RAAL La Louvière
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
RAAL La Louvière were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Charleroi usually keep the ball (46% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. RAAL La Louvière had 7.7 days of rest, Charleroi 6.8 and had to travel 20 km.
Away travel20 kmRest days7.7 · 6.8Matches / 14d1 · 2
RAAL La Louvière45%
Draw28%
Charleroi27%
RAAL La Louvière47%
Draw26%
Charleroi27%
RAAL La Louvière45%
Draw28%
Charleroi27%
RAAL La Louvière38%
Draw28%
Charleroi33%
RAAL La Louvière47%
Draw26%
Charleroi27%
Over 2.5 46%
Both score 51%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (La Louvière)
No weather data yet
RefereeNicolas Laforge
- Cards per match 4.9
- Penalties per match 0.52
- Matches 21
Team strength
RAAL La Louvière
Charleroi
25
L90 StrengthIn forecast
20
17
Current StrengthIn forecast
38
15
AttackIn forecast
43
15
DefenceIn forecast
50
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisCharleroi
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
RAAL La LouvièreCharleroi
0.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.50
1.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
0.55
xGVia Att/Def
1.02
1.60
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.34
-0.55
Goals minus xGContext
+0.48
0%
Scored inContext
100%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
9.50
ShotsContext
9.50
1.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.50
16%
On target shareContext
47%
5.00
Shots in the boxContext
7.50
49%
Box shareContext
68%
0%
ConversionContext
16%
—
OffsidesContext
3.00
10.00
Shots allowedContext
10.50
5.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.50
2.00
BlocksContext
3.00
3.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.00
70%
Save rateContext
57%
34%
PossessionIn forecast
47%
268
PassesContext
336
182
Accurate passesContext
264
68%
Pass accuracyContext
78%
6.62
Team ratingContext
6.78
17.00
FoulsContext
16.00
12.00
Fouls sufferedContext
14.50
1.50
Yellow cardsContext
3.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
—
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.60
—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.40
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
—
Scored inContext
50%
—
Clean sheetsContext
40%
—
ShotsContext
9.13
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.86
—
On target shareContext
37%
—
Shots in the boxContext
5.63
—
Box shareContext
61%
—
ConversionContext
7%
—
OffsidesContext
2.86
—
Shots allowedContext
13.00
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.57
—
BlocksContext
4.57
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
—
Save rateContext
66%
—
PossessionIn forecast
43%
—
PassesContext
358
—
Accurate passesContext
260
—
Pass accuracyContext
73%
—
Team ratingContext
6.80
—
FoulsContext
13.63
—
Fouls sufferedContext
12.88
—
Yellow cardsContext
2.80
—
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
RAAL La Louvière
Rest7.7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km142 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Charleroi
Rest6.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel20 km107 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| RAAL La Louvière |
Charleroi |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.7Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 2 Aug | 6.8Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 3 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 20 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 142 km | 107 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 2 | 1 / 2 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7.1 | 7.2 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
RAAL La Louvière
Confirmed XI
21M. Peano(G)
5T. Lutonda
25D. Lamego
13M. Maisonneuve
4Wagane Faye
11J. Liongola
23J. Ito
15S. Lahssaini
10M. Pau
9M. Guindo
29O. Mendy
Charleroi
Confirmed XI
55M. Delavallée(G)
24M. Nzita
95C. Keita
4A. Ousou
98J. Pétris
5É. Camara
22Y. Titraoui
10P. Guiagon
8J. Romsaas
17A. Bernier
99A. Descotte
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences RAAL La Louvière
Absences are shown before kick-off
Charleroi
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Charleroi+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
RAAL La Louvière · Home
0.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 2.00
Charleroi · Away
1.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-1-0
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 2.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| RAAL La Louvière | Charleroi | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.00 | 1.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.50 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 1.50 | 3.00 | 2.53 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% | 51% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 100% | 0% | |
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| RAAL La Louvière | Charleroi | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.00 | 1.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.50 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 1.50 | 3.00 | 2.53 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% | 51% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 100% | 0% | |
| Games | 2 | 2 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| RAAL La Louvière | Charleroi | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.00 | 4.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.00 | 5.50 | |
| Match total | 7.00 | 10.00 | 9.30 |
| Over 8.5 | 0% 0/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.50 | 3.50 | |
| Opponent cards | 0.50 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 2.00 | 5.00 | 3.85 |
| Over 3.5 | 0% 0/2 | 100% 2/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| RAAL La Louvière | Charleroi | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.00 | 3.38 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.00 | 5.88 | |
| Match total | 7.00 | 9.26 | 9.30 |
| Over 8.5 | 0% 0/2 | 50% 4/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/2 | 50% 4/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/2 | 25% 2/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.50 | 3.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 0.50 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 2.00 | 4.50 | 3.85 |
| Over 3.5 | 0% 0/2 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/2 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Nicolas Laforge 21 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.71league 3.65
Red cards0.19league 0.20
Cards 5+52%league 35%
Fouls23.1league 23.4
Penalties0.52league 0.40
Home wins43%league 45%
RAAL La LouvièreNo previous matches with this referee.
Charleroi2 with this referee
Record0-2-0
Cards · opp.4.5 · 2.5
Pens for · against1 · 0
Reds2
- D17 Feb 24A · OH Leuven0–05
- D13 Aug 23H · Standard Liege1–14
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
RAAL La Louvière2 games · scored 0 · conceded 3
1
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
Charleroi2 games · scored 3 · conceded 3
1
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
2
1
76-90
RAAL La Louvière2 games · scored 0 · conceded 3
1
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
Charleroi10 games · scored 6 · conceded 14
2
0-15
3
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
