Bundesliga Gameweek 18 Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 17:30 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
RB Leipzig
1–5 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.38 – 4.50
Bayern München
  • Rômulo 20’
  • 50’ S. Gnabry
  • 67’ H. Kane
  • 83’ J. Tah
  • 85’ A. Pavlović
  • 88’ M. Olise
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bayern München come from behind to beat RB Leipzig

Bayern München entered as favourites, yet RB Leipzig led 1–0 at half-time through a Rômulo goal. But Gnabry, Kane, Tah, Pavlović and Olise scored to turn it around for Bayern München, who won 5–1. Bayern München finished with the higher xG (4.50 vs 2.38).

RB Leipzig20%
Draw22%
Bayern München ✓58%

Model vs reality

RB Leipzig goals
1
Model 1.15 · xG 2.38
Bayern München goals
5
Model 2.08 · xG 4.50
Total goals
6
Model 3.23 · xG 6.88
Score 1–5
1%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 63%
Both scored
Yes
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. OliseBayern München · 1 goal · 3 assists
10.0
  • RefereeSascha Stegemann
  • VenueRed Bull Arena
  • Table before kick-offRB Leipzig 4th · Bayern München 1st

Timeline

  1. Rômulo 1–0Assist D. Raum
    20’
  2. N. SeiwaldYellow card · Roughing
    29’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ J. KimmichFor L. Goretzka
    46’
  5. S. Gnabry 1–1Assist D. Upamecano
    50’
  6. ⇄ M. OliseFor Lennart Karl
    57’
  7. H. Kane 1–2Assist M. Olise
    67’
  8. ⇄ C. HarderFor Rômulo
    81’
  9. ⇄ E. BanzuziFor N. Seiwald
    81’
  10. ⇄ A. DaviesFor T. Bischof
    81’
  11. J. Tah 1–3Assist M. Olise
    83’
  12. ⇄ Tidiam GomisFor C. Baumgartner
    85’
  13. A. Pavlović 1–4Assist M. Olise
    85’
  14. ⇄ J. MusialaFor S. Gnabry
    87’
  15. ⇄ M. KimFor H. Ito
    87’
  16. M. Olise 1–5Assist J. Musiala
    88’
  17. ⇄ A. MaksimovićFor A. Nusa
    90’
  18. Full time · 1–5

Team stats

RB Leipzig15 shots · 12 in box, 3 outside
Bayern München18 shots · 15 in box, 3 outside
RB LeipzigBayern München
42% Possession 58%
2.38 Expected goals (xG) 4.50
0.58 Expected points (xPts) 2.29
15 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 12
7 Shots off target 1
4 Blocked shots 5
12 Shots inside the box 15
3 Shots outside the box 3
413 Passes 578
82% Pass accuracy 87%
5 Corners 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.63 Team rating 7.35

Line-ups

RB Leipzig 4-3-3

18.2 P. Gulácsi(G)
226.2 D. Raum A 235.6 C. Lukeba 45.3 V. Orbán 175.2 R. Baku
145.7 C. Baumgartner ↓85’ 136.5 N. Seiwald ↓81’ 246.7 X. Schlager
77.7 A. Nusa ↓90’ 408.0 Rômulo ↓81’ 497.9 Y. Diomande
  • 1P. Gulácsi (G)8.2
  • 22D. RaumA6.2
  • 23C. Lukeba5.6
  • 4V. Orbán5.3
  • 17R. Baku5.2
  • 14C. Baumgartner↓85’5.7
  • 13N. Seiwald↓81’6.5
  • 24X. Schlager6.7
  • 7A. Nusa↓90’7.7
  • 40Rômulo↓81’8.0
  • 49Y. Diomande7.9

Substitutes used

  • 6E. Banzuzi↑81’6.2
  • 11C. Harder↑81’6.7
  • 27Tidiam Gomis↑85’6.5
  • 33A. Maksimović↑90’

Unused: M. Vandevoordt, B. Henrichs, M. Finkgräfe, E. Bitshiabu, K. Nedeljković

Bayern München 4-2-3-1

17.9 M. Neuer(G)
216.2 H. Ito ↓87’ 48.0 J. Tah 27.2 D. Upamecano A 206.2 T. Bischof ↓81’
86.9 L. Goretzka ↓46’ 457.2 A. Pavlović
147.0 L. Díaz 78.0 S. Gnabry ↓87’ 426.9 Lennart Karl ↓57’
97.9 H. Kane
  • 1M. Neuer (G)7.9
  • 21H. Ito↓87’6.2
  • 4J. Tah8.0
  • 2D. UpamecanoA7.2
  • 20T. Bischof↓81’6.2
  • 8L. Goretzka↓46’6.9
  • 45A. Pavlović7.2
  • 14L. Díaz7.0
  • 7S. Gnabry↓87’8.0
  • 42Lennart Karl↓57’6.9
  • 9H. Kane7.9

Substitutes used

  • 6J. Kimmich↑46’7.3
  • 17M. Olise ★A×3↑57’10.0
  • 19A. Davies↑81’6.7
  • 3M. Kim↑87’
  • 10J. MusialaA↑87’

Unused: J. Urbig, R. Guerreiro, David Michael Santos Daiber, Felipe Marlon Chávez

Player stats

Top rated
M. OliseBayern München10.0
2nd
P. GulácsiRB Leipzig8.2
3rd
RômuloRB Leipzig8.0

RB Leipzig

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
P. Gulácsi G 90 0 0 7 sv 0 78% 41 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.2
D. Raum D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 80% 35 3 0 1/2 0/0 6.2
C. Lukeba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 69 0 1 0/0 1/0 5.6
V. Orbán D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 56 1 0 0/0 1/0 5.3
R. Baku M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 88% 43 1 0 0/1 1/0 5.2
C. Baumgartner M 85 0 0 2 (0) 0 71% 31 1 0 0/0 1/1 5.7
N. Seiwald M 81 0 0 1 (0) 1 82% 22 0 5 1/1 1/0 6.5
X. Schlager M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 33 2 0 1/2 1/0 6.7
A. Nusa M 90 0 0 4 (0) 1 64% 22 2 1 5/7 0/2 7.7
Rômulo F 81 1 0 3 (3) 2 62% 21 1 0 1/2 0/1 8.0
Y. Diomande F 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 84% 32 0 1 2/6 1/1 7.9
E. Banzuzi M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
C. Harder F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
Tidiam Gomis F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
A. Maksimović M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Bayern München

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Neuer G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 73% 41 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
H. Ito D 87 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 42 0 2 0/0 2/0 6.2
J. Tah D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 96% 67 1 2 0/0 1/0 8.0
D. Upamecano D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 92% 64 3 0 0/0 2/0 7.2
T. Bischof M 81 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 59 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.2
L. Goretzka M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 31 2 0 1/1 0/2 6.9
A. Pavlović M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 93% 56 0 2 1/1 0/1 7.2
L. Díaz F 90 0 0 3 (3) 1 76% 51 2 0 0/0 0/2 7.0
S. Gnabry F 87 1 0 2 (2) 1 95% 39 2 0 0/0 0/0 8.0
Lennart Karl M 57 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 29 2 0 0/2 0/0 6.9
H. Kane F 90 1 0 3 (2) 2 76% 33 1 0 0/0 0/2 7.9
J. Kimmich M 44 0 0 0 (0) 2 94% 32 1 0 1/1 0/0 7.3
M. Olise M 33 1 3 3 (3) 4 92% 24 0 0 1/3 0/0 10.0
A. Davies D 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
M. Kim D 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
J. Musiala F 3 0 1 0 (0) 1 100% 2 1 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.