xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.
Everton beat Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest entered as narrow favourites, but Everton won 2–0 through goals from Garner and Barry. The chances were even, with xG of 1.55 and 1.26. On the chances created, Nottingham Forest deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.
Model vs reality
- Nottingham Forest goals
- 0 Model 1.56 · xG 1.55
- Everton goals
- 2 Model 1.26 · xG 1.26
- Total goals
- 2 Model 2.81 · xG 2.81
- Score 0–2
- 5% Most likely 1–1 (12%)
- Over 2.5
- No Model 53%
- Both scored
- No Model 57%
- RefereeMichael Oliver
- VenueThe City Ground
- Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 17th · Everton 12th
Timeline
-
J. Garner 0–1Assist D. McNeil19’
- Half time · 0–1
-
⇄ Douglas LuizFor N. Domínguez46’
-
Douglas LuizYellow card · Foul61’
-
⇄ T. AwoniyiFor Igor Jesus62’
-
⇄ J. GrealishFor N. Patterson72’
-
⇄ D. BakwaFor C. Hudson-Odoi75’
-
T. Barry 0–2Assist J. Garner79’
-
⇄ BetoFor T. Barry85’
- Full time · 0–2
Team stats
Line-ups
Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1
- 13John Victor (G)5.9
- 35O. Zinchenko6.5
- 5Murillo6.7
- 31N. Milenković7.9
- 3N. Williams8.2
- 16N. Domínguez6.7
- 8E. Anderson7.7
- 7C. Hudson-Odoi6.6
- 10M. Gibbs-White5.6
- 21O. Hutchinson6.9
- 19Igor Jesus5.5
Substitutes used
- 9T. Awoniyi6.7
- 12Douglas Luiz7.2
- 29D. Bakwa7.0
Unused: M. Sels, J. McAtee, A. Kalimuendo, Morato, N. Savona, Z. Abbott
Everton 4-2-3-1
- 1J. Pickford (G)8.3
- 16V. Mykolenko7.2
- 15J. O'Brien7.9
- 6J. Tarkowski8.0
- 2N. Patterson7.0
- 37J. Garner ★9.7
- 42T. Iroegbunam6.9
- 7D. McNeil6.7
- 34M. Röhl6.9
- 20T. Dibling6.6
- 11T. Barry7.3
Substitutes used
- 18J. Grealish6.3
- 9Beto6.3
Unused: T. King, M. Travers, R. Welch, Callum Bates, A. Aznou, E. Campbell, B. Graham
- On target faced
- 3
- Clean sheet
- No
- xG faced
- 1.26
- Prevented vs xG
- -0.74
- Passes
- 17 · 76%
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (1)
- Key passes
- 2
- Passes
- 65 · 86%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 1
- Passes
- 77 · 88%
- Tackles
- 3
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 2
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (2)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 68 · 91%
- Tackles
- 3
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (2)
- Shots (on target)
- 2 (2)
- Key passes
- 4
- Passes
- 74 · 89%
- Tackles
- 5
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 4
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (1)
- ↓46’ Replaced by Douglas Luiz
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 1
- Passes
- 26 · 92%
- Tackles
- 2
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 1
- Passes
- 123 · 91%
- Tackles
- 3
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 2 / 2
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (2)
- ↓75’ Replaced by D. Bakwa
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 39 · 95%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 4 / 4
- Fouls (drawn)
- 2 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 3 (1)
- Key passes
- 1
- Passes
- 58 · 93%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 1
- Fouls (drawn)
- 3 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 3
- Passes
- 55 · 93%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 5 / 7
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- ↓62’ Replaced by T. Awoniyi
- Shots (on target)
- 2 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 4 · 50%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
Unused substitute.
- ↑62’ Came on for Igor Jesus
- Shots (on target)
- 2 (1)
- Key passes
- 1
- Passes
- 6 · 100%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- ↑46’ Came on for N. Domínguez
- 61’ Yellow card · Foul
- Shots (on target)
- 2 (1)
- Key passes
- 1
- Passes
- 46 · 96%
- Tackles
- 3
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 2
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- ↑75’ Came on for C. Hudson-Odoi
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 7 · 71%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 2 / 3
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (1)
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
- On target faced
- 6
- Clean sheet
- Yes
- xG faced
- 1.55
- Prevented vs xG
- +1.55
- Passes
- 50 · 58%
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 33 · 70%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (1)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 29 · 90%
- Tackles
- 2
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 2 (1)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 32 · 84%
- Tackles
- 2
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (1)
- ↓72’ Replaced by J. Grealish
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 21 · 71%
- Tackles
- 3
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- 19’ Assist D. McNeil
- A79’ Assist for T. Barry
- Shots (on target)
- 4 (1)
- Key passes
- 3
- Passes
- 23 · 87%
- Tackles
- 3
- Interceptions
- 2
- Dribbles won
- 2 / 2
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (2)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 25 · 76%
- Tackles
- 5
- Interceptions
- 2
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 2
- Fouls (drawn)
- 2 (1)
- A19’ Assist for J. Garner
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 2
- Passes
- 21 · 67%
- Tackles
- 2
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 2 / 2
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 22 · 82%
- Tackles
- 4
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 3
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 23 · 78%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 3
- Dribbles won
- 3 / 5
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (2)
- 79’ Assist J. Garner
- ↓85’ Replaced by Beto
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (1)
- Key passes
- 1
- Passes
- 20 · 60%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 1
- Fouls (drawn)
- 4 (0)
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
- ↑72’ Came on for N. Patterson
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 2
- Passes
- 2 · 100%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (1)
- ↑85’ Came on for T. Barry
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 0 · —
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Player stats
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Min | G | A | Shots | KP | Pass | Tkl | Int | Drb | Fouls | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Victor G | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 sv | 0 | 76% 17 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 5.9 |
| O. Zinchenko D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 (1) | 2 | 86% 65 | 0 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 6.5 |
| Murillo D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 1 | 88% 77 | 3 | 1 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 6.7 |
| N. Milenković D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 91% 68 | 3 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 7.9 |
| N. Williams D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 (2) | 4 | 89% 74 | 5 | 1 | 1/4 | 0/1 | 8.2 |
| N. Domínguez M | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 1 | 92% 26 | 2 | 0 | 0/0 | 1/0 | 6.7 |
| E. Anderson M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 1 | 91% 123 | 3 | 1 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 7.7 |
| C. Hudson-Odoi F | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) | 0 | 95% 39 | 1 | 0 | 4/4 | 2/0 | 6.6 |
| M. Gibbs-White M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 (1) | 1 | 93% 58 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 3/0 | 5.6 |
| O. Hutchinson F | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 3 | 93% 55 | 0 | 0 | 5/7 | 1/0 | 6.9 |
| Igor Jesus F | 62 | 0 | 0 | 2 (0) | 0 | 50% 4 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 1/0 | 5.5 |
| T. Awoniyi F | 28 | 0 | 0 | 2 (1) | 1 | 100% 6 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 6.7 |
| Douglas Luiz M | 44 | 0 | 0 | 2 (1) | 1 | 96% 46 | 3 | 1 | 1/2 | 1/0 | 7.2 |
| D. Bakwa F | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) | 0 | 71% 7 | 1 | 0 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 7.0 |
Everton
| Player | Min | G | A | Shots | KP | Pass | Tkl | Int | Drb | Fouls | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pickford G | 90 | 0 | 0 | 6 sv | 0 | 58% 50 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 8.3 |
| V. Mykolenko D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 70% 33 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 7.2 |
| J. O'Brien D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 90% 29 | 2 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 7.9 |
| J. Tarkowski D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 (1) | 0 | 84% 32 | 2 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 8.0 |
| N. Patterson D | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 71% 21 | 3 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 7.0 |
| J. Garner M | 90 | 1 | 1 | 4 (1) | 3 | 87% 23 | 3 | 2 | 2/2 | 0/2 | 9.7 |
| T. Iroegbunam M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 76% 25 | 5 | 2 | 0/2 | 2/1 | 6.9 |
| D. McNeil F | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) | 2 | 67% 21 | 2 | 0 | 2/2 | 1/0 | 6.7 |
| M. Röhl M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 82% 22 | 4 | 0 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 6.9 |
| T. Dibling M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 78% 23 | 0 | 3 | 3/5 | 1/2 | 6.6 |
| T. Barry F | 85 | 1 | 0 | 1 (1) | 1 | 60% 20 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 4/0 | 7.3 |
| J. Grealish M | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 2 | 100% 2 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 6.3 |
| Beto F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | — 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 6.3 |
Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.
Nottingham Forest
Everton