Eredivisie Knockout phase Sun, Aug 31 2025 · 13:30 MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
0–2 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 1.10 – 0.99
Utrecht
  • 41’ D. van den Berg
  • 44’ D. Murkin
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Utrecht beat PEC Zwolle

Utrecht entered as narrow favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Berg and Murkin. The chances were even, with xG of 1.10 and 0.99. On the chances created, PEC Zwolle deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

PEC Zwolle33%
Draw27%
Utrecht ✓40%

Model vs reality

PEC Zwolle goals
0
Model 1.31 · xG 1.10
Utrecht goals
2
Model 1.46 · xG 0.99
Total goals
2
Model 2.77 · xG 2.09
Score 0–2
7%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchS. El KarouaniUtrecht · 1 assist
7.9
  • RefereeJannick van der Laan
  • VenueMAC³PARK Stadion
  • Table before kick-offPEC Zwolle 6th · Utrecht 4th

Timeline

  1. D. MurkinYellow card · Foul
    25’
  2. D. van den Berg 0–1Assist D. Murkin
    41’
  3. D. Murkin 0–2Assist S. El Karouani
    44’
  4. Half time · 0–2
  5. ⇄ T. BuitinkFor Koen Kostons
    46’
  6. ⇄ A. BlakeFor Miguel Rodríguez
    55’
  7. ⇄ E. DemircanFor D. Murkin
    55’
  8. ⇄ S. HallerFor D. van den Berg
    55’
  9. ⇄ N. FichtingerFor Jamiro Monteiro
    71’
  10. ⇄ S. LagsirFor D. Mbayo
    71’
  11. ⇄ G. ReizigerFor T. Oosting
    71’
  12. ⇄ C. BozdoğanFor D. Min
    83’
  13. ⇄ M. EerdhuijzenFor M. Didden
    84’
  14. ⇄ J. Pereira da GamaFor S. Floranus
    86’
  15. J. Pereira da GamaYellow card · Foul
    89’
  16. A. MacNultyYellow card · Argument
    90+9’
  17. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

PEC Zwolle7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
Utrecht14 shots · 6 in box, 8 outside
PEC ZwolleUtrecht
48% Possession 52%
1.10 Expected goals (xG) 0.99
1.43 Expected points (xPts) 1.27
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 7
3 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Shots inside the box 6
2 Shots outside the box 8
422 Passes 457
81% Pass accuracy 80%
3 Corners 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.63 Team rating 7.11

Line-ups

PEC Zwolle

167.3 T. de Graaff(G) 36.6 O. Aertssen 287.3 S. Graves 46.7 A. MacNulty 26.3 S. Floranus ↓86’ 306.7 R. Thomas 356.7 Jamiro Monteiro ↓71’ 116.3 D. Mbayo ↓71’ 256.5 T. Oosting ↓71’ 226.0 K. de Rooij 106.6 Koen Kostons ↓46’
  • 16T. de Graaff (G)7.3
  • 3O. Aertssen6.6
  • 28S. Graves7.3
  • 4A. MacNulty6.7
  • 2S. Floranus↓86’6.3
  • 30R. Thomas6.7
  • 35Jamiro Monteiro↓71’6.7
  • 11D. Mbayo↓71’6.3
  • 25T. Oosting↓71’6.5
  • 22K. de Rooij6.0
  • 10Koen Kostons↓46’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 29T. Buitink↑46’6.2
  • 21S. Lagsir↑71’6.6
  • 34N. Fichtinger↑71’6.9
  • 20G. Reiziger↑71’6.6
  • 26J. Pereira da Gama↑86’6.7

Unused: Nick Dobben, D. Verduin, D. van der Haar, G. Rahajaän

Utrecht

17.2 V. Barkas(G) 27.2 S. Horemans 37.0 M. van der Hoorn 407.5 M. Didden ↓84’ 167.9★ S. El Karouani A 67.9 D. van den Berg ↓55’ 276.9 A. Engwanda 217.0 G. Zechiël 226.2 Miguel Rodríguez ↓55’ 96.6 D. Min ↓83’ 557.6 D. Murkin A↓55’
  • 1V. Barkas (G)7.2
  • 2S. Horemans7.2
  • 3M. van der Hoorn7.0
  • 40M. Didden↓84’7.5
  • 16S. El Karouani ★A7.9
  • 6D. van den Berg↓55’7.9
  • 27A. Engwanda6.9
  • 21G. Zechiël7.0
  • 22Miguel Rodríguez↓55’6.2
  • 9D. Min↓83’6.6
  • 55D. MurkinA↓55’7.6

Substitutes used

  • 91S. Haller↑55’6.7
  • 15A. Blake↑55’6.5
  • 17E. Demircan↑55’6.7
  • 8C. Bozdoğan↑83’6.6
  • 44M. Eerdhuijzen↑84’6.9

Unused: K. Gadellaa, M. Brouwer, K. Finnsson, N. Vesterlund, J. van Ommeren, Z. Iqbal, M. Jonathans

Player stats

Top rated
S. El KarouaniUtrecht7.9
2nd
D. van den BergUtrecht7.9
3rd
D. MurkinUtrecht7.6

PEC Zwolle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
T. de Graaff G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 77% 35 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
O. Aertssen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 22 5 3 0/0 2/2 6.6
S. Graves D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 76 3 0 2/2 1/0 7.3
A. MacNulty D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 77 0 1 1/1 3/0 6.7
S. Floranus D 86 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 47 0 1 1/2 0/2 6.3
R. Thomas M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 39 1 1 2/2 4/1 6.7
Jamiro Monteiro M 71 0 0 1 (0) 0 84% 32 2 2 1/2 0/1 6.7
D. Mbayo F 71 0 0 2 (1) 0 82% 11 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.3
T. Oosting M 71 0 0 1 (1) 1 52% 21 2 2 0/1 0/0 6.5
K. de Rooij F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 53% 15 0 0 0/1 1/2 6.0
Koen Kostons F 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 10 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.6
T. Buitink F 44 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
S. Lagsir F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 11 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.6
N. Fichtinger M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 10 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
G. Reiziger M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
J. Pereira da Gama M 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 1 1/2 1/1 6.7

Utrecht

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
V. Barkas G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 72% 39 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
S. Horemans D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 38 3 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
M. van der Hoorn D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 78% 74 1 2 0/1 1/0 7.0
M. Didden D 84 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 56 1 1 1/1 0/0 7.5
S. El Karouani D 90 0 1 1 (0) 3 88% 40 3 1 0/0 0/3 7.9
D. van den Berg M 55 1 0 1 (1) 0 77% 22 0 1 0/0 0/2 7.9
A. Engwanda M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 82% 51 5 2 1/1 1/1 6.9
G. Zechiël M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 85% 47 2 2 0/2 0/1 7.0
Miguel Rodríguez F 55 0 0 2 (1) 1 71% 17 0 1 0/0 3/1 6.2
D. Min F 83 0 0 1 (1) 1 80% 20 1 1 0/1 0/0 6.6
D. Murkin D 55 1 1 1 (1) 2 62% 13 0 0 0/1 2/1 7.6
S. Haller F 35 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 14 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
A. Blake F 35 0 0 2 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
E. Demircan F 35 0 0 1 (0) 2 77% 13 0 0 0/3 0/2 6.7
C. Bozdoğan M 7 0 0 1 (1) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
M. Eerdhuijzen D 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.