La Liga Gameweek 33 Thu, Apr 23 2026 · 19:00 Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.67 – 1.92
  • Sergio Camello 87’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Camello’s late goal settles it for Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Camello goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.67 and 1.92. On the chances created, Espanyol deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Rayo Vallecano ✓52%
Draw25%
Espanyol23%

Model vs reality

Rayo Vallecano goals
1
Model 1.70 · xG 1.67
Espanyol goals
0
Model 1.07 · xG 1.92
Total goals
1
Model 2.77 · xG 3.59
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchDani CárdenasRayo Vallecano
8.2
  • RefereeAdrian Cordero Vega
  • VenueEstadio de Vallecas
  • Table before kick-offRayo Vallecano 16th · Espanyol 11th

Timeline

  1. Pere MillaYellow card · Holding
    2’
  2. Pol LozanoYellow card · Roughing
    19’
  3. A. BatallaYellow card
    35’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. ⇄ C. PickelFor Pol Lozano
    46’
  6. P. CissYellow card · Tripping
    50’
  7. ⇄ I. AkhomachFor A. Espino
    58’
  8. ⇄ Ramon TerratsFor R. Fernández Jaén
    67’
  9. ✕ Kike GarcíaMissed penalty
    74’
  10. L. CabreraYellow card · Foul
    75’
  11. ⇄ Gerard GumbauFor Alemão
    76’
  12. ⇄ Unai LópezFor Óscar Valentín
    76’
  13. ⇄ C. RiedelFor F. Calero Villa
    78’
  14. ⇄ C. NgongeFor T. Dolan
    78’
  15. ⇄ A. MuminFor Jozhua Vertrouwd
    82’
  16. ⇄ Sergio CamelloFor Pedro Díaz
    82’
  17. C. NgongeYellow card · Roughing
    83’
  18. Sergio Camello 1–0Assist I. Akhomach
    87’
  19. ⇄ Miguel RubioFor Pere Milla
    90+1’
  20. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Rayo Vallecano17 shots · 9 in box, 8 outside
Espanyol14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
Rayo VallecanoEspanyol
53% Possession 47%
1.67 Expected goals (xG) 1.92
1.24 Expected points (xPts) 1.54
17 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
9 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
9 Shots inside the box 10
8 Shots outside the box 4
332 Passes 295
80% Pass accuracy 73%
6 Corners 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.03 Team rating 6.55

Line-ups

Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1

18.2★ Dani Cárdenas(G)
37.2 Pep Chavarría 337.0 Jozhua Vertrouwd ↓82’ 67.3 P. Ciss 27.9 A. Rațiu
236.3 Óscar Valentín ↓76’ 46.9 Pedro Díaz ↓82’
226.9 A. Espino ↓58’ 76.6 Isi Palazón 196.7 Jorge de Frutos
96.2 Alemão ↓76’
  • 1Dani Cárdenas (G) ★8.2
  • 3Pep Chavarría7.2
  • 33Jozhua Vertrouwd↓82’7.0
  • 6P. Ciss7.3
  • 2A. Rațiu7.9
  • 23Óscar Valentín↓76’6.3
  • 4Pedro Díaz↓82’6.9
  • 22A. Espino↓58’6.9
  • 7Isi Palazón6.6
  • 19Jorge de Frutos6.7
  • 9Alemão↓76’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 12I. AkhomachA↑58’7.0
  • 16A. Mumin↑82’6.3
  • 17Unai López↑76’6.3
  • 15Gerard Gumbau↑76’6.6
  • 10Sergio Camello↑82’7.7

Unused: Juanpe, A. Batalla, I. Balliu, Fran Pérez, Ó. Trejo, Carlos Martín

Espanyol 4-4-2

136.7 M. Dmitrović(G)
226.9 Carlos Romero 66.3 L. Cabrera 56.9 F. Calero Villa ↓78’ 236.7 O. El Hilali
116.3 Pere Milla ↓90’ 87.2 Edu Expósito 106.2 Pol Lozano ↓46’ 246.3 T. Dolan ↓78’
96.7 R. Fernández Jaén ↓67’ 195.6 Kike García
  • 13M. Dmitrović (G)6.7
  • 22Carlos Romero6.9
  • 6L. Cabrera6.3
  • 5F. Calero Villa↓78’6.9
  • 23O. El Hilali6.7
  • 11Pere Milla↓90’6.3
  • 8Edu Expósito7.2
  • 10Pol Lozano↓46’6.2
  • 24T. Dolan↓78’6.3
  • 9R. Fernández Jaén↓67’6.7
  • 19Kike García5.6

Substitutes used

  • 18C. Pickel↑46’6.9
  • 14Ramon Terrats↑67’6.3
  • 38C. Riedel↑78’6.2
  • 15Miguel Rubio↑90’
  • 16C. Ngonge↑78’6.7

Unused: Ángel Fortuño, Rubén Sánchez, José Salinas, Jofre Carreras, Miguel Londoño, Antoniu Roca, Lluc Castell

Player stats

Top rated
Dani CárdenasRayo Vallecano8.2
2nd
A. RațiuRayo Vallecano7.9
3rd
P. CissRayo Vallecano7.3

Rayo Vallecano

Espanyol

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.