Bundesliga Gameweek 29 Sat, Apr 11 2026 · 14:30 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.25 – 1.73
  • Y. Diomande 81’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Diomande goal decides it for RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Diomande goal. RB Leipzig finished with the higher xG (2.25 vs 1.73). On the chances created, Borussia Mönchengladbach deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

RB Leipzig ✓66%
Draw19%
Borussia Mönchengladbach14%

Model vs reality

RB Leipzig goals
1
Model 2.29 · xG 2.25
Borussia Mönchengladbach goals
0
Model 0.98 · xG 1.73
Total goals
1
Model 3.27 · xG 3.98
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 63%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. DiomandeRB Leipzig · 1 goal
9.7
  • RefereeSascha Stegemann
  • Coaches— · Eugen Polanski
  • VenueRed Bull Arena
  • Table before kick-offRB Leipzig 3rd · Borussia Mönchengladbach 13th

Timeline

  1. R. BakuYellow card · Tripping
    33’
  2. ⇄ A. BolinFor L. Ullrich
    34’
  3. J. ScallyYellow card · Roughing
    36’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. N. SeiwaldYellow card · Roughing
    47’
  6. ⇄ F. ChiarodiaFor K. Diks
    63’
  7. ⇄ F. OuédraogoFor A. Nusa
    67’
  8. ⇄ S. BakayokoFor Rômulo
    67’
  9. ⇄ B. HenrichsFor R. Baku
    78’
  10. X. SchlagerYellow card
    78’
  11. ⇄ B. GrudaFor N. Seiwald
    79’
  12. Y. Diomande 1–0Assist C. Baumgartner
    81’
  13. B. GrudaYellow card · Roughing
    82’
  14. ⇄ W. MohyaFor F. Honorat
    85’
  15. ⇄ K. StögerFor J. Castrop
    85’
  16. ⇄ S. MachinoFor Y. Engelhardt
    85’
  17. ⇄ M. FinkgräfeFor Y. Diomande
    90+2’
  18. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

RB Leipzig24 shots · 18 in box, 6 outside
Borussia Mönchengladbach12 shots · 11 in box, 1 outside
RB LeipzigBorussia Mönchengladbach
52% Possession 48%
2.25 Expected goals (xG) 1.73
1.70 Expected points (xPts) 1.10
24 Shots 12
11 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 6
6 Blocked shots 3
18 Shots inside the box 11
6 Shots outside the box 1
436 Passes 405
83% Pass accuracy 77%
11 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 11
9 Fouls 6
3 Offsides 1
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.31 Team rating 7.08

Line-ups

RB Leipzig 4-3-3

267.5 M. Vandevoordt(G)
228.5 D. Raum 56.9 E. Bitshiabu 47.6 V. Orbán 177.0 R. Baku ↓78’
246.6 X. Schlager 136.9 N. Seiwald ↓79’ 147.3 C. Baumgartner A
76.7 A. Nusa ↓67’ 405.6 Rômulo ↓67’ 499.7★ Y. Diomande ↓90’
  • 26M. Vandevoordt (G)7.5
  • 22D. Raum8.5
  • 5E. Bitshiabu6.9
  • 4V. Orbán7.6
  • 17R. Baku↓78’7.0
  • 24X. Schlager6.6
  • 13N. Seiwald↓79’6.9
  • 14C. BaumgartnerA7.3
  • 7A. Nusa↓67’6.7
  • 40Rômulo↓67’5.6
  • 49Y. Diomande ★↓90’9.7

Substitutes used

  • 9S. Bakayoko↑67’6.6
  • 10B. Gruda↑79’6.9
  • 20F. Ouédraogo↑67’6.6
  • 35M. Finkgräfe↑90’
  • 39B. Henrichs↑78’6.3

Unused: P. Gulácsi, Tidiam Gomis, L. Klostermann, E. Banzuzi

Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-3-3

338.9 M. Nicolas(G)
266.3 L. Ullrich ↓34’ 46.9 K. Diks ↓63’ 307.9 N. Elvedi 296.2 J. Scally
66.6 Y. Engelhardt ↓85’ 166.6 P. Sander 277.2 R. Reitz
176.6 J. Castrop ↓85’ 157.3 H. Tabaković 96.9 F. Honorat ↓85’
  • 33M. Nicolas (G)8.9
  • 26L. Ullrich↓34’6.3
  • 4K. Diks↓63’6.9
  • 30N. Elvedi7.9
  • 29J. Scally6.2
  • 6Y. Engelhardt↓85’6.6
  • 16P. Sander6.6
  • 27R. Reitz7.2
  • 17J. Castrop↓85’6.6
  • 15H. Tabaković7.3
  • 9F. Honorat↓85’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 38A. Bolin↑34’6.9
  • 7K. Stöger↑85’6.3
  • 2F. Chiarodia↑63’7.2
  • 36W. Mohya↑85’6.5
  • 18S. Machino↑85’6.7

Unused: F. Neuhaus, J. Olschowsky, K. Takai, G. Reyna

Coach: Eugen Polanski

Player stats

Top rated
Y. DiomandeRB Leipzig9.7
2nd
M. NicolasBorussia Mönchengladbach8.9
3rd
D. RaumRB Leipzig8.5

RB Leipzig

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.