Real Betis vs Real Sociedad – 21 Aug 2026

La Liga Gameweek 2 Fri, Aug 21 · 20:00 Estadio Benito Villamarín, Sevilla

Real Betis

1–0Full time

Real Sociedad

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Real Betis were slight favourites.

Real Betis were the stronger side on L90 Strength (67 vs 53). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Real Betis. Real Betis had 90 days of rest, Real Sociedad 90 and had to travel 741 km. Weather to note: warm.

Away travel741 kmRest days90 · 90Matches / 14d0 · 0

Real Betis55%

Draw22%

Real Sociedad22%

Expected goals 1.89 – 1.12

Real Betis53%

Draw24%

Real Sociedad23%

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.05

Real Betis56%

Draw22%

Real Sociedad22%

Expected goals 1.90 – 1.10

Real Betis48%

Draw24%

Real Sociedad28%

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.25

Real Betis55%

Draw23%

Real Sociedad22%

Expected goals 1.87 – 1.10

Over 2.5 58% Both score 57% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Sevilla)

28°CClear

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 12 km/h
Humidity 48%

Warm

Referee · SpainIsidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Cards per match 5.1
Penalties per match 0.26
Matches 42

Team strength

Real Betis

Real Sociedad

67 L90 StrengthIn forecast 53

72 Current StrengthIn forecast 58

79 AttackIn forecast 62

59 DefenceIn forecast 48

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Real Betis

Attack—

Defense risk—

Real Sociedad

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Real Betis

Real Sociedad

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.60

1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.90

1.26 xGVia Att/Def 1.34

1.39 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.68

+0.54 Goals minus xGContext +0.26

100% Scored inContext 80%

10% Clean sheetsContext 10%

11.70 ShotsContext 10.50

4.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.33

41% On target shareContext 37%

6.00 Shots in the boxContext 6.40

50% Box shareContext 62%

15% ConversionContext 15%

2.50 OffsidesContext 3.75

10.90 Shots allowedContext 16.00

4.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.78

2.80 BlocksContext 3.90

4.13 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.50

79% Save rateContext 72%

47% PossessionIn forecast 55%

459 PassesContext 476

391 Accurate passesContext 404

85% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.80 Team ratingContext 6.78

11.70 FoulsContext 12.40

10.50 Fouls sufferedContext 13.80

2.10 Yellow cardsContext 2.90

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Real Betis

Rest90 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Real Sociedad

Rest90 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel741 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Real Betis	Real Sociedad
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	90La Liga 2025-2026, 23 May	90La Liga 2025-2026, 23 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	741 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	4	5

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Real Betis Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1Álvaro Vallés(G)

11Fran García 4Natan 5Marc Bartra 2Héctor Bellerín

21Marc Roca 6F. Bernal

17Rodrigo Riquelme 8Pablo Fornals 7Antony

9C. Hernández

+7 more reported missing outside this XI

Real Sociedad Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1Álex Remiro(G)

17Sergio Gómez 31Jon Martín 5Zubeldia 2J. Aramburu

18Carlos Soler 21Y. Herrera

7Barrenetxea 24L. Sučić 14T. Kubo

9O. Óskarsson

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Real Betis Absences are shown before kick-off

Real Sociedad Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Real Betis-0.7 pp
Draw+0.1 pp
Real Sociedad+0.6 pp

Home / Away this season

Real Betis · Home No home games yet this season.

Real Sociedad · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 10 of 12 meetings

4 Real Betis wins4 draws2 Real Sociedad wins

Goals per game1.40 – 0.70 Over 2.540% Both scored20% Clean sheets60% · 50%

9 May 2026Real Sociedad2–2Real Betis
19 Sep 2025Real Betis3–1Real Sociedad
16 Feb 2025Real Betis3–0Real Sociedad
1 Dec 2024Real Sociedad2–0Real Betis
19 May 2024Real Betis0–2Real Sociedad
17 Dec 2023Real Sociedad0–0Real Betis

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Real Betis	Real Sociedad	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	3.01
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	58%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	57%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Real Betis	Real Sociedad	Forecast
Scored per game	1.80	1.60
Conceded per game	1.60	1.90
Match goals	3.40	3.50	3.01
Over 1.5	100%	80%
Over 2.5	70%	50%	58%
Over 3.5	40%	50%
Both teams scored	90%	70%	57%
Clean sheets	10%	10%
Failed to score	0%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Real Betis	Real Sociedad	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	9.67
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	5.83
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Real Betis	Real Sociedad	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	5.20
Corners conceded	4.10	4.00
Match total	8.10	9.20	9.67
Over 8.5	40% 4/10	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	20% 2/10	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	20% 2/10	20% 2/10
Cards
Cards	2.20	3.00
Opponent cards	2.10	2.60
Match total	4.30	5.60	5.83
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	90% 9/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos Spain · 42 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.79league 5.14

Red cards0.31league 0.29

Cards 5+60%league 57%

Fouls25.9league 28.7

Penalties0.26league 0.43

Home wins33%league 57%

Real Betis4 with this referee

Record2-1-1 Cards · opp.1.8 · 3.5 Pens for · against0 · 0

W12 May 26H · Elche2–13
W15 Feb 26A · Mallorca2–13
L31 Aug 25H · Athletic Club1–20
D25 May 24A · Real Madrid0–01

Real Sociedad4 with this referee

Record1-2-1 Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.5 Pens for · against2 · 1 Reds1

D7 Nov 25A · Elche1–13
D14 Apr 24H · Almeria2–23
L10 Feb 24H · Osasuna0–10
W11 Nov 23A · Almeria3–12

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.