. Aina
88.2★ E. Anderson 66.7 I. Sangaré
166.6 N. Domínguez ↓45’ 107.2 M. Gibbs-White 76.5 C. Hudson-Odoi ↓46’
196.9 Igor Jesus ↓70’
  • 26M. Sels (G)↓46’6.3
  • 3N. Williams5.9
  • 5Murillo7.3
  • 31N. Milenković6.9
  • 34T. Aina7.5
  • 8E. Anderson ★8.2
  • 6I. Sangaré6.7
  • 16N. Domínguez↓45’6.6
  • 10M. Gibbs-White7.2
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi↓46’6.5
  • 19Igor Jesus↓70’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 18A. Gunn (G)↑46’6.3
  • 22R. Yates↑46’6.6
  • 14D. Ndoye↑70’6.7
  • 4Morato↑45’6.9

Unused: T. Awoniyi, J. McAtee, L. Lucca, O. Hutchinson, Z. Abbott

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

16.6 D. Henderson(G)
346.2 C. Riad ↓61’ 57.2 M. Lacroix 267.3 Chris Richards
36.5 T. Mitchell 86.6 J. Lerma 196.9 W. Hughes 26.5 D. Muñoz
116.0 B. Johnson 76.6 I. Sarr
106.0 Yeremy Pino
  • 1D. Henderson (G)6.6
  • 34C. Riad↓61’6.2
  • 5M. Lacroix7.2
  • 26Chris Richards7.3
  • 3T. Mitchell6.5
  • 8J. Lerma6.6
  • 19W. Hughes6.9
  • 2D. Muñoz6.5
  • 11B. Johnson6.0
  • 7I. Sarr6.6
  • 10Yeremy Pino6.0

Substitutes used

  • 12C. Uche↑61’6.2

Unused: W. Benítez, R. Matthews, N. Clyne, J. Canvot, K. Rodney, Z. Marsh

Player stats

Top rated
E. AndersonNottingham Forest8.2
2nd
T. AinaNottingham Forest7.5
3rd
MurilloNottingham Forest7.3

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Sels G 46 0 0 1 sv 0 67% 15 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
N. Williams D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 9 0 0 0/1 1/1 5.9
Murillo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 30 1 1 1/2 0/1 7.3
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 17 2 2 0/0 0/0 6.9
T. Aina D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 30 1 2 6/7 1/1 7.5
E. Anderson M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 88% 41 4 2 5/5 1/3 8.2
I. Sangaré M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 24 1 1 1/1 1/1 6.7
N. Domínguez M 45 0 0 0 (0) 0 64% 14 3 0 1/1 0/0 6.6
M. Gibbs-White M 90 1 0 2 (1) 3 58% 36 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
C. Hudson-Odoi F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 15 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.5
Igor Jesus F 70 0 0 1 (0) 0 40% 10 0 0 0/1 0/2 6.9
A. Gunn G 44 0 0 0 sv 0 32% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
R. Yates M 44 0 0 1 (0) 1 57% 7 1 2 0/1 0/1 6.6
D. Ndoye F 20 0 0 1 (0) 0 56% 9 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
Morato D 45 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9

Crystal Palace

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Henderson G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 88% 25 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
C. Riad D 61 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 65 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
M. Lacroix D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 98% 89 1 1 0/0 4/0 7.2
Chris Richards D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 73 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.3
T. Mitchell D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 46 3 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
J. Lerma M 90 0 0 2 (2) 1 85% 65 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.6
W. Hughes M 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 83% 60 2 0 0/1 1/1 6.9
D. Muñoz D 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 78% 50 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
B. Johnson F 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 69% 16 1 1 0/2 0/0 6.0
I. Sarr F 90 1 0 3 (1) 0 74% 19 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
Yeremy Pino M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 75% 61 2 0 0/2 2/1 6.0
C. Uche M 29 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.