Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Sep 13 2025 · 17:15 DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.09 – 1.47
  • 87’ K. Rodríguez
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Rodríguez’s late goal settles it for Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Rodríguez goal. Union St. Gilloise finished with the higher xG (1.47 vs 0.09).

Dender23%
Draw25%
Union St. Gilloise ✓52%

Model vs reality

Dender goals
0
Model 1.08 · xG 0.09
Union St. Gilloise goals
1
Model 1.73 · xG 1.47
Total goals
1
Model 2.81 · xG 1.56
Score 0–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. VerripsDender
7.7
  • RefereeBert Verbeke
  • CoachesF. Stilmant · —
  • VenueDENDER Football Complex
  • Table before kick-offDender 16th · Union St. Gilloise 1st

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ L. PatrisFor A. Khalaili
    66’
  3. ⇄ R. SchoofsFor M. Rasmussen
    66’
  4. ⇄ K. RodríguezFor P. David
    66’
  5. ⇄ J. Attah KadiriFor B. Nsimba
    68’
  6. ⇄ N. Moutha-SebtaouiFor F. Ferraro
    68’
  7. ⇄ B. FredrickFor D. Hrnčár
    79’
  8. ⇄ K. Van de PerreFor A. Zorgane
    84’
  9. ⇄ M. GigerFor R. Florucz
    84’
  10. ⇄ Mohamed BerteFor M. Viltard
    86’
  11. K. Rodríguez 0–1Assist M. Giger
    87’
  12. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Dender5 shots · 3 in box, 2 outside
Union St. Gilloise16 shots · 13 in box, 3 outside
DenderUnion St. Gilloise
36% Possession 64%
0.09 Expected goals (xG) 1.47
0.30 Expected points (xPts) 2.46
5 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 3
2 Shots off target 10
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Shots inside the box 13
2 Shots outside the box 3
316 Passes 560
65% Pass accuracy 83%
1 Corners 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.90 Team rating 6.87

Line-ups

Dender 3-1-4-2

347.7★ M. Verrips(G)
446.9 L. De Fougerolles 216.6 K. Cools 56.7 L. Marijnissen
186.3 N. Rôdes
886.9 F. Ferraro ↓68’ 177.2 N. Mbamba 247.6 M. Viltard ↓86’ 207.0 D. Hrnčár ↓79’
776.2 B. Nsimba ↓68’ 166.9 R. Květ
  • 34M. Verrips (G) ★7.7
  • 44L. De Fougerolles6.9
  • 21K. Cools6.6
  • 5L. Marijnissen6.7
  • 18N. Rôdes6.3
  • 88F. Ferraro↓68’6.9
  • 17N. Mbamba7.2
  • 24M. Viltard↓86’7.6
  • 20D. Hrnčár↓79’7.0
  • 77B. Nsimba↓68’6.2
  • 16R. Květ6.9

Substitutes used

  • 67N. Moutha-Sebtaoui↑68’6.2
  • 19J. Attah Kadiri↑68’6.9
  • 22B. Fredrick↑79’6.6
  • 90Mohamed Berte↑86’6.3

Unused: G. Dietsch, B. Goncalves, M. Sambu, K. Kotoń, R. Oratmangoen

Coach: F. Stilmant

Union St. Gilloise 3-4-1-2

376.9 K. Scherpen(G)
267.7 R. Sykes 487.3 F. Leysen 57.2 K. Mac Allister
226.6 O. Niang 46.6 M. Rasmussen ↓66’ 87.5 A. Zorgane ↓84’ 257.0 A. Khalaili ↓66’
125.9 P. David ↓66’
106.3 A. Ait El Hadj 306.3 R. Florucz ↓84’
  • 37K. Scherpen (G)6.9
  • 26R. Sykes7.7
  • 48F. Leysen7.3
  • 5K. Mac Allister7.2
  • 22O. Niang6.6
  • 4M. Rasmussen↓66’6.6
  • 8A. Zorgane↓84’7.5
  • 25A. Khalaili↓66’7.0
  • 12P. David↓66’5.9
  • 10A. Ait El Hadj6.3
  • 30R. Florucz↓84’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 17R. Schoofs↑66’6.3
  • 27L. Patris↑66’7.0
  • 13K. Rodríguez↑66’7.2
  • 6K. Van de Perre↑84’6.9
  • 20M. GigerA↑84’6.9

Unused: V. Chambaere, M. Barry, G. François, G. da Silva Carvalho

Player stats

Top rated
M. VerripsDender7.7
2nd
R. SykesUnion St. Gilloise7.7
3rd
M. ViltardDender7.6

Dender

Union St. Gilloise

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.