Premier League Gameweek 10 Sat, Nov 1 2025 · 15:00 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Nottingham Forest
2–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.93 – 1.12
Manchester United
  • M. Gibbs-White 48’
  • N. Savona 50’
  • 34’ Casemiro
  • 81’ A. Diallo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nottingham Forest and Manchester United share the points

Manchester United led 1–0 at half-time through a Casemiro goal. But Gibbs-White and Savona scored to rescue a draw for Nottingham Forest. Nottingham Forest finished with the higher xG (1.93 vs 1.12). On the chances created, Nottingham Forest deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Nottingham Forest36%
Draw ✓26%
Manchester United38%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
2
Model 1.43 · xG 1.93
Manchester United goals
2
Model 1.50 · xG 1.12
Total goals
4
Model 2.93 · xG 3.05
Score 2–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchCasemiroManchester United · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeDarren England
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 18th · Manchester United 6th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ R. YatesFor Douglas Luiz
    14’
  2. Casemiro 0–1Assist Bruno Fernandes
    34’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. M. Gibbs-White 1–1Assist R. Yates
    48’
  5. N. Savona 2–1
    50’
  6. D. NdoyeYellow card · Foul
    62’
  7. ⇄ P. DorguFor Diogo Dalot
    68’
  8. ⇄ N. MazraouiFor L. Yoro
    77’
  9. ⇄ T. AwoniyiFor Igor Jesus
    78’
  10. A. Diallo 2–2
    81’
  11. N. MazraouiYellow card · Foul
    85’
  12. ⇄ I. SangaréFor C. Hudson-Odoi
    90+2’
  13. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Nottingham Forest17 shots · 11 in box, 6 outside
Manchester United18 shots · 8 in box, 10 outside
Nottingham ForestManchester United
41% Possession 59%
1.93 Expected goals (xG) 1.12
1.91 Expected points (xPts) 0.87
17 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 7
8 Shots off target 6
6 Blocked shots 5
11 Shots inside the box 8
6 Shots outside the box 10
350 Passes 525
75% Pass accuracy 84%
8 Corners 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
17 Fouls 0
2 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.85 Team rating 7.00

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

266.3 M. Sels(G)
36.9 N. Williams 57.2 Murillo 316.9 N. Milenković 377.5 N. Savona
86.9 E. Anderson 126.9 Douglas Luiz ↓14’
77.7 C. Hudson-Odoi ↓90’ 107.2 M. Gibbs-White 146.2 D. Ndoye
195.9 Igor Jesus ↓78’
  • 26M. Sels (G)6.3
  • 3N. Williams6.9
  • 5Murillo7.2
  • 31N. Milenković6.9
  • 37N. Savona7.5
  • 8E. Anderson6.9
  • 12Douglas Luiz↓14’6.9
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi↓90’7.7
  • 10M. Gibbs-White7.2
  • 14D. Ndoye6.2
  • 19Igor Jesus↓78’5.9

Substitutes used

  • 9T. Awoniyi↑78’6.3
  • 6I. Sangaré↑90’
  • 22R. YatesA↑14’6.6

Unused: John Victor, J. McAtee, Jair, A. Kalimuendo, Morato, O. Hutchinson

Manchester United 3-4-2-1

316.3 S. Lammens(G)
237.7 L. Shaw 46.9 M. de Ligt 156.9 L. Yoro ↓77’
26.2 Diogo Dalot ↓68’ 87.2 Bruno Fernandes A 188.0★ Casemiro 167.6 A. Diallo
107.7 Matheus Cunha 196.6 B. Mbeumo
305.9 B. Šeško
  • 31S. Lammens (G)6.3
  • 23L. Shaw7.7
  • 4M. de Ligt6.9
  • 15L. Yoro↓77’6.9
  • 2Diogo Dalot↓68’6.2
  • 8Bruno FernandesA7.2
  • 18Casemiro ★8.0
  • 16A. Diallo7.6
  • 10Matheus Cunha7.7
  • 19B. Mbeumo6.6
  • 30B. Šeško5.9

Substitutes used

  • 3N. Mazraoui↑77’6.7
  • 13P. Dorgu↑68’6.5

Unused: A. Bayındır, J. Maguire, Mason Mount, J. Zirkzee, K. Mainoo, M. Ugarte, A. Heaven

Player stats

Top rated
CasemiroManchester United8.0
2nd
C. Hudson-OdoiNottingham Forest7.7
3rd
L. ShawManchester United7.7

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Sels G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 29% 31 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
N. Williams D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 24 4 1 0/1 0/0 6.9
Murillo D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 28 2 6 0/0 0/0 7.2
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 81% 37 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
N. Savona D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 76% 29 4 0 0/0 1/0 7.5
E. Anderson M 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 75% 63 1 1 2/2 2/3 6.9
Douglas Luiz M 14 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 8 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.9
C. Hudson-Odoi F 90 0 0 3 (0) 4 90% 20 2 0 2/3 1/0 7.7
M. Gibbs-White M 90 1 0 1 (1) 2 66% 35 0 1 1/1 0/0 7.2
D. Ndoye F 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 91% 22 3 1 0/1 3/1 6.2
Igor Jesus F 78 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 12 0 0 0/2 1/1 5.9
T. Awoniyi F 12 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
I. Sangaré M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
R. Yates M 76 0 1 0 (0) 1 86% 37 1 1 0/0 2/1 6.6

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Lammens G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 63% 38 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
L. Shaw D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 74 2 0 1/1 1/1 7.7
M. de Ligt D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 47 1 2 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Yoro D 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 52 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Diogo Dalot D 68 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 24 1 2 0/2 1/1 6.2
Bruno Fernandes M 90 0 1 1 (0) 4 88% 75 0 2 0/0 0/2 7.2
Casemiro M 90 1 0 2 (1) 3 83% 63 3 1 1/1 3/0 8.0
A. Diallo F 90 1 0 4 (3) 1 82% 44 1 0 0/2 0/1 7.6
Matheus Cunha F 90 0 0 1 (1) 4 92% 36 1 1 3/5 1/5 7.7
B. Mbeumo M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 83% 41 0 1 2/5 1/0 6.6
B. Šeško F 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 69% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
N. Mazraoui D 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 11 0 1 1/2 0/0 6.7
P. Dorgu D 22 0 0 2 (1) 0 86% 7 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.