Real Betis vs Mallorca – 2 Nov 2025

La Liga Gameweek 11 Sun, Nov 2 · 20:00 Estadio Benito Villamarín, Sevilla

Real Betis 7th · 16 pts · 10 played WWWDL

3–0Full time

Mallorca 16th · 9 pts · 10 played LWLWD

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Real Betis were slight favourites.

Real Betis were the stronger side on L90 Strength (67 vs 48). Real Betis had 6 days of rest, Mallorca 7.3 and had to travel 789 km.

Away travel789 kmRest days6 · 7.3Matches / 14d2 · 1

Real Betis56%

Draw25%

Mallorca20%

Expected goals 1.73 – 0.94

Real Betis55%

Draw24%

Mallorca20%

Expected goals 1.79 – 1.00

Real Betis55%

Draw25%

Mallorca20%

Expected goals 1.69 – 0.93

Real Betis48%

Draw27%

Mallorca25%

Expected goals 1.55 – 1.05

Real Betis56%

Draw24%

Mallorca20%

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.01

Over 2.5 50% Both score 51% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Sevilla)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainJesus Gil Manzano

Cards per match 4.7
Penalties per match 0.46
Matches 37

Team strength

Real Betis

Mallorca

67 L90 StrengthIn forecast 48

72 Current StrengthIn forecast 48

79 AttackIn forecast 50

59 DefenceIn forecast 59

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Real Betis

Attack—

Defense risk—

Mallorca

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Real Betis

Mallorca

1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.27 xGVia Att/Def 0.91

0.85 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.70

+0.23 Goals minus xGContext +0.19

90% Scored inContext 80%

20% Clean sheetsContext 10%

15.00 ShotsContext 10.70

4.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.10

30% On target shareContext 38%

8.90 Shots in the boxContext 6.78

57% Box shareContext 62%

10% ConversionContext 10%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.60

10.20 Shots allowedContext 14.00

3.70 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.60

2.11 BlocksContext 3.80

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.56

77% Save rateContext 74%

52% PossessionIn forecast 45%

490 PassesContext 377

419 Accurate passesContext 305

86% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.93 Team ratingContext 6.80

9.50 FoulsContext 11.30

13.90 Fouls sufferedContext 12.40

1.70 Yellow cardsContext 2.20

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

This league season, per match · 10 and 10 games

1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.00 xGVia Att/Def 0.91

0.98 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.70

+0.60 Goals minus xGContext +0.19

80% Scored inContext 80%

30% Clean sheetsContext 10%

14.10 ShotsContext 10.70

4.30 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.10

31% On target shareContext 38%

8.20 Shots in the boxContext 6.78

55% Box shareContext 62%

11% ConversionContext 10%

2.38 OffsidesContext 2.60

10.50 Shots allowedContext 14.00

3.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.60

2.78 BlocksContext 3.80

2.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.56

74% Save rateContext 74%

55% PossessionIn forecast 45%

505 PassesContext 377

436 Accurate passesContext 305

86% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.90 Team ratingContext 6.80

10.40 FoulsContext 11.30

13.20 Fouls sufferedContext 12.40

2.10 Yellow cardsContext 2.20

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Real Betis

Rest6 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km3,522 km in 14d

Schedule load10%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Mallorca

Rest7.3 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel789 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Real Betis	Mallorca
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 10	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6La Liga 2025-2026, 27 Oct	7.3La Liga 2025-2026, 26 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	789 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	3,522 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 3	0 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	4	6.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Real Betis Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1Álvaro Vallés(G)

12R. Rodríguez 4Natan 5Marc Bartra 2Héctor Bellerín

8Pablo Fornals 14S. Amrabat

10A. Ezzalzouli 20G. Lo Celso 7Antony

19C. Hernández

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Mallorca Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13L. Bergström(G)

22J. Mojica 21Raíllo 24M. Valjent 23Pablo Maffeo

8Manu Morlanes 12Samú Costa

17J. Virgili 10Darder 18Mateo Joseph

7V. Muriqi

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Real Betis Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Mallorca Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.05 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Real Betis+0.8 pp
Draw-0.5 pp
Mallorca-0.4 pp

Home / Away this season

Real Betis · Home 1.80points per game · 5 home games

W-D-L: 3-0-2
Scored: 1.40
Conceded: 1.00

Mallorca · Away 0.60points per game · 5 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-4
Scored: 1.40
Conceded: 1.80

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 7 this season

Opponent	Real Betis	Mallorca
Atletico Madrid	L 0–2 H	D 1–1 H
Espanyol	W 2–1 A	L 2–3 A
Real Sociedad	W 3–1 H	L 0–1 A
Levante	D 2–2 A	D 1–1 H
Athletic Club	L 1–2 H	L 1–2 A
Celta Vigo	D 1–1 A	D 1–1 H
Alaves	W 1–0 H	W 1–0 H
Points	11 of 21 · 1.57 per game	6 of 21 · 0.86 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

6 Real Betis wins1 draws1 Mallorca wins

Goals per game1.38 – 0.63 Over 2.538% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 0%

25 Jan 2025Mallorca0–1Real Betis
23 Sep 2024Real Betis1–2Mallorca
27 Jan 2024Mallorca0–1Real Betis
4 Nov 2023Real Betis2–0Mallorca
19 Mar 2023Real Betis1–0Mallorca
20 Aug 2022Mallorca1–2Real Betis

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Real Betis	Mallorca	Forecast
Scored per game	1.50	1.10
Conceded per game	1.20	1.50
Match goals	2.70	2.60	2.67
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	50%	50%	50%
Over 3.5	30%	20%
Both teams scored	70%	70%	51%
Clean sheets	20%	10%
Failed to score	10%	20%
Games	10	10

	Real Betis	Mallorca	Forecast
Scored per game	1.60	1.10
Conceded per game	1.20	1.50
Match goals	2.80	2.60	2.67
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	60%	50%	50%
Over 3.5	40%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	70%	51%
Clean sheets	30%	10%
Failed to score	20%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Real Betis	Mallorca	League
Corners
Corners won	4.90	3.60
Corners conceded	5.50	6.20
Match total	10.40	9.80	9.76
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	60% 6/10	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	1.70	2.50
Opponent cards	2.40	2.30
Match total	4.10	4.80	4.30
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	50% 5/10

	Real Betis	Mallorca	League
Corners
Corners won	4.50	3.60
Corners conceded	5.20	6.20
Match total	9.70	9.80	9.76
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	2.10	2.50
Opponent cards	2.30	2.30
Match total	4.40	4.80	4.30
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Jesus Gil Manzano Spain · 37 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.41league 4.04

Red cards0.30league 0.27

Cards 5+51%league 44%

Fouls25.4league 24.7

Penalties0.46league 0.36

Home wins35%league 48%

Real Betis5 with this referee

Record1-2-2 Cards · opp.3.0 · 2.6 Pens for · against1 · 2 Reds1

D27 Aug 25A · Celta Vigo1–12
L31 Mar 24A · Girona2–34
L21 Jan 24H · Barcelona2–41
D12 Nov 23A · Sevilla1–11
W22 May 21A · Celta Vigo3–27

Mallorca

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.