La Liga Gameweek 26 Sat, Feb 28 2026 · 20:00 Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
Oviedo
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.12 – 0.51
Atletico Madrid
  • 90+4’ J. Alvarez
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Alvarez’s late goal settles it for Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Alvarez goal. Atletico Madrid won despite the lower xG; Oviedo created the better chances (1.12 vs 0.51). On the chances created, Oviedo deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Oviedo19%
Draw24%
Atletico Madrid ✓58%

Model vs reality

Oviedo goals
0
Model 0.97 · xG 1.12
Atletico Madrid goals
1
Model 1.85 · xG 0.51
Total goals
1
Model 2.82 · xG 1.63
Score 0–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. OblakAtletico Madrid
8.3
  • RefereeCesar Soto Grado
  • CoachesGuillermo Almada Alves Jorge · —
  • VenueEstadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
  • Table before kick-offOviedo 20th · Atletico Madrid 4th

Timeline

  1. Nacho VidalYellow card · Roughing
    42’
  2. R. Le NormandYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    45’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ J. AlvarezFor A. Lookman
    46’
  5. ⇄ KokeFor Rodrigo Mendoza
    61’
  6. ⇄ G. SimeoneFor A. Sørloth
    61’
  7. ⇄ A. GriezmannFor J. Cardoso
    61’
  8. ⇄ S. ColombattoFor N. Fonseca
    65’
  9. Javi LópezYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    71’
  10. N. MolinaYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    71’
  11. ⇄ Marcos LlorenteFor T. Almada
    71’
  12. ⇄ T. FernandezFor H. Hassan
    72’
  13. ⇄ L. IlićFor I. Chaira
    72’
  14. ⇄ Lucas AhijadoFor Nacho Vidal
    80’
  15. ⇄ Santi CazorlaFor Alberto Reina
    80’
  16. J. Alvarez 0–1
    90+4’
  17. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Oviedo16 shots · 11 in box, 5 outside
Atletico Madrid11 shots · 4 in box, 7 outside
OviedoAtletico Madrid
39% Possession 61%
1.12 Expected goals (xG) 0.51
1.85 Expected points (xPts) 0.83
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 1
8 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
11 Shots inside the box 4
5 Shots outside the box 7
358 Passes 583
77% Pass accuracy 86%
8 Corners 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
12 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.95 Team rating 6.81

Line-ups

Oviedo 4-2-3-1

136.9 Aarón Escandell(G)
257.2 Javi López 167.0 David Carmo 127.2 Dani Calvo 226.9 Nacho Vidal ↓80’
237.2 N. Fonseca ↓65’ 67.2 Kwasi Sibo
76.9 I. Chaira ↓72’ 56.3 Alberto Reina ↓80’ 106.9 H. Hassan ↓72’
96.9 Federico Viñas
  • 13Aarón Escandell (G)6.9
  • 25Javi López7.2
  • 16David Carmo7.0
  • 12Dani Calvo7.2
  • 22Nacho Vidal↓80’6.9
  • 23N. Fonseca↓65’7.2
  • 6Kwasi Sibo7.2
  • 7I. Chaira↓72’6.9
  • 5Alberto Reina↓80’6.3
  • 10H. Hassan↓72’6.9
  • 9Federico Viñas6.9

Substitutes used

  • 24Lucas Ahijado↑80’6.7
  • 11S. Colombatto↑65’6.9
  • 21L. Ilić↑72’6.6
  • 15T. Fernandez↑72’6.6
  • 8Santi Cazorla↑80’6.9

Unused: H. Moldovan, Abdel Rahim, Diego Espinosa, Pablo Agudín, L. Dendoncker, T. Borbas, Álex Forés

Coach: Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge

Atletico Madrid 4-4-2

138.3★ J. Oblak(G)
346.6 Julio Díaz 246.9 R. Le Normand 27.0 J. Giménez 166.9 N. Molina
106.5 Álex Baena 56.9 J. Cardoso ↓61’ 46.7 Rodrigo Mendoza ↓61’ 116.6 T. Almada ↓71’
226.2 A. Lookman ↓46’ 96.2 A. Sørloth ↓61’
  • 13J. Oblak (G) ★8.3
  • 34Julio Díaz6.6
  • 24R. Le Normand6.9
  • 2J. Giménez7.0
  • 16N. Molina6.9
  • 10Álex Baena6.5
  • 5J. Cardoso↓61’6.9
  • 4Rodrigo Mendoza↓61’6.7
  • 11T. Almada↓71’6.6
  • 22A. Lookman↓46’6.2
  • 9A. Sørloth↓61’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 14Marcos Llorente↑71’6.6
  • 6Koke↑61’6.6
  • 20G. Simeone↑61’6.5
  • 7A. Griezmann↑61’6.3
  • 19J. Alvarez↑46’6.6

Unused: J. Musso, Mario de Luis, C. Lenglet, D. Hancko, Marc Pubill, M. Ruggeri, O. Vargas

Player stats

Top rated
J. OblakAtletico Madrid8.3
2nd
Javi LópezOviedo7.2
3rd
Dani CalvoOviedo7.2

Oviedo

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Aarón Escandell G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 75% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Javi López D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 25 3 2 2/3 0/1 7.2
David Carmo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 43 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
Dani Calvo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 42 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.2
Nacho Vidal D 80 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 28 1 1 2/2 2/1 6.9
N. Fonseca M 65 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 28 4 2 0/0 2/0 7.2
Kwasi Sibo M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 73% 33 6 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
I. Chaira F 72 0 0 2 (1) 3 89% 19 3 0 1/4 2/0 6.9
Alberto Reina M 80 0 0 1 (1) 2 82% 34 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
H. Hassan F 72 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 11 2 2 2/5 3/0 6.9
Federico Viñas F 90 0 0 8 (3) 0 31% 16 1 2 1/1 2/3 6.9
Lucas Ahijado D 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.7
S. Colombatto M 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 16 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Ilić M 18 0 0 1 (1) 1 89% 9 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
T. Fernandez M 18 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 5 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.6
Santi Cazorla M 10 0 0 0 (0) 3 71% 7 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.9

Atletico Madrid

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
J. Oblak G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 78% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.3
Julio Díaz D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 45 2 0 2/4 1/2 6.6
R. Le Normand D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 71 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.9
J. Giménez D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 63 2 1 1/1 2/0 7.0
N. Molina D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 60 1 1 1/3 0/1 6.9
Álex Baena M 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 84% 61 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
J. Cardoso M 61 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 47 3 0 0/0 0/2 6.9
Rodrigo Mendoza M 61 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 43 1 0 0/1 1/3 6.7
T. Almada M 71 0 0 1 (0) 2 90% 41 1 1 1/4 0/2 6.6
A. Lookman F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 1/1 1/1 6.2
A. Sørloth F 61 0 0 0 (0) 0 46% 13 0 0 0/3 0/0 6.2
Marcos Llorente M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 10 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.6
Koke M 29 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 33 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
G. Simeone F 29 0 0 0 (0) 1 72% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
A. Griezmann F 29 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Alvarez F 44 1 0 1 (0) 1 95% 19 1 0 1/3 0/0 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.