La Liga Gameweek 14 Mon, Dec 1 2025 · 20:00 Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.30 – 0.71
Valencia
  • N. Mendy 37’
  • 64’ Diego López
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Rayo Vallecano and Valencia share the points

Rayo Vallecano entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Mendy goal. But López scored to rescue a draw for Valencia. Rayo Vallecano finished with the higher xG (1.30 vs 0.71). On the chances created, Rayo Vallecano deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Rayo Vallecano44%
Draw ✓28%
Valencia29%

Model vs reality

Rayo Vallecano goals
1
Model 1.44 · xG 1.30
Valencia goals
1
Model 1.13 · xG 0.71
Total goals
2
Model 2.57 · xG 2.01
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 47%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchÁlvaro GarcíaRayo Vallecano
7.7
  • RefereeJavier Alberola Rojas
  • VenueEstadio de Vallecas
  • Table before kick-offRayo Vallecano 11th · Valencia 16th

Timeline

  1. N. Mendy 1–0Assist Gerard Gumbau
    37’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ A. DanjumaFor Javi Guerra
    57’
  4. Diego López 1–1
    64’
  5. ⇄ AlemãoFor Unai López
    69’
  6. ⇄ A. EspinoFor Fran Pérez
    69’
  7. Thierry CorreiaYellow card · Holding
    71’
  8. ⇄ F. UgrinicFor Luis Rioja
    74’
  9. ⇄ L. BeltránFor Hugo Duro
    74’
  10. ⇄ I. BalliuFor Jorge de Frutos
    83’
  11. ⇄ Luiz FelipeFor N. Mendy
    83’
  12. ⇄ B. SantamaríaFor Pepelu
    90+2’
  13. ⇄ Dani RabaFor Diego López
    90+2’
  14. ⇄ Sergio CamelloFor Álvaro García
    90+3’
  15. AlemãoYellow card
    90+6’
  16. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Rayo Vallecano19 shots · 9 in box, 10 outside
Valencia10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
Rayo VallecanoValencia
55% Possession 45%
1.30 Expected goals (xG) 0.71
1.81 Expected points (xPts) 0.90
19 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 2
9 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
9 Shots inside the box 6
10 Shots outside the box 4
431 Passes 349
85% Pass accuracy 81%
10 Corners 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.90 Team rating 6.82

Line-ups

Rayo Vallecano 4-1-4-1

136.6 A. Batalla(G)
37.3 Pep Chavarría 327.6 N. Mendy ↓83’ 246.9 F. Lejeune 26.3 A. Rațiu
236.9 Óscar Valentín
187.7★ Álvaro García ↓90’ 157.2 Gerard Gumbau A 176.5 Unai López ↓69’ 216.5 Fran Pérez ↓69’
196.5 Jorge de Frutos ↓83’
  • 13A. Batalla (G)6.6
  • 3Pep Chavarría7.3
  • 32N. Mendy↓83’7.6
  • 24F. Lejeune6.9
  • 2A. Rațiu6.3
  • 23Óscar Valentín6.9
  • 18Álvaro García ★↓90’7.7
  • 15Gerard GumbauA7.2
  • 17Unai López↓69’6.5
  • 21Fran Pérez↓69’6.5
  • 19Jorge de Frutos↓83’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 22A. Espino↑69’6.3
  • 9Alemão↑69’6.5
  • 20I. Balliu↑83’6.5
  • 5Luiz Felipe↑83’6.7
  • 10Sergio Camello↑90’

Unused: Adrián Molina, Dani Cárdenas, Jozhua Vertrouwd, Samu Becerra

Valencia 4-2-3-1

256.6 Julen Agirrezabala(G)
146.6 José Gayà 37.2 Copete 57.0 César Tárrega 126.3 Thierry Correia
187.7 Pepelu ↓90’ 86.2 Javi Guerra ↓57’
167.3 Diego López ↓90’ 107.2 André Almeida 116.5 Luis Rioja ↓74’
96.3 Hugo Duro ↓74’
  • 25Julen Agirrezabala (G)6.6
  • 14José Gayà6.6
  • 3Copete7.2
  • 5César Tárrega7.0
  • 12Thierry Correia6.3
  • 18Pepelu↓90’7.7
  • 8Javi Guerra↓57’6.2
  • 16Diego López↓90’7.3
  • 10André Almeida7.2
  • 11Luis Rioja↓74’6.5
  • 9Hugo Duro↓74’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 7A. Danjuma↑57’6.3
  • 23F. Ugrinic↑74’6.7
  • 22B. Santamaría↑90’
  • 15L. Beltrán↑74’6.3
  • 19Dani Raba↑90’

Unused: S. Dimitrievski, Cristian Rivero, Jesús Vázquez, E. Cömert, Rubén Iranzo, D. Foulquier, David Otorbi

Player stats

Top rated
Álvaro GarcíaRayo Vallecano7.7
2nd
PepeluValencia7.7
3rd
N. MendyRayo Vallecano7.6

Rayo Vallecano

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Batalla G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 83% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Pep Chavarría D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 87% 53 2 0 2/2 1/0 7.3
N. Mendy D 83 1 0 2 (1) 0 89% 47 0 0 0/0 2/1 7.6
F. Lejeune D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 84% 51 1 2 0/0 2/0 6.9
A. Rațiu D 90 0 0 3 (0) 3 83% 42 2 2 0/3 0/2 6.3
Óscar Valentín M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 45 3 0 0/0 1/1 6.9
Álvaro García M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 63% 24 2 2 0/1 0/1 7.7
Gerard Gumbau M 90 0 1 2 (2) 3 80% 41 4 2 1/1 3/0 7.2
Unai López M 69 0 0 1 (1) 3 87% 38 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.5
Fran Pérez M 69 0 0 3 (2) 0 94% 16 1 1 0/1 1/0 6.5
Jorge de Frutos F 83 0 0 3 (1) 0 100% 14 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.5
A. Espino D 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 12 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.3
Alemão F 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
I. Balliu D 7 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Luiz Felipe D 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Sergio Camello F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Valencia

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Julen Agirrezabala G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 57% 23 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
José Gayà D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 35 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
Copete D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 41 0 3 0/0 1/0 7.2
César Tárrega D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 30 1 0 0/0 2/0 7.0
Thierry Correia D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 69% 26 1 0 0/1 3/0 6.3
Pepelu M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 87% 61 3 0 0/0 1/2 7.7
Javi Guerra M 57 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 19 0 0 1/4 0/0 6.2
Diego López F 90 1 0 3 (2) 1 68% 19 0 0 0/2 0/5 7.3
André Almeida M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 93% 42 3 0 2/2 0/1 7.2
Luis Rioja F 74 0 0 1 (0) 0 77% 13 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.5
Hugo Duro F 74 0 0 0 (0) 1 58% 12 1 1 0/1 0/1 6.3
A. Danjuma F 33 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 10 0 0 1/2 1/0 6.3
F. Ugrinic M 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
B. Santamaría M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
L. Beltrán F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Dani Raba F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.