Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Mar 21 2026 · 20:00 MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
First leg2–2 2–1 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 0.82 – 0.99
NAC Breda
  • T. Oosting 22’
  • O. Velanas 24’
  • 67’ M. Nassoh
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

PEC Zwolle beat NAC Breda

PEC Zwolle entered as favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Oosting and Velanas. NAC Breda replied through a Nassoh goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.82 and 0.99. On the chances created, NAC Breda deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

PEC Zwolle ✓51%
Draw25%
NAC Breda24%

Model vs reality

PEC Zwolle goals
2
Model 1.76 · xG 0.82
NAC Breda goals
1
Model 1.15 · xG 0.99
Total goals
3
Model 2.92 · xG 1.81
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchO. VelanasPEC Zwolle · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.7
  • RefereeErwin Blank
  • Coaches— · C. Hoefkens
  • VenueMAC³PARK Stadion
  • Table before kick-offPEC Zwolle 13th · NAC Breda 17th

Timeline

  1. T. Oosting 1–0Assist O. Velanas
    22’
  2. O. Velanas 2–0
    24’
  3. T. GooijerYellow card · Holding
    39’
  4. Half time · 2–0
  5. ⇄ N. FichtingerFor O. Velanas
    58’
  6. ⇄ K. de RooijFor R. Thomas
    58’
  7. N. FichtingerYellow card · Tripping
    60’
  8. D. OdoiYellow card · Roughing
    62’
  9. M. Nassoh 2–1Assist R. Paula
    67’
  10. ⇄ A. AyewFor A. Salama
    68’
  11. ⇄ J. TalvitieFor C. Brym
    68’
  12. ⇄ B. GhalidiFor R. Paula
    68’
  13. ⇄ O. AertssenFor T. Oosting
    79’
  14. ⇄ P. ReulenFor R. Hillen
    82’
  15. ⇄ E. MahmutovićFor M. Balard
    87’
  16. ⇄ D. van der HaarFor S. Floranus
    87’
  17. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

PEC Zwolle8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
NAC Breda19 shots · 11 in box, 8 outside
PEC ZwolleNAC Breda
44% Possession 56%
0.82 Expected goals (xG) 0.99
1.20 Expected points (xPts) 1.48
8 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 6
1 Shots off target 8
5 Blocked shots 5
5 Shots inside the box 11
3 Shots outside the box 8
361 Passes 446
73% Pass accuracy 80%
2 Corners 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
20 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.96 Team rating 6.58

Line-ups

PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1

166.6 T. de Graaff(G)
26.7 S. Floranus ↓87’ 46.9 A. MacNulty 56.6 T. Velthuis 67.0 T. Gooijer
86.9 Z. Buurmeester 307.3 R. Thomas ↓58’
188.7★ O. Velanas A↓58’ 256.9 T. Oosting ↓79’ 97.3 Y. Namli
106.6 Koen Kostons
  • 16T. de Graaff (G)6.6
  • 2S. Floranus↓87’6.7
  • 4A. MacNulty6.9
  • 5T. Velthuis6.6
  • 6T. Gooijer7.0
  • 8Z. Buurmeester6.9
  • 30R. Thomas↓58’7.3
  • 18O. Velanas ★A↓58’8.7
  • 25T. Oosting↓79’6.9
  • 9Y. Namli7.3
  • 10Koen Kostons6.6

Substitutes used

  • 34N. Fichtinger↑58’6.9
  • 22K. de Rooij↑58’6.5
  • 3O. Aertssen↑79’6.5
  • 33D. van der Haar↑87’

Unused: D. Verduin, Len Bakker, D. Ruward, J. Faberski, G. Reiziger, J. Pereira da Gama, T. Buitink

NAC Breda 4-2-3-1

995.7 D. Bielica(G)
46.7 B. Kemper 227.2 R. Hillen ↓82’ 206.5 F. Oldrup Jensen 36.3 D. Odoi
86.9 C. Leemans 166.7 M. Balard ↓87’
107.3 M. Nassoh 116.5 R. Paula A↓68’ 76.0 C. Brym ↓68’
196.3 A. Salama ↓68’
  • 99D. Bielica (G)5.7
  • 4B. Kemper6.7
  • 22R. Hillen↓82’7.2
  • 20F. Oldrup Jensen6.5
  • 3D. Odoi6.3
  • 8C. Leemans6.9
  • 16M. Balard↓87’6.7
  • 10M. Nassoh7.3
  • 11R. PaulaA↓68’6.5
  • 7C. Brym↓68’6.0
  • 19A. Salama↓68’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 32J. Talvitie↑68’6.9
  • 24A. Ayew↑68’6.5
  • 55B. Ghalidi↑68’6.7
  • 26P. Reulen↑82’6.3
  • 15E. Mahmutović↑87’

Unused: K. Lamprou, R. Kortsmit, C. Valerius, J. Candelaria, B. Lucassen, L. Holtby, K. Sowah

Coach: C. Hoefkens

Player stats

Top rated
O. VelanasPEC Zwolle8.7
2nd
R. ThomasPEC Zwolle7.3
3rd
Y. NamliPEC Zwolle7.3

PEC Zwolle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
T. de Graaff G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 45% 38 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
S. Floranus D 87 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 36 1 2 1/1 1/1 6.7
A. MacNulty D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 51 2 1 2/2 1/1 6.9
T. Velthuis D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 34 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
T. Gooijer D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 22 3 1 2/2 1/1 7.0
Z. Buurmeester M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 26 3 0 1/2 1/0 6.9
R. Thomas M 58 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 48 4 1 2/2 2/0 7.3
O. Velanas M 58 1 1 1 (1) 4 74% 23 3 0 0/0 0/4 8.7
T. Oosting M 79 1 0 1 (1) 1 72% 25 1 1 0/0 3/0 6.9
Y. Namli M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 81% 21 4 2 1/3 1/1 7.3
Koen Kostons F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 18 1 0 0/0 4/2 6.6
N. Fichtinger M 32 0 0 0 (0) 0 44% 9 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
K. de Rooij F 32 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 0 1/2 2/1 6.5
O. Aertssen D 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
D. van der Haar D 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

NAC Breda

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Bielica G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 65% 37 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.7
B. Kemper D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 72% 32 1 1 0/0 2/2 6.7
R. Hillen D 82 0 0 0 (0) 2 90% 50 2 2 0/0 0/1 7.2
F. Oldrup Jensen M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 76 0 2 0/0 2/4 6.5
D. Odoi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 80% 30 2 2 0/0 4/2 6.3
C. Leemans M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 80% 49 0 3 0/1 0/2 6.9
M. Balard M 87 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 43 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
M. Nassoh M 90 1 0 2 (2) 1 80% 35 1 1 1/4 1/1 7.3
R. Paula M 68 0 1 1 (0) 2 81% 26 0 0 1/3 0/1 6.5
C. Brym F 68 0 0 2 (1) 1 50% 12 2 0 2/4 3/3 6.0
A. Salama F 68 0 0 1 (1) 1 88% 16 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Talvitie F 22 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 6 1 0 1/2 1/0 6.9
A. Ayew F 22 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
B. Ghalidi F 22 0 0 1 (0) 0 85% 13 0 0 2/2 0/1 6.7
P. Reulen F 8 0 0 1 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
E. Mahmutović D 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.