PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord – 13 Sep 2026

Eredivisie Gameweek 6 Sun, Sep 13 · 15:45 MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle

PEC Zwolle 15th · 4 pts · 5 played LLWLD

0–7Full time

Feyenoord 4th · 11 pts · 5 played WDWDW

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Feyenoord were clear favourites.

Feyenoord were the stronger side on L90 Strength (53 vs 18). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Feyenoord. PEC Zwolle had 8.9 days of rest, Feyenoord 3.9 and had to travel 128 km.

Away travel128 kmRest days8.9 · 3.9Matches / 14d1 · 2

PEC Zwolle19%

Draw20%

Feyenoord61%

Expected goals 1.09 – 2.14

PEC Zwolle23%

Draw24%

Feyenoord53%

Expected goals 1.04 – 1.73

PEC Zwolle19%

Draw21%

Feyenoord60%

Expected goals 1.08 – 2.06

PEC Zwolle14%

Draw17%

Feyenoord69%

Expected goals 0.97 – 2.39

PEC Zwolle19%

Draw20%

Feyenoord61%

Expected goals 1.13 – 2.17

Over 2.5 63% Both score 59% Likeliest score 1–2

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Zwolle)

No weather data yet

Referee · NetherlandsAlex Bos

Cards per match 3.4
Penalties per match 0.27
Matches 44

Team strength

PEC Zwolle

Feyenoord

18 L90 StrengthIn forecast 53

16 Current StrengthIn forecast 59

17 AttackIn forecast 76

14 DefenceIn forecast 61

20 Form indexContext 52

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

PEC Zwolle

Attack—

Defense risk—

Feyenoord

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

PEC Zwolle

Feyenoord

1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.60

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

1.20 xGVia Att/Def 2.85

1.62 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.96

+0.00 Goals minus xGContext -0.25

80% Scored inContext 100%

20% Clean sheetsContext 20%

11.80 ShotsContext 21.20

4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.20

34% On target shareContext 34%

7.20 Shots in the boxContext 13.80

63% Box shareContext 66%

10% ConversionContext 12%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.00

20.20 Shots allowedContext 10.80

6.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.75

6.40 BlocksContext 2.60

4.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 1.80

73% Save rateContext 60%

39% PossessionIn forecast 55%

317 PassesContext 479

236 Accurate passesContext 415

74% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.78 Team ratingContext 7.08

11.60 FoulsContext 8.40

10.20 Fouls sufferedContext 10.20

1.40 Yellow cardsContext 0.80

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 5 and 5 games

1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.20

2.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.21 xGVia Att/Def 2.68

1.74 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.97

-0.01 Goals minus xGContext -0.48

80% Scored inContext 100%

20% Clean sheetsContext 20%

10.40 ShotsContext 17.10

3.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.20

37% On target shareContext 36%

6.30 Shots in the boxContext 11.30

60% Box shareContext 68%

12% ConversionContext 13%

2.17 OffsidesContext 2.33

18.00 Shots allowedContext 11.40

6.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.56

5.30 BlocksContext 2.80

4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 1.80

65% Save rateContext 56%

42% PossessionIn forecast 50%

353 PassesContext 428

272 Accurate passesContext 362

77% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.68 Team ratingContext 6.90

11.10 FoulsContext 9.60

10.90 Fouls sufferedContext 11.00

1.10 Yellow cardsContext 0.90

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

PEC Zwolle LLWLD

Rest8.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km256 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 20 · 4 pts vs 7.9 for an average club · -0.4 vs expected

D4 SepA · Sparta Rotterdam2–21.1 xPts
L29 AugH · NEC Nijmegen1–31.1 xPts
W22 AugA · Heerenveen2–00.7 xPts
L16 AugA · Twente1–30.6 xPts
L9 AugH · Ajax0–20.9 xPts

Feyenoord DWDWL

Rest3.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel128 km2,558 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

Form 52 · 8 pts vs 7.7 for an average club · -0.4 vs expected

L9 SepA · Barcelona1–50.3 xPts
W5 SepA · NEC Nijmegen3–11.4 xPts
D30 AugH · ADO Den Haag2–22.6 xPts
W23 AugA · Cambuur5–22.0 xPts
D16 AugH · GO Ahead Eagles2–22.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	PEC Zwolle	Feyenoord
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 5
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	8.9Eredivisie 2026-2027, 4 Sep	3.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 9 Sep
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	128 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	256 km	2,558 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 3	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	5.1	6.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

PEC Zwolle Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1J. Schendelaar(G)

33D. van der Haar 24N. Viergever 28S. Graves 3O. Aertssen

8T. Sommer 34N. Fichtinger

22I. Cissoko 18O. Velanas 11D. Mbayo

10Koen Kostons

+5 more reported missing outside this XI

Feyenoord Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1T. Ernst(G)

35Mika Màrmol 6J. St. Juste 4T. Watanabe 26G. Read

34C. Vanhoutte 8G. Zechiël

28O. Targhalline 10L. Valente 23A. Hadj Moussa

19Nacho Ferri

+6 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

PEC Zwolle Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.08 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Feyenoord Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

PEC Zwolle-0.7 pp
Draw-0.7 pp
Feyenoord+1.4 pp

Home / Away this season

PEC Zwolle · Home 0.00points per game · 2 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-2
Scored: 0.50
Conceded: 2.50

Feyenoord · Away 3.00points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 3-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	PEC Zwolle	Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam	D 2–2 A	W 1–0 A
NEC Nijmegen	L 1–3 H	W 3–1 A
Points	1 of 6 · 0.50 per game	6 of 6 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

0 PEC Zwolle wins0 draws5 Feyenoord wins

Goals per game0.40 – 3.80 Over 2.560% Both scored40% Clean sheets0% · 60%

17 May 2026PEC Zwolle0–2Feyenoord
6 Dec 2025Feyenoord6–1PEC Zwolle
25 Apr 2025Feyenoord4–0PEC Zwolle
18 Aug 2024PEC Zwolle1–5Feyenoord
8 Oct 2023PEC Zwolle0–2Feyenoord

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	PEC Zwolle	Feyenoord	Forecast
Scored per game	1.20	2.60
Conceded per game	2.00	1.40
Match goals	3.20	4.00	3.23
Over 1.5	100%	80%
Over 2.5	60%	80%	63%
Over 3.5	60%	80%
Both teams scored	60%	80%	59%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Failed to score	20%	0%
Games	5	5

	PEC Zwolle	Feyenoord	Forecast
Scored per game	1.20	2.20
Conceded per game	2.30	1.50
Match goals	3.50	3.70	3.23
Over 1.5	90%	90%
Over 2.5	60%	70%	63%
Over 3.5	60%	60%
Both teams scored	60%	80%	59%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Failed to score	20%	0%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	PEC Zwolle	Feyenoord	League
Corners
Corners won	3.60	6.00
Corners conceded	8.60	3.60
Match total	12.20	9.60	10.54
Over 8.5	80% 4/5	60% 3/5
Over 9.5	60% 3/5	60% 3/5
Over 10.5	60% 3/5	60% 3/5
Cards
Cards	1.60	0.80
Opponent cards	1.20	1.40
Match total	2.80	2.20	2.69
Over 3.5	40% 2/5	20% 1/5
Over 4.5	20% 1/5	0% 0/5

	PEC Zwolle	Feyenoord	League
Corners
Corners won	3.60	6.10
Corners conceded	7.00	3.00
Match total	10.60	9.10	10.54
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	1.20	0.90
Opponent cards	1.20	1.40
Match total	2.40	2.30	2.69
Over 3.5	30% 3/10	20% 2/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	10% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Alex Bos Netherlands · 44 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.11league 2.71

Red cards0.25league 0.06

Cards 5+20%league 14%

Fouls21.9league 20.9

Penalties0.27league 0.24

Home wins41%league 25%

PEC Zwolle6 with this referee

Record1-2-3 Cards · opp.1.2 · 1.7 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds2

D13 Mar 26H · Groningen1–10
W31 Jan 26H · Telstar4–10
D23 Nov 25A · Groningen2–23
L4 Oct 25H · PSV Eindhoven0–41
L24 Nov 24A · Ajax0–21

Feyenoord2 with this referee

Record1-1-0 Cards · opp.3.0 · 2.5 Pens for · against1 · 0 Reds1

W12 Apr 25A · Fortuna Sittard2–01
D25 Aug 24A · Sparta Rotterdam1–15

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.