Osasuna vs Levante – 24 Aug 2026

La Liga Gameweek 2 Mon, Aug 24 · 18:30 Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea

Osasuna

0–0Full time

Levante 19th · 0 pts · 1 played L

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Osasuna were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Osasuna had 92.9 days of rest, Levante 8 and had to travel 386 km. Weather to note: warm.

Away travel386 kmRest days92.9 · 8Matches / 14d0 · 1

Osasuna46%

Draw25%

Levante29%

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.18

Osasuna46%

Draw25%

Levante29%

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.16

Osasuna46%

Draw25%

Levante29%

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.17

Osasuna38%

Draw26%

Levante36%

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.32

Osasuna46%

Draw25%

Levante29%

Expected goals 1.57 – 1.21

Over 2.5 51% Both score 54% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Iruñea)

30°COvercast

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 16 km/h
Humidity 21%

Warm

Referee · SpainVictor Garcia Verdura

Cards per match 3.8
Penalties per match 0.21
Matches 42

Team strength

Osasuna

Levante

49 L90 StrengthIn forecast 46

46 Current StrengthIn forecast 48

50 AttackIn forecast 55

50 DefenceIn forecast 41

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Osasuna

Attack—

Defense risk—

Levante

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Osasuna

Levante

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.60

1.24 xGVia Att/Def 1.48

1.06 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.22

-0.14 Goals minus xGContext -0.18

80% Scored inContext 70%

10% Clean sheetsContext 40%

12.90 ShotsContext 13.40

5.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.78

42% On target shareContext 32%

9.00 Shots in the boxContext 7.80

66% Box shareContext 58%

9% ConversionContext 10%

2.60 OffsidesContext 1.00

11.00 Shots allowedContext 11.80

4.44 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.78

3.00 BlocksContext 2.88

2.89 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.11

65% Save rateContext 65%

51% PossessionIn forecast 46%

404 PassesContext 365

332 Accurate passesContext 299

82% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.72 Team ratingContext 6.75

13.50 FoulsContext 10.70

11.40 Fouls sufferedContext 13.40

2.30 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Osasuna

Rest92.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Levante L

Rest8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel386 km590 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 39 · 0 pts vs 1.2 for an average club · -1.3 vs expected

L16 AugA · Espanyol0–31.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Osasuna	Levante
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	92.9La Liga 2025-2026, 23 May	8La Liga 2026-2027, 16 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	386 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	590 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	3	4.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Osasuna Confirmed XI

4-4-2

1Sergio Herrera(G)

23Abel Bretones 5Jorge Herrando 24Catena 27Íñigo Arguibide

16Moi Gómez 8Iker Muñoz 7Moncayola 14Rubén García

10Aimar Oroz 17A. Budimir

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Levante Confirmed XI

4-1-4-1

13M. Ryan(G)

23Manu Sánchez 2A. Mandi 4Adrián de la Fuente 29Nacho Pérez

20Oriol Rey

24T. Fernandez 8Jon Ander Olasagasti 18E. Bardeli 7Roger Brugué

9Iván Romero

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Osasuna Absences are shown before kick-off

Levante Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Osasuna-0.1 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Levante+0.1 pp

Home / Away this season

Osasuna · Home No home games yet this season.

Levante · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

3 Osasuna wins1 draws2 Levante wins

Goals per game1.50 – 1.17 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 17%

8 May 2026Levante3–2Osasuna
8 Dec 2025Osasuna2–0Levante
19 Mar 2022Osasuna3–1Levante
5 Dec 2021Levante0–0Osasuna
14 Feb 2021Levante0–1Osasuna
27 Sep 2020Osasuna1–3Levante

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Osasuna	Levante	Forecast
Scored per game	—	0.00
Conceded per game	—	3.00
Match goals	—	3.00	2.72
Over 1.5	—	100%
Over 2.5	—	100%	51%
Over 3.5	—	0%
Both teams scored	—	0%	54%
Clean sheets	—	0%
Failed to score	—	100%
Games	0	1

	Osasuna	Levante	Forecast
Scored per game	1.10	1.30
Conceded per game	1.50	1.60
Match goals	2.60	2.90	2.72
Over 1.5	70%	80%
Over 2.5	60%	50%	51%
Over 3.5	20%	30%
Both teams scored	70%	40%	54%
Clean sheets	10%	40%
Failed to score	20%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Osasuna	Levante	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	9.08
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	0.00
Opponent cards	—	3.00
Match total	—	3.00	5.42
Over 3.5	—	0% 0/1
Over 4.5	—	0% 0/1

	Osasuna	Levante	League
Corners
Corners won	4.30	5.78
Corners conceded	5.10	4.78
Match total	9.40	10.56	9.08
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	44% 4/9
Over 10.5	20% 2/10	33% 3/9
Cards
Cards	2.50	2.10
Opponent cards	2.50	2.30
Match total	5.00	4.40	5.42
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Victor Garcia Verdura Spain · 42 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.57league 5.00

Red cards0.24league 0.29

Cards 5+38%league 64%

Fouls25.2league 27.9

Penalties0.21league 0.50

Home wins38%league 43%

Osasuna3 with this referee

Record0-0-3 Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.7 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds1

L21 Apr 26A · Athletic Club0–12
L28 Sep 25A · Real Betis0–21
L5 May 24H · Real Betis0–23

Levante1 with this referee

Record0-1-0 Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

D31 Jan 26H · Atletico Madrid0–02

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.