Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Aug 10 2025 · 12:30 Stade Communal du Tivoli, La Louvière
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.92 – 0.68
  • É. Camara 16’ (OG)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

RAAL La Louvière beat Charleroi

RAAL La Louvière entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through an own goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.92 and 0.68. On the chances created, Charleroi deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

RAAL La Louvière ✓45%
Draw28%
Charleroi27%

Model vs reality

RAAL La Louvière goals
1
Model 1.46 · xG 0.92
Charleroi goals
0
Model 1.07 · xG 0.68
Total goals
1
Model 2.53 · xG 1.60
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 46%
Both scored
No
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. KeitaCharleroi
8.0
  • RefereeNicolas Laforge
  • VenueStade Communal du Tivoli
  • Table before kick-offRAAL La Louvière 16th · Charleroi 9th

Timeline

  1. É. Camara (own goal) 1–0
    16’
  2. O. MendyYellow card
    45+6’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. VAR M. GuindoGoal Disallowed - offside
    59’
  5. ⇄ I. MbenzaFor A. Bernier
    61’
  6. ⇄ Y. KhalifiFor Y. Titraoui
    61’
  7. ⇄ A. ColassinFor A. Descotte
    61’
  8. ⇄ T. EpaillyFor O. Mendy
    68’
  9. ⇄ F. MbembaFor É. Camara
    78’
  10. ⇄ M. SowFor J. Pétris
    78’
  11. ⇄ Owen MaesFor M. Pau
    78’
  12. S. LahssainiYellow card
    83’
  13. ⇄ Y. OkouFor T. Lutonda
    84’
  14. M. GuindoYellow card
    86’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

RAAL La Louvière11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
Charleroi11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
RAAL La LouvièreCharleroi
33% Possession 67%
0.92 Expected goals (xG) 0.68
1.53 Expected points (xPts) 1.12
11 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
7 Shots inside the box 6
4 Shots outside the box 5
224 Passes 481
69% Pass accuracy 85%
4 Corners 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.96 Team rating 6.84

Line-ups

RAAL La Louvière 5-3-2

217.9 M. Peano(G)
56.7 T. Lutonda ↓84’ 257.0 D. Lamego 137.2 M. Maisonneuve 47.0 Wagane Faye 116.9 J. Liongola
236.9 J. Ito 156.7 S. Lahssaini 107.2 M. Pau ↓78’
96.9 M. Guindo 296.3 O. Mendy ↓68’
  • 21M. Peano (G)7.9
  • 5T. Lutonda↓84’6.7
  • 25D. Lamego7.0
  • 13M. Maisonneuve7.2
  • 4Wagane Faye7.0
  • 11J. Liongola6.9
  • 23J. Ito6.9
  • 15S. Lahssaini6.7
  • 10M. Pau↓78’7.2
  • 9M. Guindo6.9
  • 29O. Mendy↓68’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 99Y. Okou↑84’6.5
  • 98Owen Maes↑78’6.7
  • 12T. Epailly↑68’6.2

Unused: C. De Schrevel, M. Riou, Darío Benavides, N. Gillot, S. Sidibe, A. Beka Beka

Charleroi 4-2-3-1

557.7 M. Delavallée(G)
246.9 M. Nzita 958.0★ C. Keita 47.0 A. Ousou 986.6 J. Pétris ↓78’
56.7 É. Camara ↓78’ 226.6 Y. Titraoui ↓61’
106.5 P. Guiagon 86.0 J. Romsaas 176.6 A. Bernier ↓61’
996.3 A. Descotte ↓61’
  • 55M. Delavallée (G)7.7
  • 24M. Nzita6.9
  • 95C. Keita ★8.0
  • 4A. Ousou7.0
  • 98J. Pétris↓78’6.6
  • 5É. Camara↓78’6.7
  • 22Y. Titraoui↓61’6.6
  • 10P. Guiagon6.5
  • 8J. Romsaas6.0
  • 17A. Bernier↓61’6.6
  • 99A. Descotte↓61’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 40Y. Khalifi↑61’7.2
  • 25A. Colassin↑61’6.3
  • 7I. Mbenza↑61’7.0
  • 44M. Sow↑78’6.3
  • 20F. Mbemba↑78’6.9

Unused: M. Koné, Ž. Rogelj, V. Dragsnes, A. Boukamir

Player stats

Top rated
C. KeitaCharleroi8.0
2nd
M. PeanoRAAL La Louvière7.9
3rd
M. DelavalléeCharleroi7.7

RAAL La Louvière

Charleroi

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.