RAAL La Louvière
Attack—
Defense risk—
RAAL La Louvière
15th · 4 pts · 6 played
LWLDL
1–0Full time
Club Brugge KV
4th · 10 pts · 5 played
WLWWD
Our take
Club Brugge KV were slight favourites.
Club Brugge KV were the stronger side on L90 Strength (68 vs 24). Club Brugge KV usually keep the ball (57% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. RAAL La Louvière had 14.2 days of rest, Club Brugge KV 13.3 and had to travel 105 km.
Away travel105 kmRest days14.2 · 13.3Matches / 14d0 · 1
RAAL La Louvière18%
Draw24%
Club Brugge KV58%
RAAL La Louvière19%
Draw24%
Club Brugge KV57%
RAAL La Louvière18%
Draw24%
Club Brugge KV58%
RAAL La Louvière14%
Draw21%
Club Brugge KV65%
RAAL La Louvière19%
Draw24%
Club Brugge KV57%
Over 2.5 52%
Both score 51%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (La Louvière)
No weather data yet
RefereeBert Put
- Cards per match 3.5
- Penalties per match 0.16
- Matches 19
Team strength
RAAL La LouvièreClub Brugge KV
24
L90 StrengthIn forecast
68
17
Current StrengthIn forecast
75
15
AttackIn forecast
86
15
DefenceIn forecast
58
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisClub Brugge KV
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
RAAL La LouvièreClub Brugge KV
0.67
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.40
1.33
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.80
0.66
xGVia Att/Def
1.50
1.35
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.90
+0.01
Goals minus xGContext
-0.10
50%
Scored inContext
100%
33%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
9.67
ShotsContext
16.40
2.33
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.80
24%
On target shareContext
29%
6.17
Shots in the boxContext
11.60
62%
Box shareContext
71%
7%
ConversionContext
9%
1.75
OffsidesContext
2.00
11.17
Shots allowedContext
10.80
5.50
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.80
2.17
BlocksContext
2.40
4.33
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.20
79%
Save rateContext
84%
35%
PossessionIn forecast
61%
261
PassesContext
549
179
Accurate passesContext
478
69%
Pass accuracyContext
87%
6.74
Team ratingContext
7.06
11.50
FoulsContext
10.20
12.67
Fouls sufferedContext
10.00
1.67
Yellow cardsContext
1.40
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.20
0.67
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.00
1.33
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
0.66
xGVia Att/Def
1.27
1.35
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.16
+0.01
Goals minus xGContext
+0.73
50%
Scored inContext
90%
33%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
9.67
ShotsContext
16.30
2.33
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.20
24%
On target shareContext
38%
6.17
Shots in the boxContext
12.10
62%
Box shareContext
72%
7%
ConversionContext
12%
1.75
OffsidesContext
1.75
11.17
Shots allowedContext
11.80
5.50
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.90
2.17
BlocksContext
3.67
4.33
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.33
79%
Save rateContext
79%
35%
PossessionIn forecast
58%
261
PassesContext
535
179
Accurate passesContext
471
69%
Pass accuracyContext
88%
6.74
Team ratingContext
7.16
11.50
FoulsContext
8.20
12.67
Fouls sufferedContext
8.40
1.67
Yellow cardsContext
1.20
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.20
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
RAAL La Louvière
Rest14.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Club Brugge KV
Rest13.3 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel105 km77 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| RAAL La Louvière |
Club Brugge KV |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 14.2Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 30 Aug | 13.3Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 31 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 105 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 77 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 3 | 0 / 1 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6.8 | 7.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
RAAL La Louvière
Confirmed XI
21M. Peano(G)
5T. Lutonda
25D. Lamego
99Y. Okou
4Wagane Faye
11J. Liongola
23J. Ito
15S. Lahssaini
98Owen Maes
29O. Mendy
22J. Afriyie
Club Brugge KV
Confirmed XI
29N. Jackers(G)
14B. Meijer
44B. Mechele
58J. Spileers
64K. Sabbe
25A. Stanković
62S. Audoor
67M. Diakhon
20H. Vanaken
9Carlos Forbs
7N. Tresoldi
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences RAAL La Louvière
Absences are shown before kick-off
Club Brugge KV
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Club Brugge KV+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
RAAL La Louvière · Home
1.33points per game · 3 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-1
- Scored
- 0.33
- Conceded
- 0.67
Club Brugge KV · Away
1.33points per game · 3 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-1
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 2 this season
| Opponent | RAAL La Louvière | Club Brugge KV |
|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | L 2–3 A | L 1–2 A |
| Gent | L 0–1 A | D 1–1 A |
| Points | 0 of 6 · 0.00 per game | 1 of 6 · 0.50 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| RAAL La Louvière | Club Brugge KV | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.67 | 1.40 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.33 | 0.80 | |
| Match goals | 2.00 | 2.20 | 2.75 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 40% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 60% | 51% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 40% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 0% | |
| Games | 6 | 5 |
| RAAL La Louvière | Club Brugge KV | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.67 | 1.40 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.33 | 0.80 | |
| Match goals | 2.00 | 2.20 | 2.75 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 40% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 60% | 51% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 40% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 0% | |
| Games | 6 | 5 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| RAAL La Louvière | Club Brugge KV | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.33 | 6.80 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.17 | 4.40 | |
| Match total | 7.50 | 11.20 | 9.71 |
| Over 8.5 | 17% 1/6 | 80% 4/5 | |
| Over 9.5 | 17% 1/6 | 80% 4/5 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/6 | 80% 4/5 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.67 | 1.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.00 | 2.80 | |
| Match total | 2.67 | 4.40 | 3.96 |
| Over 3.5 | 17% 1/6 | 80% 4/5 | |
| Over 4.5 | 17% 1/6 | 40% 2/5 | |
| RAAL La Louvière | Club Brugge KV | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.33 | 6.80 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.17 | 4.40 | |
| Match total | 7.50 | 11.20 | 9.71 |
| Over 8.5 | 17% 1/6 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 17% 1/6 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/6 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.67 | 1.40 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.00 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 2.67 | 3.40 | 3.96 |
| Over 3.5 | 17% 1/6 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 17% 1/6 | 20% 2/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Bert Put 19 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.37league 3.73
Red cards0.16league 0.23
Cards 5+37%league 40%
Fouls24.4league 23.1
Penalties0.16league 0.35
Home wins32%league 48%
RAAL La LouvièreNo previous matches with this referee.
Club Brugge KV2 with this referee
Record1-1-0
Cards · opp.1.5 · 1.0
Pens for · against1 · 0
Reds1
- W27 Jan 24A · Charleroi4–11
- D30 Jul 23H · KV Mechelen1–12
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
RAAL La Louvière6 games · scored 4 · conceded 8
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
2
61-75
1
4
76-90
Club Brugge KV5 games · scored 7 · conceded 4
2
0-15
16-30
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
61-75
2
1
76-90
RAAL La Louvière6 games · scored 4 · conceded 8
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
2
61-75
1
4
76-90
Club Brugge KV10 games · scored 20 · conceded 10
3
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
1
31-45
3
4
46-60
5
1
61-75
4
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
