Rangers
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
SC Braga were slight favourites.
SC Braga were the stronger side on L90 Strength (60 vs 36). Absences weigh more on Rangers. Rangers had 21 days of rest, SC Braga 18 and had to travel 1,620 km.
Away travel1,620 kmRest days21 · 18Matches / 14d0 · 0
Rangers29%
Draw26%
SC Braga46%
Rangers30%
Draw27%
SC Braga43%
Rangers30%
Draw26%
SC Braga44%
Rangers23%
Draw24%
SC Braga53%
Rangers29%
Draw27%
SC Braga45%
Over 2.5 55%
Both score 58%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Glasgow)
No weather data yet
Referee · NetherlandsAllard Lindhout
- Cards per match 3.8
- Penalties per match 0.20
- Matches 65
Team strength
Rangers
SC Braga
36
L90 StrengthIn forecast
60
40
Current StrengthIn forecast
56
38
AttackIn forecast
42
34
DefenceIn forecast
59
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisSC Braga
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
RangersSC Braga
0.25
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.00
2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
1.23
xGVia Att/Def
1.53
2.30
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.59
-0.98
Goals minus xGContext
+0.47
25%
Scored inContext
100%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
75%
11.25
ShotsContext
13.00
3.75
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.50
33%
On target shareContext
35%
8.75
Shots in the boxContext
9.00
77%
Box shareContext
61%
2%
ConversionContext
15%
1.67
OffsidesContext
1.67
15.00
Shots allowedContext
7.75
5.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.75
5.00
BlocksContext
2.33
3.25
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.75
65%
Save rateContext
73%
50%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
409
PassesContext
485
344
Accurate passesContext
413
84%
Pass accuracyContext
85%
6.71
Team ratingContext
6.98
11.50
FoulsContext
9.00
15.25
Fouls sufferedContext
11.25
0.75
Yellow cardsContext
1.00
0.25
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.70
1.30
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
1.10
xGVia Att/Def
1.49
1.91
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.80
+0.40
Goals minus xGContext
+0.21
80%
Scored inContext
90%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
13.40
ShotsContext
12.10
5.10
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.20
38%
On target shareContext
35%
8.90
Shots in the boxContext
8.00
65%
Box shareContext
63%
11%
ConversionContext
14%
2.13
OffsidesContext
2.33
10.90
Shots allowedContext
8.70
4.10
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.10
3.00
BlocksContext
3.13
2.90
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.33
71%
Save rateContext
70%
59%
PossessionIn forecast
56%
480
PassesContext
528
408
Accurate passesContext
452
85%
Pass accuracyContext
86%
6.96
Team ratingContext
6.88
11.90
FoulsContext
10.70
14.40
Fouls sufferedContext
12.90
1.40
Yellow cardsContext
1.80
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Rangers
Rest21 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
SC Braga
Rest18 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel1,620 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Rangers |
SC Braga |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Moderate · 20 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 21UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase, 6 Nov | 18Primeira Liga 2025-2026, 9 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,620 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 1 | 0 / 0 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 13.9 | 4 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Rangers
Confirmed XI
1J. Butland(G)
3M. Aarons
37E. Fernandez
24Y. Djiga
2J. Tavernier
8C. Barron
43N. Raskin
99Danilo
10M. Diomande
23D. Gassama
9Youssef Chermiti
SC Braga
Confirmed XI
1L. Horníček(G)
4S. Niakaté
14G. Lagerbielke
26B. Arrey-Mbi
77Gabri Martínez
8João Moutinho
29Jean-Baptiste Gorby
2Víctor Gómez
21Ricardo Horta
10R. Zalazar
39Fran Navarro
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Rangers
Scores -0.03 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
SC Braga
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Rangers-1.3 pp
- Draw-0.1 pp
- SC Braga+1.4 pp
Home / Away this season
Rangers · Home
0.00points per game · 2 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-2
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 1.50
SC Braga · Away
3.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-0
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 0.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 1 this season
| Opponent | Rangers | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Genk | L 0–1 H | L 3–4 H |
| Points | 0 of 3 · 0.00 per game | 0 of 3 · 0.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Rangers | SC Braga | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.25 | 2.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 75% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 25% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 25% | |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 25% | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 75% | |
| Failed to score | 75% | 0% | |
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Rangers | SC Braga | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.25 | 1.70 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.25 | 2.70 | 2.90 |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 50% | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% | |
| Failed to score | 75% | 10% | |
| Games | 4 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Rangers | SC Braga | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.00 | 5.75 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.25 | 3.25 | |
| Match total | 7.25 | 9.00 | 9.08 |
| Over 8.5 | 25% 1/4 | 75% 3/4 | |
| Over 9.5 | 25% 1/4 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/4 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.50 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 2.50 | 2.50 | 4.26 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% 1/4 | 0% 0/4 | |
| Over 4.5 | 25% 1/4 | 0% 0/4 | |
| Rangers | SC Braga | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.40 | 5.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.60 | 2.60 | |
| Match total | 9.00 | 7.60 | 9.08 |
| Over 8.5 | 70% 7/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 5/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 30% 3/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.40 | 1.80 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.20 | |
| Match total | 3.40 | 4.00 | 4.26 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Allard Lindhout Netherlands · 65 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.58league 4.06
Red cards0.17league 0.16
Cards 5+34%league 41%
Fouls19.9league 24.7
Penalties0.20league 0.40
Home wins37%league 49%
RangersNo previous matches with this referee.
SC BragaNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Rangers4 games · scored 1 · conceded 8
2
0-15
16-30
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
SC Braga4 games · scored 8 · conceded 4
0-15
3
16-30
1
31-45
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
76-90
Rangers10 games · scored 15 · conceded 13
5
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
4
61-75
4
1
76-90
SC Braga10 games · scored 17 · conceded 10
3
1
0-15
4
1
16-30
3
31-45
3
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
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