RAAL La Louvière
Attack—
Defense risk—
RAAL La Louvière
11th · 17 pts · 14 played
DDDWL
0–1Full time
Anderlecht
3rd · 25 pts · 14 played
WDLWW
Our take
Anderlecht were slight favourites.
Anderlecht were the stronger side on L90 Strength (48 vs 27). Anderlecht usually keep the ball (52% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. RAAL La Louvière had 14.9 days of rest, Anderlecht 14.2 and had to travel 42 km.
Away travel42 kmRest days14.9 · 14.2Matches / 14d0 · 0
RAAL La Louvière29%
Draw28%
Anderlecht43%
RAAL La Louvière31%
Draw27%
Anderlecht42%
RAAL La Louvière29%
Draw28%
Anderlecht43%
RAAL La Louvière23%
Draw26%
Anderlecht50%
RAAL La Louvière31%
Draw27%
Anderlecht42%
Over 2.5 47%
Both score 52%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (La Louvière)
No weather data yet
RefereeJan Boterberg
- Cards per match 3.0
- Penalties per match 0.22
- Matches 23
Team strength
RAAL La LouvièreAnderlecht
27
L90 StrengthIn forecast
48
17
Current StrengthIn forecast
43
15
AttackIn forecast
37
15
DefenceIn forecast
52
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisAnderlecht
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
RAAL La LouvièreAnderlecht
0.79
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.50
1.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.93
0.75
xGVia Att/Def
1.55
1.16
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.09
+0.04
Goals minus xGContext
-0.05
57%
Scored inContext
79%
43%
Clean sheetsContext
43%
8.57
ShotsContext
14.93
2.36
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.93
28%
On target shareContext
33%
6.08
Shots in the boxContext
8.86
68%
Box shareContext
60%
9%
ConversionContext
10%
2.18
OffsidesContext
2.25
11.00
Shots allowedContext
10.93
4.62
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.14
2.92
BlocksContext
2.93
3.62
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.15
78%
Save rateContext
65%
33%
PossessionIn forecast
53%
241
PassesContext
436
165
Accurate passesContext
355
68%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.72
Team ratingContext
6.90
11.71
FoulsContext
14.00
11.79
Fouls sufferedContext
10.29
1.93
Yellow cardsContext
2.50
0.07
Red cardsContext
0.07
0.90
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.00
0.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.80
0.74
xGVia Att/Def
1.26
1.12
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.16
+0.16
Goals minus xGContext
-0.26
60%
Scored inContext
70%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
7.90
ShotsContext
13.80
2.30
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.20
29%
On target shareContext
30%
5.89
Shots in the boxContext
8.10
72%
Box shareContext
59%
11%
ConversionContext
7%
2.25
OffsidesContext
2.00
11.00
Shots allowedContext
11.60
4.44
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.00
3.00
BlocksContext
2.80
3.44
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.33
78%
Save rateContext
72%
32%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
228
PassesContext
426
154
Accurate passesContext
344
68%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.71
Team ratingContext
6.86
11.00
FoulsContext
13.80
11.60
Fouls sufferedContext
10.50
1.90
Yellow cardsContext
2.80
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
RAAL La Louvière
Rest14.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Anderlecht
Rest14.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel42 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| RAAL La Louvière |
Anderlecht |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 14.9Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 8 Nov | 14.2Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 9 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 42 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 3 | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6.1 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
RAAL La Louvière
Confirmed XI
21M. Peano(G)
25D. Lamego
99Y. Okou
4Wagane Faye
5T. Lutonda
15S. Lahssaini
23J. Ito
11J. Liongola
10M. Pau
22J. Afriyie
29O. Mendy
Anderlecht
Confirmed XI
26C. Coosemans(G)
6H. Augustinsson
55M. Kana
54K. Sardella
19N. Angulo
74N. De Cat
13N. Saliba
7I. Camara
11T. Hazard
91A. Bertaccini
9M. CvetkoviÄ
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences RAAL La Louvière
Absences are shown before kick-off
Anderlecht
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Anderlecht+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
RAAL La Louvière · Home
1.71points per game · 7 home games
- W-D-L
- 3-3-1
- Scored
- 0.57
- Conceded
- 0.43
Anderlecht · Away
1.33points per game · 6 away games
- W-D-L
- 2-2-2
- Scored
- 1.17
- Conceded
- 1.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 14 this season
| Opponent | RAAL La Louvière | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp | L 1–3 A | D 0–0 H |
| Cercle Brugge | W 2–1 H | W 2–0 A |
| Genk | D 1–1 A | D 1–1 H |
| KVC Westerlo | D 0–0 H | W 5–2 H |
| Zulte Waregem | D 0–0 H | L 2–3 H |
| Dender | D 0–0 A | W 2–0 A |
| OH Leuven | W 2–1 A | D 1–1 A |
| Club Brugge KV | W 1–0 H | W 1–0 H |
| KV Mechelen | L 2–3 A | W 3–1 H |
| Union St. Gilloise | D 0–0 H | L 0–2 A |
| St. Truiden | L 1–2 A | D 2–2 A |
| Charleroi | W 1–0 H | L 0–1 A |
| Gent | L 0–1 A | W 1–0 H |
| Standard Liege | L 0–2 H | W 1–0 H |
| Points | 17 of 42 · 1.21 per game | 25 of 42 · 1.79 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| RAAL La Louvière | Anderlecht | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.79 | 1.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 0.93 | |
| Match goals | 1.79 | 2.43 | 2.55 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 64% | |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 29% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 29% | |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 43% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 43% | |
| Failed to score | 43% | 21% | |
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| RAAL La Louvière | Anderlecht | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.90 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.90 | 0.80 | |
| Match goals | 1.80 | 1.80 | 2.55 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 20% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% | |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| RAAL La Louvière | Anderlecht | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.64 | 6.21 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.57 | 3.86 | |
| Match total | 7.21 | 10.07 | 9.53 |
| Over 8.5 | 29% 4/14 | 86% 12/14 | |
| Over 9.5 | 21% 3/14 | 64% 9/14 | |
| Over 10.5 | 14% 2/14 | 43% 6/14 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 2.71 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.57 | 2.21 | |
| Match total | 3.57 | 4.92 | 4.10 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 7/14 | 64% 9/14 | |
| Over 4.5 | 29% 4/14 | 57% 8/14 | |
| RAAL La Louvière | Anderlecht | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.60 | 6.30 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.70 | 3.90 | |
| Match total | 7.30 | 10.20 | 9.53 |
| Over 8.5 | 40% 4/10 | 90% 9/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 30% 3/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 20% 2/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 3.10 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.30 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 5.40 | 4.10 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Jan Boterberg 23 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards2.83league 3.87
Red cards0.13league 0.21
Cards 5+17%league 43%
Fouls19.4league 23.0
Penalties0.22league 0.27
Home wins48%league 44%
RAAL La LouvièreNo previous matches with this referee.
Anderlecht1 with this referee
Record1-0-0
Cards · opp.3.0 · 2.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- W5 Nov 23A · Cercle Brugge3–03
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
RAAL La Louvière14 games · scored 11 · conceded 14
1
2
0-15
5
2
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
5
76-90
Anderlecht14 games · scored 21 · conceded 13
4
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
5
1
61-75
3
6
76-90
RAAL La Louvière10 games · scored 9 · conceded 9
1
1
0-15
4
1
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
3
76-90
Anderlecht10 games · scored 10 · conceded 8
3
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
31-45
4
46-60
1
61-75
5
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
