RAAL La Louvière vs Standard Liege – 26 Jul 2025

Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Jul 26 · 19:45 Stade Communal du Tivoli, La Louvière

RAAL La Louvière

0–2Full time

Standard Liege

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

RAAL La Louvière were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. RAAL La Louvière had ? days of rest, Standard Liege ? and had to travel 99 km.

Away travel99 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0

RAAL La Louvière43%

Draw27%

Standard Liege30%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.20

RAAL La Louvière43%

Draw27%

Standard Liege30%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.20

RAAL La Louvière43%

Draw27%

Standard Liege30%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.20

RAAL La Louvière36%

Draw27%

Standard Liege37%

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.34

RAAL La Louvière43%

Draw27%

Standard Liege30%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.20

Over 2.5 50% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (La Louvière)

No weather data yet

Referee · BelgiumLawrence Visser

Cards per match 5.6
Penalties per match 0.09
Matches 23

Team strength

RAAL La Louvière

Standard Liege

27 L90 StrengthIn forecast 28

17 Current StrengthIn forecast 33

15 AttackIn forecast 29

15 DefenceIn forecast 29

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

RAAL La Louvière

Attack—

Defense risk—

Standard Liege

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

RAAL La Louvière

Standard Liege

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40

— Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext 70%

— Clean sheetsContext 20%

— ShotsContext 12.50

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.10

— On target shareContext 33%

— Shots in the boxContext 8.70

— Box shareContext 71%

— ConversionContext 11%

— OffsidesContext 2.75

— Shots allowedContext 11.00

— On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50

— BlocksContext 2.80

— Goalkeeper savesContext 3.20

— Save rateContext 71%

— PossessionIn forecast 53%

— PassesContext 470

— Accurate passesContext 374

— Pass accuracyContext 80%

— Team ratingContext 7.03

— FoulsContext 10.60

— Fouls sufferedContext 12.40

— Yellow cardsContext 1.80

— Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 0 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

RAAL La Louvière

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Standard Liege

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel99 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	RAAL La Louvière	Standard Liege
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	—	—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	99 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	7	6.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

RAAL La Louvière Confirmed XI

3-4-3

21M. Peano(G)

25D. Lamego 13M. Maisonneuve 4Wagane Faye

11J. Liongola 8S. Gueulette 15S. Lahssaini 19Darío Benavides

12T. Epailly 14M. Belkheir 10M. Pau

Standard Liege Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1M. Epolo(G)

22A. Calut 24J. Homawoo 29D. Dierckx 13M. Fossey

23M. Ilaimaharitra 6H. Sahabo

7T. Mohr 10D. Eckert Ayensa 11A. Abid

9T. Henry

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

RAAL La Louvière Absences are shown before kick-off

Standard Liege Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Standard Liege+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

RAAL La Louvière · Home No home games yet this season.

Standard Liege · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	RAAL La Louvière	Standard Liege	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.68
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	50%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	55%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	RAAL La Louvière	Standard Liege	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.68
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	50%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	55%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	RAAL La Louvière	Standard Liege	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	9.33
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	4.67
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	RAAL La Louvière	Standard Liege	League
Corners
Corners won	—	5.30
Corners conceded	—	4.90
Match total	—	10.20	9.33
Over 8.5	—	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	—	50% 5/10
Over 10.5	—	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	—	1.80
Opponent cards	—	1.40
Match total	—	3.20	4.67
Over 3.5	—	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	—	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Lawrence Visser Belgium · 23 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards5.09league 4.67

Red cards0.48league 0.00

Cards 5+65%league 67%

Fouls22.0league 22.3

Penalties0.09league 0.33

Home wins43%league 0%

RAAL La Louvière

No previous matches with this referee.

Standard Liege

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.