Real Betis vs Girona – 23 Nov 2025

La Liga Gameweek 13 Sun, Nov 23 · 15:15 Estadio Benito Villamarín, Sevilla

Real Betis 5th · 20 pts · 12 played WDLWD

1–1Full time

Girona 18th · 10 pts · 12 played WLDLW

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Real Betis were clear favourites.

Real Betis were the stronger side on L90 Strength (69 vs 37). Absences weigh more on Girona. Real Betis had 13.9 days of rest, Girona 15.1 and had to travel 909 km.

Away travel909 kmRest days13.9 · 15.1Matches / 14d1 · 0

Real Betis63%

Draw22%

Girona15%

Expected goals 1.96 – 0.83

Real Betis63%

Draw22%

Girona15%

Expected goals 2.02 – 0.88

Real Betis62%

Draw23%

Girona15%

Expected goals 1.91 – 0.83

Real Betis56%

Draw25%

Girona19%

Expected goals 1.75 – 0.94

Real Betis64%

Draw21%

Girona15%

Expected goals 2.08 – 0.89

Over 2.5 53% Both score 49% Likeliest score 2–0

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Sevilla)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainIosu Galech Apezteguia

Cards per match 4.4
Penalties per match 0.14
Matches 7

Team strength

Real Betis

Girona

69 L90 StrengthIn forecast 37

71 Current StrengthIn forecast 45

79 AttackIn forecast 49

59 DefenceIn forecast 64

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Real Betis

Attack—

Defense risk—

Girona

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Real Betis

Girona

1.58 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.92

1.08 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

1.41 xGVia Att/Def 0.93

0.90 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.79

+0.17 Goals minus xGContext -0.01

92% Scored inContext 67%

25% Clean sheetsContext 17%

14.42 ShotsContext 8.83

4.58 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.58

32% On target shareContext 41%

8.75 Shots in the boxContext 5.58

60% Box shareContext 63%

11% ConversionContext 10%

1.80 OffsidesContext 2.50

10.92 Shots allowedContext 16.33

3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.33

2.55 BlocksContext 3.50

2.82 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.58

78% Save rateContext 67%

53% PossessionIn forecast 48%

500 PassesContext 413

430 Accurate passesContext 347

86% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.96 Team ratingContext 6.71

9.50 FoulsContext 10.33

13.17 Fouls sufferedContext 14.92

1.67 Yellow cardsContext 1.75

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.17

This league season, per match · 12 and 12 games

1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

0.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.60

1.12 xGVia Att/Def 1.04

1.01 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.60

+0.48 Goals minus xGContext -0.04

80% Scored inContext 70%

50% Clean sheetsContext 20%

11.50 ShotsContext 9.40

4.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.90

37% On target shareContext 42%

6.50 Shots in the boxContext 6.10

56% Box shareContext 65%

14% ConversionContext 11%

2.13 OffsidesContext 2.71

11.30 Shots allowedContext 16.30

2.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.30

3.13 BlocksContext 3.60

2.10 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.90

75% Save rateContext 74%

52% PossessionIn forecast 49%

500 PassesContext 410

433 Accurate passesContext 344

87% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.97 Team ratingContext 6.78

10.50 FoulsContext 10.80

11.20 Fouls sufferedContext 15.40

2.10 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Real Betis

Rest13.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km1,079 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Girona

Rest15.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel909 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Real Betis	Girona
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	13.9La Liga 2025-2026, 9 Nov	15.1La Liga 2025-2026, 8 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	909 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,079 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 4	0 / 0 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	4.2	7.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Real Betis Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1Álvaro Vallés(G)

16Valentín Gómez 4Natan 5Marc Bartra 2Héctor Bellerín

8Pablo Fornals 21Marc Roca

17Rodrigo Riquelme 20G. Lo Celso 7Antony

19C. Hernández

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Girona Confirmed XI

4-1-4-1

13P. Gazzaniga(G)

24Álex Moreno 12Vitor Reis 4Arnau Martínez 2Hugo Rincón

20A. Witsel

21Bryan Gil 18A. Ounahi 23Iván Martín 15V. Tsyhankov

19V. Vanat

+9 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Real Betis Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Girona Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.06 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Real Betis+1.1 pp
Draw-0.6 pp
Girona-0.5 pp

Home / Away this season

Real Betis · Home 2.00points per game · 6 home games

W-D-L: 4-0-2
Scored: 1.67
Conceded: 0.83

Girona · Away 0.40points per game · 5 away games

W-D-L: 0-2-3
Scored: 0.80
Conceded: 2.20

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 7 this season

Opponent	Real Betis	Girona
Valencia	D 1–1 A	W 2–1 H
Villarreal	D 2–2 A	L 0–5 A
Espanyol	W 2–1 A	D 0–0 H
Levante	D 2–2 A	L 0–4 H
Athletic Club	L 1–2 H	D 1–1 A
Celta Vigo	D 1–1 A	D 1–1 A
Alaves	W 1–0 H	W 1–0 H
Points	10 of 21 · 1.43 per game	9 of 21 · 1.29 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

3 Real Betis wins2 draws1 Girona wins

Goals per game1.83 – 1.33 Over 2.567% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%

21 Apr 2025Girona1–3Real Betis
15 Aug 2024Real Betis1–1Girona
31 Mar 2024Girona3–2Real Betis
21 Dec 2023Real Betis1–1Girona
28 May 2023Girona1–2Real Betis
18 Sep 2022Real Betis2–1Girona

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Real Betis	Girona	Forecast
Scored per game	1.58	0.92
Conceded per game	1.08	2.00
Match goals	2.67	2.92	2.80
Over 1.5	92%	83%
Over 2.5	50%	58%	53%
Over 3.5	25%	33%
Both teams scored	67%	58%	49%
Clean sheets	25%	17%
Failed to score	8%	33%
Games	12	12

	Real Betis	Girona	Forecast
Scored per game	1.60	1.00
Conceded per game	0.80	1.60
Match goals	2.40	2.60	2.80
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	40%	50%	53%
Over 3.5	20%	20%
Both teams scored	40%	60%	49%
Clean sheets	50%	20%
Failed to score	20%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Real Betis	Girona	League
Corners
Corners won	4.58	5.00
Corners conceded	5.50	5.64
Match total	10.08	10.64	9.72
Over 8.5	58% 7/12	73% 8/11
Over 9.5	50% 6/12	55% 6/11
Over 10.5	33% 4/12	55% 6/11
Cards
Cards	1.67	2.08
Opponent cards	2.50	1.25
Match total	4.17	3.33	4.25
Over 3.5	50% 6/12	25% 3/12
Over 4.5	42% 5/12	25% 3/12

	Real Betis	Girona	League
Corners
Corners won	3.40	5.78
Corners conceded	4.90	5.67
Match total	8.30	11.45	9.72
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	89% 8/9
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	67% 6/9
Over 10.5	10% 1/10	67% 6/9
Cards
Cards	2.10	2.20
Opponent cards	1.80	1.30
Match total	3.90	3.50	4.25
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	30% 3/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Iosu Galech Apezteguia Spain · 7 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.43league 3.99

Red cards0.00league 0.27

Cards 5+43%league 44%

Fouls27.4league 24.5

Penalties0.14league 0.35

Home wins43%league 48%

Real Betis1 with this referee

Record1-0-0 Cards · opp.4.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

W5 Oct 25A · Espanyol2–14

Girona

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.