Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Oct 18 2025 · 19:45 Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels
3–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.93 – 0.72
  • R. Florucz 16’
  • O. Niang 48’
  • M. Rasmussen 74’
  • 45+2’ A. Ousou
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Union St. Gilloise beat Charleroi

Union St. Gilloise entered as clear favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Florucz, Niang and Rasmussen. Charleroi replied through a Ousou goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.93 and 0.72. On the chances created, Charleroi deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Union St. Gilloise ✓68%
Draw20%
Charleroi12%

Model vs reality

Union St. Gilloise goals
3
Model 2.16 · xG 0.93
Charleroi goals
1
Model 0.80 · xG 0.72
Total goals
4
Model 2.96 · xG 1.65
Score 3–1
7%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 57%
Both scored
Yes
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. RasmussenUnion St. Gilloise · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeSimon Bourdeaud'hui
  • VenueStade Joseph Mariën
  • Table before kick-offUnion St. Gilloise 1st · Charleroi 11th

Timeline

  1. M. NzitaYellow card
    11’
  2. R. Florucz 1–0Assist C. Burgess
    16’
  3. A. OusouYellow card
    18’
  4. A. Ousou 1–1
    45+2’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. O. Niang 2–1Assist R. Florucz
    48’
  7. P. GuiagonYellow card
    58’
  8. ⇄ L. BlumFor K. Van Den Kerkhof
    63’
  9. ⇄ K. Van de PerreFor A. Zorgane
    64’
  10. ⇄ K. RodríguezFor P. David
    64’
  11. ⇄ M. GigerFor R. Florucz
    71’
  12. ⇄ A. KhalailiFor L. Patris
    71’
  13. M. Rasmussen 3–1Assist O. Niang
    74’
  14. ⇄ A. BernierFor P. Guiagon
    79’
  15. ⇄ F. SzymczakFor É. Camara
    79’
  16. ⇄ Jules GaudinFor M. Nzita
    79’
  17. ⇄ R. SchoofsFor A. Ait El Hadj
    86’
  18. ⇄ M. BoukamirFor A. Ousou
    86’
  19. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Union St. Gilloise16 shots · 12 in box, 4 outside
Charleroi9 shots · 4 in box, 5 outside
Union St. GilloiseCharleroi
50% Possession 50%
0.93 Expected goals (xG) 0.72
1.51 Expected points (xPts) 1.15
16 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
12 Shots inside the box 4
4 Shots outside the box 5
412 Passes 401
82% Pass accuracy 73%
1 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
15 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.20 Team rating 6.44

Line-ups

Union St. Gilloise 3-4-1-2

377.7 K. Scherpen(G)
486.9 F. Leysen 166.7 C. Burgess A 57.0 K. Mac Allister
228.0 O. Niang A 48.3★ M. Rasmussen 86.3 A. Zorgane ↓64’ 277.2 L. Patris ↓71’
107.2 A. Ait El Hadj ↓86’
126.7 P. David ↓64’ 307.3 R. Florucz A↓71’
  • 37K. Scherpen (G)7.7
  • 48F. Leysen6.9
  • 16C. BurgessA6.7
  • 5K. Mac Allister7.0
  • 22O. NiangA8.0
  • 4M. Rasmussen ★8.3
  • 8A. Zorgane↓64’6.3
  • 27L. Patris↓71’7.2
  • 10A. Ait El Hadj↓86’7.2
  • 12P. David↓64’6.7
  • 30R. FloruczA↓71’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 6K. Van de Perre↑64’6.9
  • 13K. Rodríguez↑64’6.3
  • 20M. Giger↑71’6.9
  • 25A. Khalaili↑71’7.0
  • 17R. Schoofs↑86’

Unused: V. Chambaere, R. Sykes, S. Boufal, G. da Silva Carvalho

Charleroi 4-2-3-1

555.3 M. Delavallée(G)
245.9 M. Nzita ↓79’ 956.2 C. Keita 47.2 A. Ousou ↓86’ 36.3 K. Van Den Kerkhof ↓63’
57.5 É. Camara ↓79’ 226.7 Y. Titraoui
106.3 P. Guiagon ↓79’ 86.9 J. Romsaas 146.5 P. Pflücke
215.9 A. Scheidler
  • 55M. Delavallée (G)5.3
  • 24M. Nzita↓79’5.9
  • 95C. Keita6.2
  • 4A. Ousou↓86’7.2
  • 3K. Van Den Kerkhof↓63’6.3
  • 5É. Camara↓79’7.5
  • 22Y. Titraoui6.7
  • 10P. Guiagon↓79’6.3
  • 8J. Romsaas6.9
  • 14P. Pflücke6.5
  • 21A. Scheidler5.9

Substitutes used

  • 27L. Blum↑63’6.7
  • 17A. Bernier↑79’6.6
  • 23Jules Gaudin↑79’6.9
  • 9F. Szymczak↑79’7.0
  • 32M. Boukamir↑86’

Unused: M. Koné, A. Boukamir, A. Colassin, R. Asante

Player stats

Top rated
M. RasmussenUnion St. Gilloise8.3
2nd
O. NiangUnion St. Gilloise8.0
3rd
K. ScherpenUnion St. Gilloise7.7

Union St. Gilloise

Charleroi

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.