Paris Saint Germain vs Angers – 22 Aug 2025

Ligue 1 Gameweek 2 Fri, Aug 22 · 19:45 Parc des Princes, Paris

Paris Saint Germain 4th · 3 pts · 1 played W

1–0Full time

Angers 2nd · 3 pts · 1 played W

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Paris Saint Germain were clear favourites.

Paris Saint Germain were the stronger side on L90 Strength (89 vs 18). Paris Saint Germain usually keep the ball (66% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. Paris Saint Germain had 5 days of rest, Angers 5.1 and had to travel 264 km.

Away travel264 kmRest days5 · 5.1Matches / 14d1 · 1

Paris Saint Germain91%

Draw7%

Angers2%

Expected goals 3.52 – 0.52

Paris Saint Germain89%

Draw8%

Angers3%

Expected goals 3.39 – 0.53

Paris Saint Germain91%

Draw7%

Angers2%

Expected goals 3.52 – 0.52

Paris Saint Germain86%

Draw10%

Angers4%

Expected goals 3.14 – 0.58

Paris Saint Germain89%

Draw8%

Angers3%

Expected goals 3.39 – 0.53

Over 2.5 77% Both score 39% Likeliest score 3–0

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Paris)

No weather data yet

Referee · FranceHakim Ben el Salem Hadj

Cards per match 4.3
Penalties per match 0.33
Matches 3

Team strength

Paris Saint Germain

Angers

89 L90 StrengthIn forecast 18

90 Current StrengthIn forecast 19

91 AttackIn forecast 22

83 DefenceIn forecast 12

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Paris Saint Germain

Attack—

Defense risk—

Angers

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Paris Saint Germain

Angers

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

2.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.70

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.30

2.10 xGVia Att/Def 0.70

0.88 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.56

+0.00 Goals minus xGContext +0.00

100% Scored inContext 50%

30% Clean sheetsContext 30%

17.00 ShotsContext 7.90

7.10 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.67

42% On target shareContext 30%

11.90 Shots in the boxContext 5.33

72% Box shareContext 65%

12% ConversionContext 9%

1.43 OffsidesContext 2.67

8.50 Shots allowedContext 14.30

2.67 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.80

2.89 BlocksContext 3.90

2.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50

79% Save rateContext 73%

65% PossessionIn forecast 37%

619 PassesContext 345

561 Accurate passesContext 280

91% Pass accuracyContext 81%

7.18 Team ratingContext 6.83

10.00 FoulsContext 11.90

10.00 Fouls sufferedContext 10.60

1.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.60

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Paris Saint Germain

Rest5 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km685 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Angers

Rest5.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel264 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Paris Saint Germain	Angers
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5Ligue 1 2025-2026, 17 Aug	5.1Ligue 1 2025-2026, 17 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	264 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	685 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 1	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	8	8.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Paris Saint Germain Confirmed XI

4-3-3

30L. Chevalier(G)

25Nuno Mendes 51W. Pacho 5Marquinhos 2A. Hakimi

8Fabián Ruiz 17Vitinha 87João Neves

29B. Barcola 10M. Dembélé 14D. Doué

Angers Confirmed XI

3-5-2

12H. Koffi(G)

21J. Lefort 4O. Camara 2C. Arcus

3J. Ekomié 93H. Belkebla 5M. Courcoul 14Y. Belkhdim 27L. Rao-Lisoa

11S. Chérif 19E. Lepaul

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Paris Saint Germain Absences are shown before kick-off

Angers Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Paris Saint Germain+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Angers+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Paris Saint Germain · Home No home games yet this season.

Angers · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

6 Paris Saint Germain wins0 draws0 Angers wins

Goals per game2.33 – 0.67 Over 2.567% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 0%

5 Apr 2025Paris Saint Germain1–0Angers
9 Nov 2024Angers2–4Paris Saint Germain
21 Apr 2023Angers1–2Paris Saint Germain
11 Jan 2023Paris Saint Germain2–0Angers
20 Apr 2022Angers0–3Paris Saint Germain
15 Oct 2021Paris Saint Germain2–1Angers

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Paris Saint Germain	Angers	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	1.00
Conceded per game	0.00	0.00
Match goals	1.00	1.00	4.03
Over 1.5	0%	0%
Over 2.5	0%	0%	77%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	0%	0%	39%
Clean sheets	100%	100%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

	Paris Saint Germain	Angers	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	1.00
Conceded per game	0.00	0.00
Match goals	1.00	1.00	4.03
Over 1.5	0%	0%
Over 2.5	0%	0%	77%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	0%	0%	39%
Clean sheets	100%	100%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Paris Saint Germain	Angers	League
Corners
Corners won	7.00	3.00
Corners conceded	2.00	7.00
Match total	9.00	10.00	10.00
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	1.00	3.00
Opponent cards	1.00	1.00
Match total	2.00	4.00	3.89
Over 3.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1

	Paris Saint Germain	Angers	League
Corners
Corners won	3.89	4.44
Corners conceded	3.78	4.56
Match total	7.67	9.00	10.00
Over 8.5	33% 3/9	56% 5/9
Over 9.5	22% 2/9	44% 4/9
Over 10.5	0% 0/9	22% 2/9
Cards
Cards	1.30	1.70
Opponent cards	1.80	1.60
Match total	3.10	3.30	3.89
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj France · 3 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.00league 3.67

Red cards0.33league 0.22

Cards 5+33%league 44%

Fouls25.3league 23.8

Penalties0.33league 0.11

Home wins67%league 44%

Paris Saint Germain1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

L3 May 25A · Strasbourg1–22

Angers1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.1.0 · 5.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

L27 Apr 25H · Lille0–21

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.