RAAL La Louvière
Attack—
Defense risk—
RAAL La Louvière
14th · 4 pts · 7 played
LDLWL
1–4Full time
Club Brugge KV
3rd · 18 pts · 7 played
WLWWW
Our take
Club Brugge KV were clear favourites.
Club Brugge KV were the stronger side on L90 Strength (73 vs 17). Club Brugge KV usually keep the ball (61% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. RAAL La Louvière had 21.1 days of rest, Club Brugge KV 20 and had to travel 105 km.
Away travel105 kmRest days21.1 · 20Matches / 14d0 · 0
RAAL La Louvière12%
Draw17%
Club Brugge KV70%
RAAL La Louvière13%
Draw19%
Club Brugge KV68%
RAAL La Louvière12%
Draw17%
Club Brugge KV70%
RAAL La Louvière9%
Draw14%
Club Brugge KV77%
RAAL La Louvière13%
Draw18%
Club Brugge KV69%
Over 2.5 64%
Both score 54%
Likeliest score 0–2
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (La Louvière)
No weather data yet
RefereeLothar D'hondt
- Cards per match 4.0
- Penalties per match 0.34
- Matches 53
Team strength
RAAL La LouvièreClub Brugge KV
17
L90 StrengthIn forecast
73
17
Current StrengthIn forecast
75
15
AttackIn forecast
86
15
DefenceIn forecast
58
15
Form indexContext
64
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisClub Brugge KV
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
RAAL La LouvièreClub Brugge KV
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.14
2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.43
0.78
xGVia Att/Def
2.25
1.79
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.97
+0.22
Goals minus xGContext
-0.11
57%
Scored inContext
100%
14%
Clean sheetsContext
71%
10.57
ShotsContext
18.29
3.71
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.00
35%
On target shareContext
33%
6.67
Shots in the boxContext
13.71
57%
Box shareContext
74%
10%
ConversionContext
12%
2.67
OffsidesContext
2.00
15.71
Shots allowedContext
13.14
4.86
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.57
4.14
BlocksContext
3.86
2.86
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
59%
Save rateContext
84%
37%
PossessionIn forecast
64%
339
PassesContext
606
260
Accurate passesContext
539
77%
Pass accuracyContext
89%
6.60
Team ratingContext
7.28
12.29
FoulsContext
7.86
9.43
Fouls sufferedContext
11.43
1.86
Yellow cardsContext
1.43
0.14
Red cardsContext
0.14
1.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.40
2.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.80
1.00
xGVia Att/Def
2.15
1.76
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.39
+0.20
Goals minus xGContext
+0.25
60%
Scored inContext
100%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
60%
10.90
ShotsContext
18.60
3.70
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.70
34%
On target shareContext
36%
7.22
Shots in the boxContext
14.00
61%
Box shareContext
74%
11%
ConversionContext
13%
2.67
OffsidesContext
1.88
14.20
Shots allowedContext
14.00
4.50
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.00
3.70
BlocksContext
4.50
2.67
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.10
56%
Save rateContext
78%
40%
PossessionIn forecast
63%
337
PassesContext
587
262
Accurate passesContext
520
78%
Pass accuracyContext
89%
6.65
Team ratingContext
7.28
11.40
FoulsContext
8.70
10.80
Fouls sufferedContext
11.10
1.60
Yellow cardsContext
1.50
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
RAAL La Louvière
LDLWL
Rest21.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 15 · 4 pts vs 9.0 for an average club · -1.9 vs expected
Club Brugge KV
LWLWW
Rest20 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel105 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 64 · 9 pts vs 7.3 for an average club · -0.3 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| RAAL La Louvière |
Club Brugge KV |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 21.1Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 19 Sep | 20Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 20 Sep |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 105 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 2 | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 14.1 | 3.1 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
RAAL La Louvière
Confirmed XI
21M. Peano(G)
18S. Delos
25D. Lamego
99Y. Okou
33P. Nkoa
3N. Gillot
23J. Ito
10M. Wade
29M. Courcoul
11M. Ubandoma
9E. Filet
Club Brugge KV
Confirmed XI
1Y. Sommer(G)
65J. Seys
44B. Mechele
58J. Spileers
64K. Sabbe
20H. Vanaken
8F. Potts
11J. Virgili
10H. Vetlesen
9Carlos Forbs
7N. Tresoldi
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences RAAL La Louvière
Absences are shown before kick-off
Club Brugge KV
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Club Brugge KV+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
RAAL La Louvière · Home
1.33points per game · 3 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-1
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 1.33
Club Brugge KV · Away
2.00points per game · 3 away games
- W-D-L
- 2-0-1
- Scored
- 1.67
- Conceded
- 0.67
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 3 this season
| Opponent | RAAL La Louvière | Club Brugge KV |
|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven | L 0–2 A | W 3–0 A |
| Kortrijk | W 3–0 H | W 3–0 H |
| Gent | L 1–2 H | L 1–2 A |
| Points | 3 of 9 · 1.00 per game | 6 of 9 · 2.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
2 RAAL La Louvière wins0 draws0 Club Brugge KV wins
Goals per game2.00 – 1.00
Over 2.550%
Both scored50%
Clean sheets50% · 0%
- 16 Jan 2026Club Brugge KV2–3RAAL La Louvière
- 13 Sep 2025RAAL La Louvière1–0Club Brugge KV
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| RAAL La Louvière | Club Brugge KV | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 2.14 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 0.43 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 2.57 | 3.30 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 71% | |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 14% | |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 29% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 71% | |
| Failed to score | 43% | 0% | |
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| RAAL La Louvière | Club Brugge KV | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.50 | 2.30 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 0.80 | |
| Match goals | 3.50 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 80% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 40% | 0% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| RAAL La Louvière | Club Brugge KV | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.17 | 9.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.50 | 2.57 | |
| Match total | 9.67 | 11.57 | 10.08 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 3/6 | 71% 5/7 | |
| Over 9.5 | 33% 2/6 | 71% 5/7 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 2/6 | 57% 4/7 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.29 | 1.57 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.43 | 1.71 | |
| Match total | 3.72 | 3.28 | 3.25 |
| Over 3.5 | 57% 4/7 | 29% 2/7 | |
| Over 4.5 | 29% 2/7 | 29% 2/7 | |
| RAAL La Louvière | Club Brugge KV | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.67 | 7.70 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.89 | 3.40 | |
| Match total | 9.56 | 11.10 | 10.08 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 44% 4/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.50 | 1.70 | |
| Match total | 3.40 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 2/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Lothar D'hondt 53 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.75league 3.09
Red cards0.25league 0.14
Cards 5+34%league 26%
Fouls24.0league 22.0
Penalties0.34league 0.25
Home wins43%league 49%
RAAL La LouvièreNo previous matches with this referee.
Club Brugge KV9 with this referee
Record7-1-1
Cards · opp.1.6 · 2.1
Pens for · against3 · 1
- W7 Aug 26H · Kortrijk3–01
- W17 May 26H · Union St. Gilloise5–01
- W11 Apr 26A · St. Truiden2–12
- W15 Feb 26A · Cercle Brugge2–13
- L30 Nov 25H · Antwerp0–10
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
RAAL La Louvière7 games · scored 7 · conceded 14
3
1
0-15
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
4
61-75
1
3
76-90
Club Brugge KV7 games · scored 15 · conceded 3
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
46-60
3
61-75
2
1
76-90
RAAL La Louvière10 games · scored 12 · conceded 21
3
2
0-15
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
6
61-75
2
3
76-90
Club Brugge KV10 games · scored 24 · conceded 8
2
1
0-15
5
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
5
1
46-60
4
61-75
3
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
