UEFA Europa League Knockout round play-offs Thu, Feb 26 2026 · 20:00 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
First leg3–0 1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.18 – 1.76
  • C. Hudson-Odoi 68’
  • 22’, 48’ (P) M. Aktürkoğlu
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Fenerbahce beat Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest entered as clear favourites, but Fenerbahce won 2–1 through two Aktürkoğlu goals. Nottingham Forest replied through a Hudson-Odoi goal. Fenerbahce finished with the higher xG (1.76 vs 1.18). On the chances created, Nottingham Forest deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nottingham Forest60%
Draw22%
Fenerbahce ✓18%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
1
Model 2.03 · xG 1.18
Fenerbahce goals
2
Model 1.02 · xG 1.76
Total goals
3
Model 3.05 · xG 2.94
Score 1–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. Hudson-OdoiNottingham Forest · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeMaurizio Mariani
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 1st · Fenerbahce 16th

Timeline

  1. M. Aktürkoğlu 0–1Assist S. Chérif
    22’
  2. L. LuccaYellow card · Foul
    40’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ Nélson SemedoFor D. Nene
    46’
  5. ⇄ C. Hudson-OdoiFor J. McAtee
    46’
  6. ⇄ T. AinaFor Murillo
    46’
  7. ⇄ Igor JesusFor L. Lucca
    46’
  8. ⇄ I. SangaréFor R. Yates
    46’
  9. M. Aktürkoğlu (pen) 0–2
    48’
  10. ⇄ Marco AsensioFor O. Aydın
    63’
  11. C. Hudson-Odoi 1–2Assist T. Aina
    68’
  12. ⇄ M. MercanFor A. Brown
    76’
  13. ⇄ Alaettin EkiciFor S. Chérif
    76’
  14. ⇄ M. Gibbs-WhiteFor N. Domínguez
    84’
  15. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Nottingham Forest13 shots · 8 in box, 5 outside
Fenerbahce11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
Nottingham ForestFenerbahce
53% Possession 47%
1.18 Expected goals (xG) 1.76
1.00 Expected points (xPts) 1.76
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
7 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 7
5 Shots outside the box 4
524 Passes 467
87% Pass accuracy 83%
5 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.70 Team rating 6.99

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

276.7 S. Ortega(G)
56.3 Murillo ↓46’ 47.5 Morato 236.2 Jair 36.6 N. Williams
86.3 E. Anderson 226.5 R. Yates ↓46’
216.9 O. Hutchinson 166.9 N. Domínguez ↓84’ 246.7 J. McAtee ↓46’
205.9 L. Lucca ↓46’
  • 27S. Ortega (G)6.7
  • 5Murillo↓46’6.3
  • 4Morato7.5
  • 23Jair6.2
  • 3N. Williams6.6
  • 8E. Anderson6.3
  • 22R. Yates↓46’6.5
  • 21O. Hutchinson6.9
  • 16N. Domínguez↓84’6.9
  • 24J. McAtee↓46’6.7
  • 20L. Lucca↓46’5.9

Substitutes used

  • 34T. AinaA↑46’6.9
  • 6I. Sangaré↑46’6.3
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi ★↑46’8.0
  • 19Igor Jesus↑46’6.7
  • 10M. Gibbs-White↑84’6.3

Unused: A. Gunn, Keehan Willows, N. Milenković, Z. Abbott, D. Ndoye, D. Bakwa

Fenerbahce 3-5-2

137.3 T. Çetin(G)
186.9 M. Müldür 67.7 M. Guendouzi 146.6 Y. Demir
37.0 A. Brown ↓76’ 56.6 İ. Yüksek 177.3 N. Kanté 706.6 O. Aydın ↓63’ 456.7 D. Nene ↓46’
98.0 M. Aktürkoğlu 266.7 S. Chérif A↓76’
  • 13T. Çetin (G)7.3
  • 18M. Müldür6.9
  • 6M. Guendouzi7.7
  • 14Y. Demir6.6
  • 3A. Brown↓76’7.0
  • 5İ. Yüksek6.6
  • 17N. Kanté7.3
  • 70O. Aydın↓63’6.6
  • 45D. Nene↓46’6.7
  • 9M. Aktürkoğlu8.0
  • 26S. ChérifA↓76’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 27Nélson Semedo↑46’6.3
  • 21Marco Asensio↑63’6.3
  • 22M. Mercan↑76’6.2
  • 54Alaettin Ekici↑76’6.2

Unused: E. Biterge, Hulusi Efe Ceylan, Kamil Efe Üregen

Player stats

Top rated
C. Hudson-OdoiNottingham Forest8.0
2nd
M. AktürkoğluFenerbahce8.0
3rd
M. GuendouziFenerbahce7.7

Nottingham Forest

Fenerbahce

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.