Premier League Gameweek 27 Sun, Feb 22 2026 · 14:00 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Nottingham Forest
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.19 – 1.73
Liverpool
  • 90’ A. Mac Allister
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Allister’s late goal settles it for Liverpool

Liverpool entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Allister goal. Liverpool finished with the higher xG (1.73 vs 1.19). On the chances created, Nottingham Forest deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nottingham Forest30%
Draw23%
Liverpool ✓47%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
0
Model 1.48 · xG 1.19
Liverpool goals
1
Model 1.88 · xG 1.73
Total goals
1
Model 3.35 · xG 2.92
Score 0–1
6%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 65%
Both scored
No
Model 66%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. SzoboszlaiLiverpool
7.7
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 17th · Liverpool 6th

Timeline

  1. M. Gibbs-WhiteYellow card
    20’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. T. AinaYellow card · Foul
    61’
  4. ⇄ D. BakwaFor O. Hutchinson
    66’
  5. ⇄ D. NdoyeFor C. Hudson-Odoi
    66’
  6. ⇄ N. DomínguezFor E. Anderson
    77’
  7. ⇄ L. LuccaFor Igor Jesus
    77’
  8. ⇄ F. ChiesaFor C. Gakpo
    77’
  9. ⇄ R. NgumohaFor Mohamed Salah
    77’
  10. ⇄ A. RobertsonFor M. Kerkez
    83’
  11. ⇄ J. GomezFor C. Jones
    83’
  12. A. Mac Allister 0–1
    90’
  13. VAR A. Mac AllisterGoal cancelled
    90+2’
  14. ⇄ J. McAteeFor M. Gibbs-White
    90+3’
  15. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Nottingham Forest18 shots · 7 in box, 11 outside
Liverpool10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
Nottingham ForestLiverpool
47% Possession 53%
1.19 Expected goals (xG) 1.73
1.03 Expected points (xPts) 1.74
18 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
8 Shots off target 2
8 Blocked shots 4
7 Shots inside the box 8
11 Shots outside the box 2
421 Passes 489
83% Pass accuracy 84%
7 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.87 Team rating 6.88

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

277.6 S. Ortega(G)
36.3 N. Williams 57.2 Murillo 316.9 N. Milenković 346.7 T. Aina
87.3 E. Anderson ↓77’ 67.0 I. Sangaré
77.3 C. Hudson-Odoi ↓66’ 106.9 M. Gibbs-White ↓90’ 216.3 O. Hutchinson ↓66’
196.3 Igor Jesus ↓77’
  • 27S. Ortega (G)7.6
  • 3N. Williams6.3
  • 5Murillo7.2
  • 31N. Milenković6.9
  • 34T. Aina6.7
  • 8E. Anderson↓77’7.3
  • 6I. Sangaré7.0
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi↓66’7.3
  • 10M. Gibbs-White↓90’6.9
  • 21O. Hutchinson↓66’6.3
  • 19Igor Jesus↓77’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 29D. Bakwa↑66’6.5
  • 24J. McAtee↑90’
  • 16N. Domínguez↑77’6.6
  • 20L. Lucca↑77’6.3
  • 14D. Ndoye↑66’6.6

Unused: A. Gunn, R. Yates, Jair, Morato

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

17.2 A. Becker(G)
66.9 M. Kerkez ↓83’ 47.3 V. van Dijk 57.3 I. Konaté 87.7★ D. Szoboszlai
106.9 A. Mac Allister 386.7 R. Gravenberch
187.0 C. Gakpo ↓77’ 175.9 C. Jones ↓83’ 116.3 Mohamed Salah ↓77’
226.3 H. Ekitiké
  • 1A. Becker (G)7.2
  • 6M. Kerkez↓83’6.9
  • 4V. van Dijk7.3
  • 5I. Konaté7.3
  • 8D. Szoboszlai ★7.7
  • 10A. Mac Allister6.9
  • 38R. Gravenberch6.7
  • 18C. Gakpo↓77’7.0
  • 17C. Jones↓83’5.9
  • 11Mohamed Salah↓77’6.3
  • 22H. Ekitiké6.3

Substitutes used

  • 14F. Chiesa↑77’6.5
  • 26A. Robertson↑83’6.9
  • 2J. Gomez↑83’6.9
  • 73R. Ngumoha↑77’7.2

Unused: F. Woodman, G. Mamardashvili, Kieran Morrison, C. Ramsay, T. Nyoni

Player stats

Top rated
D. SzoboszlaiLiverpool7.7
2nd
S. OrtegaNottingham Forest7.6
3rd
E. AndersonNottingham Forest7.3

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Ortega G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 70% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
N. Williams D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 82% 44 0 5 1/2 0/0 6.3
Murillo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 44 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 97% 29 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
T. Aina D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 37 1 1 1/2 2/1 6.7
E. Anderson M 77 0 0 2 (0) 2 83% 64 4 0 0/0 1/2 7.3
I. Sangaré M 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 84% 49 6 0 2/2 4/0 7.0
C. Hudson-Odoi F 66 0 0 1 (1) 2 87% 38 0 0 1/1 1/0 7.3
M. Gibbs-White M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 88% 25 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.9
O. Hutchinson F 66 0 0 1 (1) 0 73% 22 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
Igor Jesus F 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 15 0 0 1/1 2/3 6.3
D. Bakwa F 24 0 0 1 (0) 0 57% 7 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.5
J. McAtee M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
N. Domínguez M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 3 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
L. Lucca F 13 0 0 0 (0) 1 50% 6 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
D. Ndoye F 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6

Liverpool

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Becker G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 83% 41 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
M. Kerkez D 83 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 32 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.9
V. van Dijk D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 92% 74 0 1 0/0 1/0 7.3
I. Konaté D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 67 2 3 0/0 3/1 7.3
D. Szoboszlai M 90 0 0 0 (0) 5 87% 67 2 1 0/1 0/2 7.7
A. Mac Allister M 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 75% 36 3 0 1/2 2/2 6.9
R. Gravenberch M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 31 1 4 1/2 1/0 6.7
C. Gakpo F 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 65% 17 3 0 0/0 0/3 7.0
C. Jones M 83 0 0 1 (1) 0 92% 59 1 0 1/1 1/1 5.9
Mohamed Salah F 77 0 0 0 (0) 1 72% 39 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
H. Ekitiké F 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 80% 10 1 0 3/3 0/2 6.3
F. Chiesa F 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
A. Robertson D 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. Gomez D 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.9
R. Ngumoha F 13 0 0 0 (0) 1 50% 4 0 0 2/3 0/0 7.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.