UEFA Europa League Matchday 3 Thu, Oct 23 2025 · 20:00 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
2–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.00 – 0.53
  • M. Gibbs-White 19’ (P)
  • Igor Jesus 77’ (P)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nottingham Forest beat FC Porto

FC Porto entered as narrow favourites, but Nottingham Forest won 2–0 through goals from Gibbs-White and Jesus. Nottingham Forest finished with the higher xG (2.00 vs 0.53).

Nottingham Forest ✓34%
Draw26%
FC Porto40%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
2
Model 1.35 · xG 2.00
FC Porto goals
0
Model 1.49 · xG 0.53
Total goals
2
Model 2.84 · xG 2.53
Score 2–0
5%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. WilliamsNottingham Forest
8.0
  • RefereeRadu Marian Petrescu
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 26th · FC Porto 9th

Timeline

  1. M. Gibbs-White (pen) 1–0
    19’
  2. Francisco MouraYellow card · Roughing
    25’
  3. Igor JesusYellow card
    35’
  4. ⇄ N. SavonaFor O. Zinchenko
    45+1’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. VAR J. BednarekGoal Disallowed - offside
    52’
  7. ⇄ William GomesFor Borja Sainz
    58’
  8. ⇄ Gabri VeigaFor A. Varela
    58’
  9. ⇄ Martim FernandesFor Francisco Moura
    58’
  10. Igor Jesus (pen) 2–0
    77’
  11. ⇄ Z. SanusiFor Alberto Baio
    79’
  12. ⇄ Rodrigo MoraFor Pepê
    84’
  13. ⇄ R. YatesFor Douglas Luiz
    85’
  14. Gabri VeigaYellow card · Roughing
    89’
  15. MurilloYellow card · Roughing
    90’
  16. ⇄ I. SangaréFor E. Anderson
    90+3’
  17. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

Nottingham Forest8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
FC Porto9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
Nottingham ForestFC Porto
51% Possession 49%
2.00 Expected goals (xG) 0.53
2.36 Expected points (xPts) 0.45
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
2 Shots off target 1
3 Blocked shots 6
5 Shots inside the box 6
3 Shots outside the box 3
453 Passes 421
85% Pass accuracy 83%
3 Corners 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
13 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.13 Team rating 6.51

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

266.9 M. Sels(G)
356.7 O. Zinchenko ↓45’ 57.2 Murillo 317.3 N. Milenković 38.0★ N. Williams
127.2 Douglas Luiz ↓85’ 87.5 E. Anderson ↓90’
76.9 C. Hudson-Odoi 106.9 M. Gibbs-White 146.7 D. Ndoye
196.9 Igor Jesus
  • 26M. Sels (G)6.9
  • 35O. Zinchenko↓45’6.7
  • 5Murillo7.2
  • 31N. Milenković7.3
  • 3N. Williams ★8.0
  • 12Douglas Luiz↓85’7.2
  • 8E. Anderson↓90’7.5
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi6.9
  • 10M. Gibbs-White6.9
  • 14D. Ndoye6.7
  • 19Igor Jesus6.9

Substitutes used

  • 37N. Savona↑45’7.2
  • 6I. Sangaré↑90’
  • 22R. Yates↑85’6.5

Unused: John Victor, Keehan Willows, Morato, W. Boly, Z. Abbott, N. Domínguez, J. McAtee, A. Kalimuendo, Zyan Blake

FC Porto 4-3-3

996.2 Diogo Costa(G)
746.3 Francisco Moura ↓58’ 46.3 J. Kiwior 57.0 J. Bednarek 206.9 Alberto Baio ↓79’
136.3 P. Rosario 227.2 A. Varela ↓58’ 86.5 V. Froholdt
176.9 Borja Sainz ↓58’ 96.2 Samu Omorodion 116.5 Pepê ↓84’
  • 99Diogo Costa (G)6.2
  • 74Francisco Moura↓58’6.3
  • 4J. Kiwior6.3
  • 5J. Bednarek7.0
  • 20Alberto Baio↓79’6.9
  • 13P. Rosario6.3
  • 22A. Varela↓58’7.2
  • 8V. Froholdt6.5
  • 17Borja Sainz↓58’6.9
  • 9Samu Omorodion6.2
  • 11Pepê↓84’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 52Martim Fernandes↑58’6.2
  • 10Gabri Veiga↑58’6.3
  • 7William Gomes↑58’6.2
  • 12Z. Sanusi↑79’6.2
  • 86Rodrigo Mora↑84’6.3

Unused: Cláudio Ramos, Andorinha, D. Prpić, Gabriel Brás, S. Eustaquio, Ángel Alarcón, D. Gül

Player stats

Top rated
N. WilliamsNottingham Forest8.0
2nd
E. AndersonNottingham Forest7.5
3rd
N. MilenkovićNottingham Forest7.3

Nottingham Forest

FC Porto

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.