UEFA Europa League Matchday 2 Thu, Oct 2 2025 · 20:00 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
2–3 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 1.92 – 2.10
  • D. Ndoye 22’
  • M. Gibbs-White 90+3’ (P)
  • 18’ O. Diao
  • 24’ M. Bech
  • 88’ V. Byskov
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FC Midtjylland beat Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest entered as favourites, but FC Midtjylland won 3–2 through goals from Diao, Bech and Byskov. Nottingham Forest replied through goals from Ndoye and Gibbs-White. The chances were even, with xG of 1.92 and 2.10. On the chances created, Nottingham Forest deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nottingham Forest56%
Draw23%
FC Midtjylland ✓20%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
2
Model 1.89 · xG 1.92
FC Midtjylland goals
3
Model 1.04 · xG 2.10
Total goals
5
Model 2.93 · xG 4.02
Score 2–3
2%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. NdoyeNottingham Forest · 1 goal
7.6
  • RefereeWilly Delajod
  • Coaches— · M. Tullberg
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 21st · FC Midtjylland 8th

Timeline

  1. MoratoYellow card · Roughing
    1’
  2. O. Diao 0–1Assist M. Bech
    18’
  3. D. Ndoye 1–1Assist M. Gibbs-White
    22’
  4. M. Bech 1–2Assist M. Erlić
    24’
  5. ⇄ N. SavonaFor Murillo
    28’
  6. Half time · 1–2
  7. M. MbabuYellow card · Roughing
    55’
  8. ⇄ D. OsorioFor D. Şimşir
    58’
  9. ⇄ H. LeeFor M. Mbabu
    66’
  10. ⇄ P. BravoFor D. Castillo
    66’
  11. ⇄ V. ByskovFor G. Cho
    66’
  12. Igor JesusYellow card · Tripping
    73’
  13. ⇄ C. WoodFor Igor Jesus
    75’
  14. M. Gibbs-WhiteYellow card · Tripping
    76’
  15. ⇄ F. Gluda DjúFor Júnior Brumado
    88’
  16. V. Byskov 1–3Assist D. Osorio
    88’
  17. M. Gibbs-White (pen) 2–3
    90+3’
  18. O. DiaoYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  19. Full time · 2–3

Team stats

Nottingham Forest22 shots · 13 in box, 9 outside
FC Midtjylland8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
Nottingham ForestFC Midtjylland
60% Possession 40%
1.92 Expected goals (xG) 2.10
1.29 Expected points (xPts) 1.50
22 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 5
7 Shots off target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
13 Shots inside the box 6
9 Shots outside the box 2
446 Passes 287
87% Pass accuracy 79%
10 Corners 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
14 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.74 Team rating 6.86

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 3-4-3

266.3 M. Sels(G)
56.2 Murillo ↓28’ 46.3 Morato 316.6 N. Milenković
36.3 N. Williams 67.2 I. Sangaré 87.2 E. Anderson 147.6★ D. Ndoye
77.2 C. Hudson-Odoi 196.6 Igor Jesus ↓75’ 106.3 M. Gibbs-White A
  • 26M. Sels (G)6.3
  • 5Murillo↓28’6.2
  • 4Morato6.3
  • 31N. Milenković6.6
  • 3N. Williams6.3
  • 6I. Sangaré7.2
  • 8E. Anderson7.2
  • 14D. Ndoye ★7.6
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi7.2
  • 19Igor Jesus↓75’6.6
  • 10M. Gibbs-WhiteA6.3

Substitutes used

  • 37N. Savona↑28’6.7
  • 11C. Wood↑75’6.6

Unused: John Victor, W. Boly, Z. Abbott, N. Domínguez, J. McAtee, R. Yates, D. Bakwa, A. Kalimuendo

FC Midtjylland 3-4-3

167.2 E. Ólafsson(G)
227.3 M. Bech A 66.3 M. Erlić A 47.3 O. Diao
557.0 V. Bak Jensen 87.2 P. Billing 216.3 D. Castillo ↓66’ 436.2 M. Mbabu ↓66’
586.6 D. Şimşir ↓58’ 106.5 G. Cho ↓66’ 747.0 Júnior Brumado ↓88’
  • 16E. Ólafsson (G)7.2
  • 22M. BechA7.3
  • 6M. ErlićA6.3
  • 4O. Diao7.3
  • 55V. Bak Jensen7.0
  • 8P. Billing7.2
  • 21D. Castillo↓66’6.3
  • 43M. Mbabu↓66’6.2
  • 58D. Şimşir↓58’6.6
  • 10G. Cho↓66’6.5
  • 74Júnior Brumado↓88’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 11D. OsorioA↑58’6.7
  • 3H. Lee↑66’6.7
  • 19P. Bravo↑66’6.7
  • 20V. Byskov↑66’7.5
  • 7F. Gluda Djú↑88’

Unused: J. Lössl, A. Gabriel, Paulinho, Dani Silva, E. Chilufya, M. Krüger-Johnsen, F. Etim

Coach: M. Tullberg

Player stats

Top rated
D. NdoyeNottingham Forest7.6
2nd
V. ByskovFC Midtjylland7.5
3rd
M. BechFC Midtjylland7.3

Nottingham Forest

FC Midtjylland

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.