La Liga Gameweek 11 Sat, Nov 1 2025 · 20:00 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
4–0 Full time · HT 3–0 xG 2.80 – 0.44
  • K. Mbappé 19’ (P), 31’
  • J. Bellingham 44’
  • Álvaro Fernández 82’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Real Madrid cruise past Valencia

Real Madrid entered as clear favourites and won 4–0 through goals from Mbappé, Bellingham and Fernández. Real Madrid finished with the higher xG (2.80 vs 0.44).

Real Madrid ✓76%
Draw16%
Valencia8%

Model vs reality

Real Madrid goals
4
Model 2.45 · xG 2.80
Valencia goals
0
Model 0.68 · xG 0.44
Total goals
4
Model 3.13 · xG 3.24
Score 4–0
7%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 61%
Both scored
No
Model 46%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchÁlvaro FernándezReal Madrid · 1 goal
9.3
  • RefereeMateo Busquets Ferrer
  • VenueEstadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Table before kick-offReal Madrid 1st · Valencia 18th

Timeline

  1. K. Mbappé (pen) 1–0
    19’
  2. K. Mbappé 2–0Assist A. Güler
    31’
  3. A. TchouaméniYellow card · Tripping
    36’
  4. ✕ ViníciusMissed penalty
    43’
  5. J. Bellingham 3–0Assist F. Valverde
    44’
  6. Half time · 3–0
  7. ⇄ Dani CeballosFor A. Güler
    46’
  8. ⇄ E. CamavingaFor A. Tchouaméni
    46’
  9. ⇄ André AlmeidaFor L. Beltrán
    46’
  10. ⇄ Hugo DuroFor Luis Rioja
    55’
  11. ⇄ E. CömertFor Diego López
    55’
  12. ⇄ Jesús VázquezFor Thierry Correia
    55’
  13. ⇄ Raúl AsencioFor D. Huijsen
    68’
  14. ⇄ RodrygoFor Vinícius
    79’
  15. ⇄ EndrickFor K. Mbappé
    79’
  16. Álvaro Fernández 4–0
    82’
  17. ⇄ Javi GuerraFor Pepelu
    87’
  18. Javi GuerraYellow card · Holding
    88’
  19. Full time · 4–0

Team stats

Real Madrid21 shots · 12 in box, 9 outside
Valencia4 shots · 3 in box, 1 outside
Real MadridValencia
65% Possession 35%
2.80 Expected goals (xG) 0.44
2.68 Expected points (xPts) 0.21
21 Shots 4
11 Shots on target 1
4 Shots off target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
12 Shots inside the box 3
9 Shots outside the box 1
711 Passes 377
90% Pass accuracy 84%
7 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
14 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.33 Team rating 6.57

Line-ups

Real Madrid 4-3-3

16.6 T. Courtois(G)
189.3★ Álvaro Fernández 247.2 D. Huijsen ↓68’ 37.2 Éder Militão 87.9 F. Valverde A
57.9 J. Bellingham 146.6 A. Tchouaméni ↓46’ 157.5 A. Güler A↓46’
76.9 Vinícius ↓79’ 107.6 K. Mbappé ↓79’ 306.9 Franco Mastantuono
  • 1T. Courtois (G)6.6
  • 18Álvaro Fernández ★9.3
  • 24D. Huijsen↓68’7.2
  • 3Éder Militão7.2
  • 8F. ValverdeA7.9
  • 5J. Bellingham7.9
  • 14A. Tchouaméni↓46’6.6
  • 15A. GülerA↓46’7.5
  • 7Vinícius↓79’6.9
  • 10K. Mbappé↓79’7.6
  • 30Franco Mastantuono6.9

Substitutes used

  • 19Dani Ceballos↑46’6.3
  • 6E. Camavinga↑46’6.6
  • 17Raúl Asencio↑68’6.6
  • 9Endrick↑79’6.6
  • 11Rodrygo↑79’6.3

Unused: Fran González, Sergio Mestre, Fran García, T. Alexander-Arnold, F. Mendy, Brahim Díaz, Gonzalo García

Valencia 4-4-2

258.2 Julen Agirrezabala(G)
145.7 José Gayà 35.9 Copete 56.3 César Tárrega 126.0 Thierry Correia ↓55’
116.6 Luis Rioja ↓55’ 187.0 Pepelu ↓87’ 226.7 B. Santamaría 166.0 Diego López ↓55’
156.5 L. Beltrán ↓46’ 76.7 A. Danjuma
  • 25Julen Agirrezabala (G)8.2
  • 14José Gayà5.7
  • 3Copete5.9
  • 5César Tárrega6.3
  • 12Thierry Correia↓55’6.0
  • 11Luis Rioja↓55’6.6
  • 18Pepelu↓87’7.0
  • 22B. Santamaría6.7
  • 16Diego López↓55’6.0
  • 15L. Beltrán↓46’6.5
  • 7A. Danjuma6.7

Substitutes used

  • 10André Almeida↑46’6.6
  • 21Jesús Vázquez↑55’6.5
  • 24E. Cömert↑55’6.9
  • 9Hugo Duro↑55’6.7
  • 8Javi Guerra↑87’

Unused: S. Dimitrievski, Cristian Rivero, Alejandro Panach Olmo, Rubén Iranzo, Lucas Núñez, Dani Raba, David Otorbi

Player stats

Top rated
Álvaro FernándezReal Madrid9.3
2nd
Julen AgirrezabalaValencia8.2
3rd
F. ValverdeReal Madrid7.9

Real Madrid

Valencia

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.