Serie A Gameweek 17 Sat, Dec 27 2025 · 11:30 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.95 – 1.23
  • O. Sørensen 48’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Sørensen goal decides it for Parma

Parma won 1–0 through a Sørensen goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.95 and 1.23. On the chances created, Fiorentina deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Parma ✓35%
Draw29%
Fiorentina37%

Model vs reality

Parma goals
1
Model 1.21 · xG 0.95
Fiorentina goals
0
Model 1.26 · xG 1.23
Total goals
1
Model 2.47 · xG 2.18
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 45%
Both scored
No
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. CorviParma
7.7
  • RefereeMarco Guida
  • VenueStadio Ennio Tardini
  • Table before kick-offParma 17th · Fiorentina 20th

Timeline

  1. A. CircatiYellow card · Handling
    20’
  2. R. MandragoraYellow card · Tripping
    22’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ N. FortiniFor M. Viti
    46’
  5. O. Sørensen 1–0Assist Mateo Pellegrino
    48’
  6. ⇄ R. PiccoliFor R. Mandragora
    63’
  7. ⇄ N. EstévezFor J. Ondrejka
    68’
  8. ⇄ G. OristanioFor A. Benedyczak
    68’
  9. ⇄ S. SohmFor C. Ndour
    76’
  10. ⇄ R. GosensFor F. Parisi
    76’
  11. ⇄ C. OrdoñezFor Adrián Bernabé
    81’
  12. ⇄ E. KouadioFor P. Comuzzo
    86’
  13. E. CorviYellow card · Delay of game
    86’
  14. M. PongračićYellow card · Holding
    90+3’
  15. ⇄ B. CremaschiFor L. Keita
    90+4’
  16. ⇄ M. ĐurićFor Mateo Pellegrino
    90+4’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Parma13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
Fiorentina23 shots · 14 in box, 9 outside
ParmaFiorentina
42% Possession 58%
0.95 Expected goals (xG) 1.23
1.14 Expected points (xPts) 1.57
13 Shots 23
2 Shots on target 4
8 Shots off target 12
3 Blocked shots 7
9 Shots inside the box 14
4 Shots outside the box 9
325 Passes 454
80% Pass accuracy 87%
5 Corners 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.09 Team rating 6.83

Line-ups

Parma 4-3-3

407.7★ E. Corvi(G)
147.2 E. Valeri 57.3 L. Valenti 397.3 A. Circati 276.6 Sascha Britschgi
227.0 O. Sørensen 166.9 L. Keita ↓90’ 107.2 Adrián Bernabé ↓81’
176.7 J. Ondrejka ↓68’ 97.2 Mateo Pellegrino A↓90’ 77.0 A. Benedyczak ↓68’
  • 40E. Corvi (G) ★7.7
  • 14E. Valeri7.2
  • 5L. Valenti7.3
  • 39A. Circati7.3
  • 27Sascha Britschgi6.6
  • 22O. Sørensen7.0
  • 16L. Keita↓90’6.9
  • 10Adrián Bernabé↓81’7.2
  • 17J. Ondrejka↓68’6.7
  • 9Mateo PellegrinoA↓90’7.2
  • 7A. Benedyczak↓68’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 8N. Estévez↑68’6.6
  • 21G. Oristanio↑68’6.9
  • 25B. Cremaschi↑90’
  • 24C. Ordoñez↑81’6.7
  • 30M. Đurić↑90’

Unused: Vicente Guaita, F. Rinaldi, Mariano Troilo, Nicolas Trabucchi, E. Delprato, Hernani, M. Løvik, T. Begić, P. Cutrone, P. Almqvist

Fiorentina 3-5-2

436.9 David de Gea(G)
57.0 M. Pongračić 157.2 P. Comuzzo ↓86’ 27.3 Dodô
266.3 M. Viti ↓46’ 276.7 C. Ndour ↓76’ 446.9 N. Fagioli 86.7 R. Mandragora ↓63’ 657.2 F. Parisi ↓76’
107.0 A. Guðmundsson 206.2 M. Kean
  • 43David de Gea (G)6.9
  • 5M. Pongračić7.0
  • 15P. Comuzzo↓86’7.2
  • 2Dodô7.3
  • 26M. Viti↓46’6.3
  • 27C. Ndour↓76’6.7
  • 44N. Fagioli6.9
  • 8R. Mandragora↓63’6.7
  • 65F. Parisi↓76’7.2
  • 10A. Guðmundsson7.0
  • 20M. Kean6.2

Substitutes used

  • 29N. Fortini↑46’6.3
  • 91R. Piccoli↑63’6.3
  • 60E. Kouadio↑86’6.7
  • 21R. Gosens↑76’6.6
  • 7S. Sohm↑76’6.5

Unused: L. Lezzerini, T. Martinelli, E. Košpo, H. Nicolussi, C. Kouamé, E. Džeko

Player stats

Top rated
E. CorviParma7.7
2nd
L. ValentiParma7.3
3rd
A. CircatiParma7.3

Parma

Fiorentina

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.