RAAL La Louvière
Attack—
Defense risk—
RAAL La Louvière
11th · 12 pts · 10 played
LWWDD
0–0Full time
KVC Westerlo
9th · 13 pts · 10 played
WLDLW
Our take
RAAL La Louvière were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. KVC Westerlo usually keep the ball (46% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. RAAL La Louvière had 13.9 days of rest, KVC Westerlo 12.9 and had to travel 84 km.
Away travel84 kmRest days13.9 · 12.9Matches / 14d1 · 1
RAAL La Louvière45%
Draw28%
KVC Westerlo28%
RAAL La Louvière46%
Draw26%
KVC Westerlo27%
RAAL La Louvière45%
Draw28%
KVC Westerlo28%
RAAL La Louvière37%
Draw28%
KVC Westerlo34%
RAAL La Louvière46%
Draw26%
KVC Westerlo27%
Over 2.5 46%
Both score 51%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (La Louvière)
No weather data yet
RefereeMassimiliano Ledda
- Cards per match 4.3
- Penalties per match 0.33
- Matches 3
Team strength
RAAL La LouvièreKVC Westerlo
27
L90 StrengthIn forecast
24
17
Current StrengthIn forecast
33
15
AttackIn forecast
42
15
DefenceIn forecast
32
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKVC Westerlo
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
RAAL La LouvièreKVC Westerlo
0.70
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.80
0.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.00
0.77
xGVia Att/Def
1.57
1.14
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.36
-0.07
Goals minus xGContext
+0.23
50%
Scored inContext
70%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
9.10
ShotsContext
15.30
2.60
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.10
29%
On target shareContext
33%
5.90
Shots in the boxContext
10.60
64%
Box shareContext
69%
8%
ConversionContext
12%
2.25
OffsidesContext
1.33
11.20
Shots allowedContext
13.20
4.70
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.70
3.00
BlocksContext
4.33
4.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.90
85%
Save rateContext
62%
34%
PossessionIn forecast
46%
253
PassesContext
358
176
Accurate passesContext
282
70%
Pass accuracyContext
79%
6.77
Team ratingContext
6.88
11.60
FoulsContext
12.30
12.10
Fouls sufferedContext
12.80
1.80
Yellow cardsContext
1.60
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
0.70
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.80
0.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.00
0.77
xGVia Att/Def
1.57
1.14
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.36
-0.07
Goals minus xGContext
+0.23
50%
Scored inContext
70%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
9.10
ShotsContext
15.30
2.60
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.10
29%
On target shareContext
33%
5.90
Shots in the boxContext
10.60
64%
Box shareContext
69%
8%
ConversionContext
12%
2.25
OffsidesContext
1.33
11.20
Shots allowedContext
13.20
4.70
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.70
3.00
BlocksContext
4.33
4.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.90
85%
Save rateContext
62%
34%
PossessionIn forecast
46%
253
PassesContext
358
176
Accurate passesContext
282
70%
Pass accuracyContext
79%
6.77
Team ratingContext
6.88
11.60
FoulsContext
12.30
12.10
Fouls sufferedContext
12.80
1.80
Yellow cardsContext
1.60
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
RAAL La Louvière
Rest13.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
KVC Westerlo
Rest12.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel84 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| RAAL La Louvière |
KVC Westerlo |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 13.9Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 4 Oct | 12.9Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 5 Oct |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 84 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 0 / 1 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 8.1 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
RAAL La Louvière
Confirmed XI
21M. Peano(G)
25D. Lamego
99Y. Okou
4Wagane Faye
15S. Lahssaini
5T. Lutonda
23J. Ito
98Owen Maes
11J. Liongola
22J. Afriyie
29O. Mendy
KVC Westerlo
Confirmed XI
99A. Jungdal(G)
25T. Rommens
5Seiji Kimura
40E. Bayram
22B. Reynolds
46A. Piedfort
34D. Haspolat
77J. Alcócer
13I. Sakamoto
7A. Sayyadmanesh
90Nacho Ferri
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences RAAL La Louvière
Absences are shown before kick-off
KVC Westerlo
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- KVC Westerlo+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
RAAL La Louvière · Home
1.60points per game · 5 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-2-1
- Scored
- 0.40
- Conceded
- 0.40
KVC Westerlo · Away
0.80points per game · 5 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-3
- Scored
- 2.20
- Conceded
- 3.20
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 7 this season
| Opponent | RAAL La Louvière | KVC Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| Zulte Waregem | D 0–0 H | W 3–1 H |
| OH Leuven | W 2–1 A | W 2–0 H |
| Club Brugge KV | W 1–0 H | D 5–5 A |
| KV Mechelen | L 2–3 A | L 0–1 H |
| Union St. Gilloise | D 0–0 H | L 0–2 A |
| St. Truiden | L 1–2 A | W 3–0 A |
| Standard Liege | L 0–2 H | L 0–2 H |
| Points | 8 of 21 · 1.14 per game | 10 of 21 · 1.43 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| RAAL La Louvière | KVC Westerlo | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.70 | 1.80 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.90 | 2.00 | |
| Match goals | 1.60 | 3.80 | 2.53 |
| Over 1.5 | 40% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 40% | |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 40% | 51% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| RAAL La Louvière | KVC Westerlo | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.70 | 1.80 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.90 | 2.00 | |
| Match goals | 1.60 | 3.80 | 2.53 |
| Over 1.5 | 40% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 40% | |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 40% | 51% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| RAAL La Louvière | KVC Westerlo | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.40 | 5.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.20 | 5.20 | |
| Match total | 7.60 | 10.20 | 9.66 |
| Over 8.5 | 30% 3/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 30% 3/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 20% 2/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.50 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 3.30 | 3.60 | 4.23 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| RAAL La Louvière | KVC Westerlo | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.40 | 5.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.20 | 5.20 | |
| Match total | 7.60 | 10.20 | 9.66 |
| Over 8.5 | 30% 3/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 30% 3/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 20% 2/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.50 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 3.30 | 3.60 | 4.23 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Massimiliano Ledda 3 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.33league 3.98
Red cards1.00league 0.24
Cards 5+33%league 45%
Fouls24.3league 23.0
Penalties0.33league 0.30
Home wins100%league 43%
RAAL La Louvière1 with this referee
Record0-0-1
Cards · opp.0.0 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- L30 Aug 25A · KV Mechelen2–30
KVC WesterloNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
RAAL La Louvière10 games · scored 7 · conceded 9
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
2
61-75
1
4
76-90
KVC Westerlo10 games · scored 18 · conceded 20
3
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
6
31-45
4
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
3
6
76-90
RAAL La Louvière10 games · scored 7 · conceded 9
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
2
61-75
1
4
76-90
KVC Westerlo10 games · scored 18 · conceded 20
3
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
6
31-45
4
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
3
6
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
