Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Nov 2 2025 · 18:15 Stade Communal du Tivoli, La Louvière
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.43 – 1.77
  • T. Lutonda 24’
  • M. Pau 90+3’
  • 90+2’ Emmanuel Kakou
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Pau’s late goal settles it for RAAL La Louvière

RAAL La Louvière entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Lutonda and Pau. Cercle Brugge replied through a Kakou goal. RAAL La Louvière won despite the lower xG; Cercle Brugge created the better chances (1.77 vs 0.43). On the chances created, Cercle Brugge deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

RAAL La Louvière ✓43%
Draw28%
Cercle Brugge30%

Model vs reality

RAAL La Louvière goals
2
Model 1.40 · xG 0.43
Cercle Brugge goals
1
Model 1.13 · xG 1.77
Total goals
3
Model 2.53 · xG 2.20
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 46%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchEmmanuel KakouCercle Brugge · 1 goal
8.5
  • RefereeBert Put
  • VenueStade Communal du Tivoli
  • Table before kick-offRAAL La Louvière 12th · Cercle Brugge 13th

Timeline

  1. T. Lutonda 1–0
    24’
  2. E. DiopYellow card
    26’
  3. ✕ S. NgouraMissed penalty
    37’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ M. MaisonneuveFor S. Gueulette
    66’
  6. ⇄ Darío BenavidesFor T. Lutonda
    66’
  7. ⇄ M. PauFor O. Mendy
    66’
  8. ⇄ Krys KouassiFor O. Diakité
    74’
  9. ⇄ H. JuradoFor A. Minda
    74’
  10. Owen MaesYellow card
    80’
  11. J. LiongolaYellow card · misses next match
    82’
  12. ⇄ O. AdewumiFor S. Ngoura
    82’
  13. ⇄ ErickFor Flávio Nazinho
    83’
  14. M. PauYellow card
    87’
  15. ⇄ L. AgyekumFor H. Van der Bruggen
    89’
  16. Emmanuel Kakou 1–1Assist G. Magnée
    90+2’
  17. M. Pau 2–1Assist J. Liongola
    90+3’
  18. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

RAAL La Louvière8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
Cercle Brugge13 shots · 8 in box, 5 outside
RAAL La LouvièreCercle Brugge
29% Possession 71%
0.43 Expected goals (xG) 1.77
0.46 Expected points (xPts) 2.32
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Shots inside the box 8
2 Shots outside the box 5
219 Passes 537
61% Pass accuracy 82%
1 Corners 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.78 Team rating 6.83

Line-ups

RAAL La Louvière 5-3-2

216.6 M. Peano(G)
57.9 T. Lutonda ↓66’ 256.6 D. Lamego 997.0 Y. Okou 46.6 Wagane Faye 117.3 J. Liongola A
236.3 J. Ito 87.2 S. Gueulette ↓66’ 986.9 Owen Maes
226.2 J. Afriyie 296.7 O. Mendy ↓66’
  • 21M. Peano (G)6.6
  • 5T. Lutonda↓66’7.9
  • 25D. Lamego6.6
  • 99Y. Okou7.0
  • 4Wagane Faye6.6
  • 11J. LiongolaA7.3
  • 23J. Ito6.3
  • 8S. Gueulette↓66’7.2
  • 98Owen Maes6.9
  • 22J. Afriyie6.2
  • 29O. Mendy↓66’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 19Darío Benavides↑66’6.3
  • 13M. Maisonneuve↑66’5.9
  • 10M. Pau↑66’6.9

Unused: C. De Schrevel, N. Gillot, Lucas Bretelle, A. Beka Beka, M. Guindo, P. Fall

Cercle Brugge 4-4-2

215.9 M. Delanghe(G)
206.9 Flávio Nazinho ↓83’ 37.6 E. Utkus 58.5★ Emmanuel Kakou 157.5 G. Magnée A
116.2 A. Minda ↓74’ 287.9 H. Van der Bruggen ↓89’ 186.6 P. Gerkens 376.9 E. Diop
95.3 S. Ngoura ↓82’ 105.6 O. Diakité ↓74’
  • 21M. Delanghe (G)5.9
  • 20Flávio Nazinho↓83’6.9
  • 3E. Utkus7.6
  • 5Emmanuel Kakou ★8.5
  • 15G. MagnéeA7.5
  • 11A. Minda↓74’6.2
  • 28H. Van der Bruggen↓89’7.9
  • 18P. Gerkens6.6
  • 37E. Diop6.9
  • 9S. Ngoura↓82’5.3
  • 10O. Diakité↓74’5.6

Substitutes used

  • 23H. Jurado↑74’6.3
  • 8Erick↑83’6.5
  • 6L. Agyekum↑89’
  • 41Krys Kouassi↑74’6.2
  • 17O. Adewumi↑82’6.5

Unused: Warleson, C. Ravych, Makaya Ibrahima Diaby, N. De Wilde

Player stats

Top rated
Emmanuel KakouCercle Brugge8.5
2nd
T. LutondaRAAL La Louvière7.9
3rd
H. Van der BruggenCercle Brugge7.9

RAAL La Louvière

Cercle Brugge

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.