UEFA Champions League Matchday 2 Tue, Oct 13 2026 · 20:00 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.19 – 1.36
  • B. Gruda 75’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Gruda goal decides it for RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Gruda goal. RB Leipzig finished with the higher xG (2.19 vs 1.36). On the chances created, PSV Eindhoven deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

RB Leipzig ✓45%
Draw21%
PSV Eindhoven33%

Model vs reality

RB Leipzig goals
1
Model 1.97 · xG 2.19
PSV Eindhoven goals
0
Model 1.68 · xG 1.36
Total goals
1
Model 3.66 · xG 3.55
Score 1–0
5%
Most likely 1–1 (9%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 71%
Both scored
No
Model 70%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. VandevoordtRB Leipzig
8.9
  • RefereeNick Walsh
  • CoachesM. Demichelis · P. Bosz
  • VenueRed Bull Arena
  • Table before kick-offRB Leipzig 33rd · PSV Eindhoven 19th
  • Weather at kick-off14°C · Overcast · wind 11 km/h

Timeline

  1. VAR R. van BommelPenalty confirmed
    16’
  2. ✕ I. PerišićMissed penalty
    19’
  3. S. DestYellow card · Foul
    43’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. ⇄ Tidiam GomisFor Rômulo
    61’
  6. B. Gruda 1–0
    75’
  7. ⇄ R. ReitzFor B. Gruda
    76’
  8. ⇄ R. FlamingoFor L. Geertruida
    77’
  9. ⇄ Yarek GąsiorowskiFor F. Kostić
    77’
  10. VAR D. RaumOriginal decision changed
    81’
  11. A. NusaYellow card · Foul
    81’
  12. ⇄ A. SantosFor R. van Bommel
    84’
  13. ⇄ Mikkel Bro HansenFor S. Mijnans
    84’
  14. A. ObispoYellow card · Foul
    85’
  15. ⇄ N. SeiwaldFor R. Baku
    86’
  16. ⇄ L. KlostermannFor E. Banzuzi
    86’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

RB Leipzig19 shots · 15 in box, 4 outside
PSV Eindhoven9 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven
43% Possession 57%
2.19 Expected goals (xG) 1.36
1.89 Expected points (xPts) 0.90
19 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
8 Shots off target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
15 Shots inside the box 8
4 Shots outside the box 3
330 Passes 420
84% Pass accuracy 84%
5 Corners 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
12 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 5
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.23 Team rating 6.75

Line-ups

RB Leipzig 4-2-3-1

268.9★ M. Vandevoordt(G)
227.4 D. Raum 237.3 C. Lukeba 47.4 V. Orbán 177.5 R. Baku ↓86’
66.7 E. Banzuzi ↓86’ 217.1 N. El Aynaoui
76.4 A. Nusa 286.3 C. Nkunku 108.2 B. Gruda ↓76’
406.3 Rômulo ↓61’
  • 26M. Vandevoordt (G) ★8.9
  • 22D. Raum7.4
  • 23C. Lukeba7.3
  • 4V. Orbán7.4
  • 17R. Baku↓86’7.5
  • 6E. Banzuzi↓86’6.7
  • 21N. El Aynaoui7.1
  • 7A. Nusa6.4
  • 28C. Nkunku6.3
  • 10B. Gruda↓76’8.2
  • 40Rômulo↓61’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 27Tidiam Gomis↑61’6.7
  • 16L. Klostermann↑86’7.0
  • 20R. Reitz↑76’6.8
  • 13N. Seiwald↑86’6.8

Unused: S. Bakayoko, M. Estève, M. Finkgräfe, B. Henrichs, A. Koné, A. Maksimović, Ø. Nyland

Coach: M. Demichelis

PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1

328.0 M. Kovář(G)
187.0 F. Kostić ↓77’ 46.7 A. Obispo 27.1 L. Geertruida ↓77’ 86.4 S. Dest
176.6 Mauro Júnior 246.5 K. Sano
76.8 R. van Bommel ↓84’ 206.4 G. Til 56.7 I. Perišić
216.4 S. Mijnans ↓84’
  • 32M. Kovář (G)8.0
  • 18F. Kostić↓77’7.0
  • 4A. Obispo6.7
  • 2L. Geertruida↓77’7.1
  • 8S. Dest6.4
  • 17Mauro Júnior6.6
  • 24K. Sano6.5
  • 7R. van Bommel↓84’6.8
  • 20G. Til6.4
  • 5I. Perišić6.7
  • 21S. Mijnans↓84’6.4

Substitutes used

  • 35A. Santos↑84’6.5
  • 3Yarek Gąsiorowski↑77’6.5
  • 6R. Flamingo↑77’6.9
  • 23Mikkel Bro Hansen↑84’6.3

Unused: T. Smolenaars, N. Olij, D. Man, N. Fernandez, S. Cornecion, A. Bouhamdi, E. Bajraktarević

Coach: P. Bosz

Player stats

Top rated
M. VandevoordtRB Leipzig8.9
2nd
B. GrudaRB Leipzig8.2
3rd
M. KovářPSV Eindhoven8.0

RB Leipzig

PSV Eindhoven

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.