UEFA Europa League Matchday 7 Thu, Jan 22 2026 · 20:00 Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.54 – 0.81
  • M. Diomande 33’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Diomande goal decides it for Rangers

Rangers entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Diomande goal. Rangers finished with the higher xG (1.54 vs 0.81). On the chances created, Ludogorets deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Rangers ✓55%
Draw24%
Ludogorets21%

Model vs reality

Rangers goals
1
Model 1.83 · xG 1.54
Ludogorets goals
0
Model 1.05 · xG 0.81
Total goals
1
Model 2.88 · xG 2.35
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. DiomandeRangers · 1 goal
8.9
  • RefereeManfredas Lukjancukas
  • CoachesDanny Rohl · —
  • VenueIbrox Stadium
  • Table before kick-offRangers 33rd · Ludogorets 24th

Timeline

  1. M. Diomande 1–0Assist Thelo Aasgaard
    33’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. Youssef ChermitiYellow card · Roughing
    56’
  4. M. MooreYellow card · Holding
    62’
  5. ⇄ Matheus Machado FerreiraFor E. Bille
    63’
  6. ⇄ B. TekpeteyFor Erick Marcus
    63’
  7. ⇄ B. MiovskiFor M. Moore
    64’
  8. ⇄ F. CurtisFor Youssef Chermiti
    73’
  9. ⇄ I. ChochevFor Pedro Naressi
    73’
  10. E. FernandezYellow card · Tripping
    81’
  11. M. AaronsYellow card · Holding
    84’
  12. N. RaskinYellow card · Tripping
    88’
  13. ⇄ E. AnderssonFor Son
    90’
  14. ⇄ S. IvanovFor Caio Vidal
    90’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Rangers13 shots · 10 in box, 3 outside
Ludogorets10 shots · 5 in box, 5 outside
RangersLudogorets
50% Possession 50%
1.54 Expected goals (xG) 0.81
1.89 Expected points (xPts) 0.85
13 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
3 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
10 Shots inside the box 5
3 Shots outside the box 5
428 Passes 428
84% Pass accuracy 84%
6 Corners 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
16 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
5 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.26 Team rating 6.70

Line-ups

Rangers 4-3-3

17.3 J. Butland(G)
306.9 J. Meghoma 377.3 E. Fernandez 247.3 Y. Djiga 37.3 M. Aarons
108.9★ M. Diomande 437.7 N. Raskin 117.3 Thelo Aasgaard A
236.9 D. Gassama 97.0 Youssef Chermiti ↓73’ 476.3 M. Moore ↓64’
  • 1J. Butland (G)7.3
  • 30J. Meghoma6.9
  • 37E. Fernandez7.3
  • 24Y. Djiga7.3
  • 3M. Aarons7.3
  • 10M. Diomande ★8.9
  • 43N. Raskin7.7
  • 11Thelo AasgaardA7.3
  • 23D. Gassama6.9
  • 9Youssef Chermiti↓73’7.0
  • 47M. Moore↓64’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 28B. Miovski↑64’5.6
  • 52F. Curtis↑73’6.3

Unused: L. Kelly, K. Wright, J. Tavernier, J. Gentles, O. Antman, J. Rothwell, Calum Adamson, Lewis Stewart, Danilo

Coach: Danny Rohl

Ludogorets 4-2-3-1

397.2 H. Bonmann(G)
36.6 A. Nedyalkov 47.7 Dinis Almeida 246.9 O. Verdon 176.5 Son ↓90’
236.3 Deroy Duarte 306.3 Pedro Naressi ↓73’
776.5 Erick Marcus ↓63’ 116.7 Caio Vidal ↓90’ 146.6 P. Stanić
296.6 E. Bille ↓63’
  • 39H. Bonmann (G)7.2
  • 3A. Nedyalkov6.6
  • 4Dinis Almeida7.7
  • 24O. Verdon6.9
  • 17Son↓90’6.5
  • 23Deroy Duarte6.3
  • 30Pedro Naressi↓73’6.3
  • 77Erick Marcus↓63’6.5
  • 11Caio Vidal↓90’6.7
  • 14P. Stanić6.6
  • 29E. Bille↓63’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 37B. Tekpetey↑63’6.3
  • 10Matheus Machado Ferreira↑63’6.2
  • 2E. Andersson↑90’
  • 99S. Ivanov↑90’
  • 18I. Chochev↑73’6.3

Unused: S. Padt, D. Hristov, I. Nachmias, S. Shishkov, F. Kaloč, Georgi Penev

Player stats

Top rated
M. DiomandeRangers8.9
2nd
N. RaskinRangers7.7
3rd
Dinis AlmeidaLudogorets7.7

Rangers

Ludogorets

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.