Premier League Gameweek 36 Sun, May 10 2026 · 14:00 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.10 – 1.48
  • E. Anderson 88’
  • 74’ H. Barnes
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nottingham Forest snatch a late draw

Nottingham Forest entered as narrow favourites, yet Newcastle led 1–0 after 74 minutes through a Barnes goal. But Anderson scored to rescue a draw for Nottingham Forest. Newcastle finished with the higher xG (1.48 vs 1.10).

Nottingham Forest44%
Draw ✓23%
Newcastle33%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
1
Model 1.84 · xG 1.10
Newcastle goals
1
Model 1.57 · xG 1.48
Total goals
2
Model 3.41 · xG 2.58
Score 1–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 66%
Both scored
Yes
Model 67%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. AndersonNottingham Forest · 1 goal
7.6
  • RefereePaul Tierney
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 16th · Newcastle 13th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ R. YatesFor N. Domínguez
    46’
  3. Igor JesusYellow card · Foul
    49’
  4. R. YatesYellow card · Foul
    54’
  5. ⇄ J. RamseyFor N. Woltemade
    61’
  6. ⇄ H. BarnesFor J. Murphy
    61’
  7. ⇄ O. HutchinsonFor D. Bakwa
    64’
  8. ⇄ Y. WissaFor W. Osula
    71’
  9. ⇄ C. WoodFor T. Awoniyi
    73’
  10. H. Barnes 0–1Assist J. Ramsey
    74’
  11. ⇄ J. McAteeFor L. Netz
    83’
  12. ⇄ L. LuccaFor Igor Jesus
    83’
  13. E. Anderson 1–1Assist J. McAtee
    88’
  14. ⇄ K. TrippierFor Bruno Guimarães
    90+5’
  15. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Nottingham Forest17 shots · 11 in box, 6 outside
Newcastle16 shots · 7 in box, 9 outside
Nottingham ForestNewcastle
46% Possession 54%
1.10 Expected goals (xG) 1.48
1.10 Expected points (xPts) 1.64
17 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 6
5 Shots off target 6
6 Blocked shots 4
11 Shots inside the box 7
6 Shots outside the box 9
421 Passes 495
81% Pass accuracy 85%
2 Corners 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
16 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.86 Team rating 6.88

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

266.9 M. Sels(G)
46.9 Morato 236.6 Jair 316.7 N. Milenković
257.3 L. Netz ↓83’ 87.6★ E. Anderson 166.7 N. Domínguez ↓46’ 36.9 N. Williams
196.5 Igor Jesus ↓83’ 296.9 D. Bakwa ↓64’
96.5 T. Awoniyi ↓73’
  • 26M. Sels (G)6.9
  • 4Morato6.9
  • 23Jair6.6
  • 31N. Milenković6.7
  • 25L. Netz↓83’7.3
  • 8E. Anderson ★7.6
  • 16N. Domínguez↓46’6.7
  • 3N. Williams6.9
  • 19Igor Jesus↓83’6.5
  • 29D. Bakwa↓64’6.9
  • 9T. Awoniyi↓73’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 11C. Wood↑73’6.2
  • 22R. Yates↑46’6.7
  • 24J. McAteeA↑83’6.9
  • 20L. Lucca↑83’6.5
  • 21O. Hutchinson↑64’7.0

Unused: S. Ortega, E. da Silva Moreira, Archie Whitehall, Jimmy Sinclair

Newcastle 4-2-3-1

16.5 N. Pope(G)
336.3 D. Burn 47.5 S. Botman 127.2 M. Thiaw 37.5 L. Hall
397.3 Bruno Guimarães ↓90’ 86.9 S. Tonali
76.9 Joelinton 276.6 N. Woltemade ↓61’ 236.2 J. Murphy ↓61’
186.2 W. Osula ↓71’
  • 1N. Pope (G)6.5
  • 33D. Burn6.3
  • 4S. Botman7.5
  • 12M. Thiaw7.2
  • 3L. Hall7.5
  • 39Bruno Guimarães↓90’7.3
  • 8S. Tonali6.9
  • 7Joelinton6.9
  • 27N. Woltemade↓61’6.6
  • 23J. Murphy↓61’6.2
  • 18W. Osula↓71’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 2K. Trippier↑90’
  • 9Y. Wissa↑71’6.5
  • 41J. RamseyA↑61’7.0
  • 11H. Barnes↑61’7.3

Unused: A. Ramsdale, J. Willock, A. Gordon, A. Elanga, A. Murphy

Player stats

Top rated
E. AndersonNottingham Forest7.6
2nd
S. BotmanNewcastle7.5
3rd
L. HallNewcastle7.5

Nottingham Forest

Newcastle

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.