Premier League Gameweek 19 Tue, Dec 30 2025 · 19:30 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
0–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.55 – 1.26
  • 19’ J. Garner
  • 79’ T. Barry
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Everton beat Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest entered as narrow favourites, but Everton won 2–0 through goals from Garner and Barry. The chances were even, with xG of 1.55 and 1.26. On the chances created, Nottingham Forest deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nottingham Forest44%
Draw26%
Everton ✓30%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
0
Model 1.56 · xG 1.55
Everton goals
2
Model 1.26 · xG 1.26
Total goals
2
Model 2.81 · xG 2.81
Score 0–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. GarnerEverton · 1 goal · 1 assist
9.7
  • RefereeMichael Oliver
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 17th · Everton 12th

Timeline

  1. J. Garner 0–1Assist D. McNeil
    19’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ Douglas LuizFor N. Domínguez
    46’
  4. Douglas LuizYellow card · Foul
    61’
  5. ⇄ T. AwoniyiFor Igor Jesus
    62’
  6. ⇄ J. GrealishFor N. Patterson
    72’
  7. ⇄ D. BakwaFor C. Hudson-Odoi
    75’
  8. T. Barry 0–2Assist J. Garner
    79’
  9. ⇄ BetoFor T. Barry
    85’
  10. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Nottingham Forest21 shots · 12 in box, 9 outside
Everton11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
Nottingham ForestEverton
70% Possession 30%
1.55 Expected goals (xG) 1.26
1.57 Expected points (xPts) 1.18
21 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
8 Shots off target 4
7 Blocked shots 4
12 Shots inside the box 7
9 Shots outside the box 4
665 Passes 301
90% Pass accuracy 74%
9 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.81 Team rating 7.48

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

135.9 John Victor(G)
356.5 O. Zinchenko 56.7 Murillo 317.9 N. Milenković 38.2 N. Williams
166.7 N. Domínguez ↓46’ 87.7 E. Anderson
76.6 C. Hudson-Odoi ↓75’ 105.6 M. Gibbs-White 216.9 O. Hutchinson
195.5 Igor Jesus ↓62’
  • 13John Victor (G)5.9
  • 35O. Zinchenko6.5
  • 5Murillo6.7
  • 31N. Milenković7.9
  • 3N. Williams8.2
  • 16N. Domínguez↓46’6.7
  • 8E. Anderson7.7
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi↓75’6.6
  • 10M. Gibbs-White5.6
  • 21O. Hutchinson6.9
  • 19Igor Jesus↓62’5.5

Substitutes used

  • 9T. Awoniyi↑62’6.7
  • 12Douglas Luiz↑46’7.2
  • 29D. Bakwa↑75’7.0

Unused: M. Sels, J. McAtee, A. Kalimuendo, Morato, N. Savona, Z. Abbott

Everton 4-2-3-1

18.3 J. Pickford(G)
167.2 V. Mykolenko 157.9 J. O'Brien 68.0 J. Tarkowski 27.0 N. Patterson ↓72’
379.7★ J. Garner A 426.9 T. Iroegbunam
76.7 D. McNeil A 346.9 M. Röhl 206.6 T. Dibling
117.3 T. Barry ↓85’
  • 1J. Pickford (G)8.3
  • 16V. Mykolenko7.2
  • 15J. O'Brien7.9
  • 6J. Tarkowski8.0
  • 2N. Patterson↓72’7.0
  • 37J. Garner ★A9.7
  • 42T. Iroegbunam6.9
  • 7D. McNeilA6.7
  • 34M. Röhl6.9
  • 20T. Dibling6.6
  • 11T. Barry↓85’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 18J. Grealish↑72’6.3
  • 9Beto↑85’6.3

Unused: T. King, M. Travers, R. Welch, Callum Bates, A. Aznou, E. Campbell, B. Graham

Player stats

Top rated
J. GarnerEverton9.7
2nd
J. PickfordEverton8.3
3rd
N. WilliamsNottingham Forest8.2

Nottingham Forest

Everton

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.