La Liga Gameweek 13 Fri, Nov 21 2025 · 20:00 Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.40 – 0.69
  • Hugo Duro 79’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Duro goal decides it for Valencia

Valencia entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Duro goal. Valencia finished with the higher xG (1.40 vs 0.69). On the chances created, Levante deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Valencia ✓47%
Draw28%
Levante25%

Model vs reality

Valencia goals
1
Model 1.45 · xG 1.40
Levante goals
0
Model 0.99 · xG 0.69
Total goals
1
Model 2.44 · xG 2.09
Score 1–0
12%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 44%
Both scored
No
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchAndré AlmeidaValencia
7.6
  • RefereeAlejandro Muñiz Ruiz
  • VenueEstadio de Mestalla
  • Table before kick-offValencia 17th · Levante 19th

Timeline

  1. Carlos ÁlvarezYellow card · Holding
    31’
  2. Oriol ReyYellow card · Foul
    34’
  3. CopeteYellow card · Foul
    45+1’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. Thierry CorreiaYellow card · Holding
    49’
  6. ⇄ Hugo DuroFor L. Beltrán
    54’
  7. VAR Diego LópezGoal Disallowed - offside
    63’
  8. ⇄ Roger BruguéFor Iván Romero
    70’
  9. ⇄ K. ArriagaFor Oriol Rey
    70’
  10. ⇄ G. KoyalipouFor E. Eyong
    70’
  11. ⇄ Luis RiojaFor A. Danjuma
    73’
  12. Hugo Duro 1–0Assist José Gayà
    79’
  13. José GayàYellow card · Foul
    81’
  14. ⇄ José Luis MoralesFor Unai Vencedor
    84’
  15. ⇄ Jon Ander OlasagastiFor Unai Elguezabal
    84’
  16. ⇄ B. SantamaríaFor Javi Guerra
    85’
  17. ⇄ D. FoulquierFor Thierry Correia
    85’
  18. ⇄ Dani RabaFor André Almeida
    85’
  19. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Valencia14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
Levante6 shots · 3 in box, 3 outside
ValenciaLevante
60% Possession 40%
1.40 Expected goals (xG) 0.69
1.90 Expected points (xPts) 0.83
14 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
5 Shots off target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
10 Shots inside the box 3
4 Shots outside the box 3
523 Passes 360
87% Pass accuracy 79%
7 Corners 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
16 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.82 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

Valencia 4-2-3-1

256.6 Julen Agirrezabala(G)
146.3 José Gayà A 36.9 Copete 56.9 César Tárrega 127.3 Thierry Correia ↓85’
187.0 Pepelu 87.0 Javi Guerra ↓85’
76.2 A. Danjuma ↓73’ 107.6★ André Almeida ↓85’ 166.6 Diego López
156.2 L. Beltrán ↓54’
  • 25Julen Agirrezabala (G)6.6
  • 14José GayàA6.3
  • 3Copete6.9
  • 5César Tárrega6.9
  • 12Thierry Correia↓85’7.3
  • 18Pepelu7.0
  • 8Javi Guerra↓85’7.0
  • 7A. Danjuma↓73’6.2
  • 10André Almeida ★↓85’7.6
  • 16Diego López6.6
  • 15L. Beltrán↓54’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 9Hugo Duro↑54’7.6
  • 20D. Foulquier↑85’6.3
  • 11Luis Rioja↑73’6.2
  • 22B. Santamaría↑85’6.9
  • 19Dani Raba↑85’6.2

Unused: S. Dimitrievski, Cristian Rivero, Rubén Iranzo, Jesús Vázquez, F. Ugrinic, David Otorbi

Levante 4-5-1

137.2 M. Ryan(G)
237.0 Manu Sánchez 46.6 Adrián de la Fuente 26.9 M. Moreno 227.0 J. Toljan
96.9 Iván Romero ↓70’ 206.5 Oriol Rey ↓70’ 126.3 Unai Vencedor ↓84’ 56.6 Unai Elguezabal ↓84’ 246.2 Carlos Álvarez
216.7 E. Eyong ↓70’
  • 13M. Ryan (G)7.2
  • 23Manu Sánchez7.0
  • 4Adrián de la Fuente6.6
  • 2M. Moreno6.9
  • 22J. Toljan7.0
  • 9Iván Romero↓70’6.9
  • 20Oriol Rey↓70’6.5
  • 12Unai Vencedor↓84’6.3
  • 5Unai Elguezabal↓84’6.6
  • 24Carlos Álvarez6.2
  • 21E. Eyong↓70’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 7Roger Brugué↑70’6.7
  • 16K. Arriaga↑70’6.3
  • 15G. Koyalipou↑70’6.7
  • 8Jon Ander Olasagasti↑84’6.7
  • 11José Luis Morales↑84’6.3

Unused: Primo, Pablo Cuñat, Jorge Cabello, A. Matturro, Diego Pampín, Iker Losada, Víctor García

Player stats

Top rated
André AlmeidaValencia7.6
2nd
Hugo DuroValencia7.6
3rd
Thierry CorreiaValencia7.3

Valencia

Levante

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.