La Liga Gameweek 25 Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 17:30 Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea
Osasuna
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.05 – 1.69
Real Madrid
  • A. Budimir 38’ (P)
  • Raúl García 90’
  • 73’ Vinícius
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

García’s late goal settles it for Osasuna

Real Madrid entered as favourites, but Osasuna won 2–1 through goals from Budimir and García. Real Madrid replied through a Vinícius goal. Osasuna finished with the higher xG (2.05 vs 1.69). On the chances created, Real Madrid deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Osasuna ✓19%
Draw24%
Real Madrid57%

Model vs reality

Osasuna goals
2
Model 0.94 · xG 2.05
Real Madrid goals
1
Model 1.81 · xG 1.69
Total goals
3
Model 2.74 · xG 3.74
Score 2–1
5%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRaúl GarcíaOsasuna · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeAlejandro Quintero Gonzalez
  • CoachesA. Lisci · —
  • VenueEstadio El Sadar
  • Table before kick-offOsasuna 10th · Real Madrid 1st

Timeline

  1. Aimar OrozYellow card
    32’
  2. T. CourtoisYellow card · Roughing
    37’
  3. A. Budimir (pen) 1–0
    38’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ Brahim DíazFor E. Camavinga
    64’
  6. ⇄ T. Alexander-ArnoldFor Dani Carvajal
    64’
  7. MoncayolaYellow card · Holding
    66’
  8. ⇄ Abel BretonesFor Rubén García
    66’
  9. ⇄ Raúl GarcíaFor A. Budimir
    67’
  10. ⇄ Iker MuñozFor Aimar Oroz
    71’
  11. Vinícius 1–1Assist F. Valverde
    73’
  12. ⇄ Gonzalo GarcíaFor F. Valverde
    75’
  13. ⇄ Dani CeballosFor A. Güler
    82’
  14. ⇄ Íñigo ArguibideFor V. Rosier
    83’
  15. ⇄ Raúl MoroFor Moncayola
    83’
  16. T. Alexander-ArnoldYellow card · Tripping
    84’
  17. ViníciusYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    88’
  18. Raúl García 2–1Assist Raúl Moro
    90’
  19. D. AlabaYellow card · Foul
    90+3’
  20. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Osasuna13 shots · 11 in box, 2 outside
Real Madrid15 shots · 7 in box, 8 outside
OsasunaReal Madrid
39% Possession 61%
2.05 Expected goals (xG) 1.69
1.61 Expected points (xPts) 1.18
13 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
6 Shots off target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
11 Shots inside the box 7
2 Shots outside the box 8
348 Passes 565
83% Pass accuracy 90%
2 Corners 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
19 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.97 Team rating 6.75

Line-ups

Osasuna 4-2-3-1

17.3 Sergio Herrera(G)
207.2 Javi Galán 56.9 Jorge Herrando 246.6 Catena 196.7 V. Rosier ↓83’
66.9 Lucas Torró 76.7 Moncayola ↓83’
217.7 Víctor Muñoz 106.0 Aimar Oroz ↓71’ 147.3 Rubén García ↓66’
177.5 A. Budimir ↓67’
  • 1Sergio Herrera (G)7.3
  • 20Javi Galán7.2
  • 5Jorge Herrando6.9
  • 24Catena6.6
  • 19V. Rosier↓83’6.7
  • 6Lucas Torró6.9
  • 7Moncayola↓83’6.7
  • 21Víctor Muñoz7.7
  • 10Aimar Oroz↓71’6.0
  • 14Rubén García↓66’7.3
  • 17A. Budimir↓67’7.5

Substitutes used

  • 23Abel Bretones↑66’6.0
  • 41Íñigo Arguibide↑83’6.5
  • 18Raúl MoroA↑83’7.0
  • 8Iker Muñoz↑71’6.3
  • 9Raúl García ★↑67’8.0

Unused: Aitor Fernández, D. Stamatakis, Juan Cruz, Asier Osambela, Moi Gómez, Kike Barja

Coach: A. Lisci

Real Madrid 4-4-2

15.2 T. Courtois(G)
186.3 Álvaro Fernández 47.2 D. Alaba 176.2 Raúl Asencio 26.6 Dani Carvajal ↓64’
67.3 E. Camavinga ↓64’ 147.3 A. Tchouaméni 157.0 A. Güler ↓82’ 87.9 F. Valverde A↓75’
77.6 Vinícius 106.3 K. Mbappé
  • 1T. Courtois (G)5.2
  • 18Álvaro Fernández6.3
  • 4D. Alaba7.2
  • 17Raúl Asencio6.2
  • 2Dani Carvajal↓64’6.6
  • 6E. Camavinga↓64’7.3
  • 14A. Tchouaméni7.3
  • 15A. Güler↓82’7.0
  • 8F. ValverdeA↓75’7.9
  • 7Vinícius7.6
  • 10K. Mbappé6.3

Substitutes used

  • 12T. Alexander-Arnold↑64’6.0
  • 21Brahim Díaz↑64’6.6
  • 19Dani Ceballos↑82’5.9
  • 16Gonzalo García↑75’6.7

Unused: A. Lunin, Sergio Mestre, F. Mendy, A. Rüdiger, Fran García, Thiago Pitarch, Franco Mastantuono

Player stats

Top rated
Raúl GarcíaOsasuna8.0
2nd
F. ValverdeReal Madrid7.9
3rd
Víctor MuñozOsasuna7.7

Osasuna

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Sergio Herrera G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 69% 16 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Javi Galán D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 47 1 1 2/2 3/0 7.2
Jorge Herrando D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 28 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
Catena D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 34 0 2 1/1 1/1 6.6
V. Rosier D 83 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 33 2 3 1/2 2/0 6.7
Lucas Torró M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 42 2 1 0/1 2/0 6.9
Moncayola M 83 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 34 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
Víctor Muñoz F 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 84% 19 0 0 4/5 3/2 7.7
Aimar Oroz M 71 0 0 1 (0) 3 79% 34 0 1 0/2 3/2 6.0
Rubén García M 66 0 0 0 (0) 2 82% 28 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
A. Budimir F 67 1 0 4 (1) 0 100% 9 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.5
Abel Bretones M 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.0
Íñigo Arguibide F 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
Raúl Moro F 7 0 1 0 (0) 1 40% 5 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.0
Iker Muñoz M 19 0 0 1 (0) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
Raúl García F 23 1 0 1 (1) 0 100% 7 1 1 1/3 0/1 8.0

Real Madrid

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
T. Courtois G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 79% 24 0 0 0/0 1/0 5.2
Álvaro Fernández D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 92% 59 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
D. Alaba D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 93% 67 3 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
Raúl Asencio D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 94% 65 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
Dani Carvajal D 64 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 40 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.6
E. Camavinga M 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 48 3 1 0/0 2/0 7.3
A. Tchouaméni M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 87% 53 1 3 0/0 0/2 7.3
A. Güler M 82 0 0 1 (0) 1 93% 55 1 0 0/0 0/2 7.0
F. Valverde M 75 0 1 1 (0) 1 93% 43 0 1 0/1 1/2 7.9
Vinícius F 90 1 0 3 (2) 2 85% 39 0 0 1/2 2/5 7.6
K. Mbappé F 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 78% 36 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
T. Alexander-Arnold D 26 0 0 1 (0) 1 89% 9 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.0
Brahim Díaz M 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 19 0 0 0/0 0/3 6.6
Dani Ceballos M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 1 0/0 0/0 5.9
Gonzalo García F 15 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.