Ligue 1 Gameweek 28 Fri, Apr 3 2026 · 19:45 Parc des Princes, Paris
3–1 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 1.78 – 0.16
  • M. Dembélé 23’, 33’
  • Gonçalo Ramos 90+2’
  • 27’ R. Nicolaisen
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Paris Saint Germain beat Toulouse

Paris Saint Germain entered as clear favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Dembélé and Ramos. Toulouse replied through a Nicolaisen goal. Paris Saint Germain finished with the higher xG (1.78 vs 0.16).

Paris Saint Germain ✓83%
Draw12%
Toulouse5%

Model vs reality

Paris Saint Germain goals
3
Model 2.93 · xG 1.78
Toulouse goals
1
Model 0.66 · xG 0.16
Total goals
4
Model 3.59 · xG 1.94
Score 3–1
8%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 70%
Both scored
Yes
Model 46%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. DembéléParis Saint Germain · 2 goals
8.7
  • RefereeEric Wattellier
  • VenueParc des Princes
  • Table before kick-offParis Saint Germain 1st · Toulouse 9th

Timeline

  1. M. Dembélé 1–0
    23’
  2. R. Nicolaisen 1–1Assist D. Sidibé
    27’
  3. M. Dembélé 2–1Assist K. Kvaratskhelia
    33’
  4. C. CásseresYellow card · Tripping
    36’
  5. Half time · 2–1
  6. ⇄ João NevesFor K. Lee
    59’
  7. ⇄ W. KamanziFor D. Methalie
    67’
  8. ⇄ VitinhaFor Beraldo
    67’
  9. ⇄ Nuno MendesFor K. Kvaratskhelia
    68’
  10. ⇄ J. Russell-RoweFor Emersonn
    83’
  11. ⇄ Ilyas AziziFor D. Sidibé
    83’
  12. ⇄ M. SauerFor C. Cásseres
    83’
  13. ⇄ Gonçalo RamosFor D. Doué
    87’
  14. Gonçalo Ramos 3–1Assist Nuno Mendes
    90+2’
  15. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Paris Saint Germain17 shots · 9 in box, 8 outside
Toulouse5 shots · 1 in box, 4 outside
Paris Saint GermainToulouse
72% Possession 28%
1.78 Expected goals (xG) 0.16
2.54 Expected points (xPts) 0.27
17 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
6 Shots off target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
9 Shots inside the box 1
8 Shots outside the box 4
802 Passes 303
91% Pass accuracy 79%
5 Corners 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 4
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.05 Team rating 6.52

Line-ups

Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3

395.9 M. Safonov(G)
216.6 L. Hernández 516.9 W. Pacho 67.0 I. Zabarnyi 26.6 A. Hakimi
146.9 D. Doué ↓87’ 47.0 Beraldo ↓67’ 337.3 W. Zaïre-Emery
78.0 K. Kvaratskhelia A↓68’ 108.7★ M. Dembélé 197.3 K. Lee ↓59’
  • 39M. Safonov (G)5.9
  • 21L. Hernández6.6
  • 51W. Pacho6.9
  • 6I. Zabarnyi7.0
  • 2A. Hakimi6.6
  • 14D. Doué↓87’6.9
  • 4Beraldo↓67’7.0
  • 33W. Zaïre-Emery7.3
  • 7K. KvaratskheliaA↓68’8.0
  • 10M. Dembélé ★8.7
  • 19K. Lee↓59’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 87João Neves↑59’6.9
  • 17Vitinha↑67’6.9
  • 25Nuno MendesA↑68’6.2
  • 9Gonçalo Ramos↑87’

Unused: R. Bellucci, Marquinhos, I. Mbaye, L. Chevalier, Dro Fernández

Toulouse 3-4-2-1

16.9 G. Restes(G)
27.5 R. Nicolaisen 356.0 S. Koumbassa 36.5 M. McKenzie
246.3 D. Methalie ↓67’ 186.7 Pape Diop 236.3 C. Cásseres ↓83’ 196.7 D. Sidibé A↓83’
106.2 G. Gboho 156.3 A. Dønnum
206.3 Emersonn ↓83’
  • 1G. Restes (G)6.9
  • 2R. Nicolaisen7.5
  • 35S. Koumbassa6.0
  • 3M. McKenzie6.5
  • 24D. Methalie↓67’6.3
  • 18Pape Diop6.7
  • 23C. Cásseres↓83’6.3
  • 19D. SidibéA↓83’6.7
  • 10G. Gboho6.2
  • 15A. Dønnum6.3
  • 20Emersonn↓83’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 12W. Kamanzi↑67’6.3
  • 77M. Sauer↑83’
  • 37Ilyas Azizi↑83’
  • 13J. Russell-Rowe↑83’

Unused: A. Vossah, Gaëtan Bakhouche, Julián Vignolo, C. Haug, Naime Said Mchindra

Player stats

Top rated
M. DembéléParis Saint Germain8.7
2nd
K. KvaratskheliaParis Saint Germain8.0
3rd
R. NicolaisenToulouse7.5

Paris Saint Germain

Toulouse

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.