Eredivisie Knockout phase Sun, Aug 10 2025 · 11:15 MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.68 – 1.02
Twente
  • T. Oosting 8’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Oosting goal decides it for PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle won 1–0 through a Oosting goal. PEC Zwolle won despite the lower xG; Twente created the better chances (1.02 vs 0.68). On the chances created, Twente deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

PEC Zwolle ✓36%
Draw27%
Twente38%

Model vs reality

PEC Zwolle goals
1
Model 1.37 · xG 0.68
Twente goals
0
Model 1.42 · xG 1.02
Total goals
1
Model 2.80 · xG 1.70
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchT. de GraaffPEC Zwolle
8.0
  • RefereeJoey Kooij
  • VenueMAC³PARK Stadion

Timeline

  1. T. Oosting 1–0Assist D. Mbayo
    8’
  2. B. van RooijYellow card · Foul
    45+2’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ K. HlynssonFor T. van den Belt
    46’
  5. ⇄ M. BrunsFor S. Lemkin
    46’
  6. ⇄ D. RotsFor A. Verschueren
    62’
  7. ⇄ N. ÜnüvarFor M. van Bergen
    62’
  8. ⇄ E. ReijndersFor D. Mbayo
    68’
  9. ⇄ L. Vennegoor of HesselinkFor R. Zerrouki
    75’
  10. S. FloranusYellow card · Foul
    76’
  11. ⇄ N. FichtingerFor Jamiro Monteiro
    78’
  12. ⇄ D. van der HaarFor S. Floranus
    78’
  13. ⇄ G. ReizigerFor T. Oosting
    85’
  14. ⇄ T. BuitinkFor K. de Rooij
    85’
  15. T. BuitinkYellow card · Time wasting
    89’
  16. O. AertssenYellow card · Foul
    89’
  17. D. van der HaarYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  18. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

PEC Zwolle7 shots · 4 in box, 3 outside
Twente16 shots · 8 in box, 8 outside
PEC ZwolleTwente
43% Possession 57%
0.68 Expected goals (xG) 1.02
1.05 Expected points (xPts) 1.62
7 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 4
2 Shots off target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Shots inside the box 8
3 Shots outside the box 8
342 Passes 440
73% Pass accuracy 78%
2 Corners 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
14 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.18 Team rating 6.73

Line-ups

PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1

168.0★ T. de Graaff(G)
26.3 S. Floranus ↓78’ 47.6 A. MacNulty 287.5 S. Graves 37.0 O. Aertssen
357.7 Jamiro Monteiro ↓78’ 307.2 R. Thomas
227.3 K. de Rooij ↓85’ 257.9 T. Oosting ↓85’ 116.5 D. Mbayo A↓68’
106.3 Koen Kostons
  • 16T. de Graaff (G) ★8.0
  • 2S. Floranus↓78’6.3
  • 4A. MacNulty7.6
  • 28S. Graves7.5
  • 3O. Aertssen7.0
  • 35Jamiro Monteiro↓78’7.7
  • 30R. Thomas7.2
  • 22K. de Rooij↓85’7.3
  • 25T. Oosting↓85’7.9
  • 11D. MbayoA↓68’6.5
  • 10Koen Kostons6.3

Substitutes used

  • 20G. Reiziger↑85’6.5
  • 29T. Buitink↑85’6.7
  • 34N. Fichtinger↑78’6.9
  • 33D. van der Haar↑78’6.3
  • 23E. Reijnders↑68’6.3

Unused: J. Pereira da Gama, B. Manu, Nick Dobben, G. Rahajaän, D. Verduin

Twente 4-2-3-1

16.6 L. Unnerstall(G)
397.2 M. Rots 37.9 R. Pröpper 236.9 S. Lemkin ↓46’ 286.3 B. van Rooij
206.9 T. van den Belt ↓46’ 66.6 R. Zerrouki ↓75’
86.9 T. Booth 326.2 A. Verschueren ↓62’ 76.3 M. van Bergen ↓62’
96.2 R. van Wolfswinkel
  • 1L. Unnerstall (G)6.6
  • 39M. Rots7.2
  • 3R. Pröpper7.9
  • 23S. Lemkin↓46’6.9
  • 28B. van Rooij6.3
  • 20T. van den Belt↓46’6.9
  • 6R. Zerrouki↓75’6.6
  • 8T. Booth6.9
  • 32A. Verschueren↓62’6.2
  • 7M. van Bergen↓62’6.3
  • 9R. van Wolfswinkel6.2

Substitutes used

  • 25L. Vennegoor of Hesselink↑75’6.2
  • 11D. Rots↑62’6.2
  • 37N. Ünüvar↑62’6.6
  • 14K. Hlynsson↑46’6.7
  • 38M. Bruns↑46’7.0

Unused: S. Karssies, P. Tytoń, B. Kuipers, G. Besselink, Guilherme Peixoto, M. Kjølø, A. Van Hoorenbeeck

Player stats

Top rated
T. de GraaffPEC Zwolle8.0
2nd
T. OostingPEC Zwolle7.9
3rd
R. PröpperTwente7.9

PEC Zwolle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
T. de Graaff G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 59% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.0
S. Floranus D 78 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 30 2 2 0/0 2/0 6.3
A. MacNulty D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 76% 38 1 3 0/0 0/0 7.6
S. Graves D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 57 1 1 1/1 2/1 7.5
O. Aertssen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 58% 36 7 2 1/2 1/1 7.0
Jamiro Monteiro M 78 0 0 1 (0) 1 86% 28 4 1 0/1 1/3 7.7
R. Thomas M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 29 2 3 1/1 0/1 7.2
K. de Rooij F 85 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 18 2 2 0/0 0/5 7.3
T. Oosting M 85 1 0 1 (1) 1 70% 23 0 0 0/0 2/0 7.9
D. Mbayo F 68 0 1 0 (0) 1 90% 21 0 0 1/5 3/2 6.5
Koen Kostons F 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 82% 17 2 0 0/4 1/1 6.3
G. Reiziger M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 25% 4 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
T. Buitink F 5 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 3 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
N. Fichtinger M 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
D. van der Haar D 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
E. Reijnders M 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 40% 5 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Twente

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
L. Unnerstall G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 69% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
M. Rots D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 70% 43 7 0 2/3 1/2 7.2
R. Pröpper D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 83% 82 4 0 0/0 1/1 7.9
S. Lemkin D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 26 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
B. van Rooij D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 26 0 0 0/1 2/2 6.3
T. van den Belt M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 16 0 1 1/1 0/1 6.9
R. Zerrouki M 75 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 50 0 1 0/1 0/0 6.6
T. Booth M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 76% 25 1 0 1/4 2/0 6.9
A. Verschueren M 62 0 0 3 (1) 0 52% 23 0 2 0/1 1/0 6.2
M. van Bergen F 62 0 0 3 (0) 0 73% 11 0 0 2/4 0/1 6.3
R. van Wolfswinkel F 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 46% 13 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
L. Vennegoor of Hesselink F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
D. Rots F 28 0 0 1 (1) 0 79% 14 0 0 0/2 0/2 6.2
N. Ünüvar M 28 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 9 2 0 0/2 1/1 6.6
K. Hlynsson M 44 0 0 3 (1) 1 84% 31 1 0 0/2 3/1 6.7
M. Bruns M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 38 1 0 0/0 2/1 7.0

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.