Real Betis
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Real Betis were clear favourites.
Real Betis were the stronger side on L90 Strength (68 vs 37). Absences weigh more on Utrecht. Real Betis had 4.2 days of rest, Utrecht 4.3 and had to travel 1,851 km.
Away travel1,851 kmRest days4.2 · 4.3Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real Betis65%
Draw21%
Utrecht15%
Real Betis63%
Draw22%
Utrecht16%
Real Betis63%
Draw21%
Utrecht15%
Real Betis57%
Draw23%
Utrecht20%
Real Betis64%
Draw21%
Utrecht15%
Over 2.5 59%
Both score 54%
Likeliest score 2–0
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Sevilla)
No weather data yet
Referee · SerbiaNenad Minaković
- Cards per match 4.2
- Penalties per match 0.37
- Matches 19
Team strength
Real Betis
Utrecht
68
L90 StrengthIn forecast
37
72
Current StrengthIn forecast
34
79
AttackIn forecast
32
59
DefenceIn forecast
31
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisUtrecht
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Real BetisUtrecht
1.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.25
0.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.25
0.67
xGVia Att/Def
0.79
1.09
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.10
+0.83
Goals minus xGContext
-0.54
75%
Scored inContext
25%
75%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
8.75
ShotsContext
9.25
3.75
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.25
43%
On target shareContext
24%
4.50
Shots in the boxContext
5.25
51%
Box shareContext
56%
17%
ConversionContext
3%
3.50
OffsidesContext
1.67
11.00
Shots allowedContext
13.75
2.75
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.25
3.67
BlocksContext
4.25
2.25
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.25
82%
Save rateContext
81%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
42%
458
PassesContext
344
398
Accurate passesContext
268
87%
Pass accuracyContext
78%
6.89
Team ratingContext
6.72
13.00
FoulsContext
13.75
12.00
Fouls sufferedContext
12.00
2.75
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.25
1.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.30
0.70
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.60
1.21
xGVia Att/Def
1.05
0.83
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.39
+0.29
Goals minus xGContext
+0.25
80%
Scored inContext
80%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
12.90
ShotsContext
12.00
4.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.50
35%
On target shareContext
29%
7.40
Shots in the boxContext
7.90
58%
Box shareContext
63%
12%
ConversionContext
11%
2.00
OffsidesContext
1.60
10.90
Shots allowedContext
12.60
2.60
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.10
2.88
BlocksContext
4.50
2.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.60
77%
Save rateContext
71%
52%
PossessionIn forecast
46%
501
PassesContext
388
430
Accurate passesContext
311
86%
Pass accuracyContext
80%
6.96
Team ratingContext
6.78
9.90
FoulsContext
12.80
11.10
Fouls sufferedContext
9.40
2.10
Yellow cardsContext
1.40
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Real Betis
Rest4.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Utrecht
Rest4.3 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel1,851 km104 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Real Betis |
Utrecht |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Moderate · 20 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 4.2La Liga 2025-2026, 23 Nov | 4.3Eredivisie 2025-2026, 23 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,851 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 104 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 4 | 1 / 1 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 2.8 | 2.7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Real Betis
Confirmed XI
1Álvaro Vallés(G)
12R. Rodríguez
4Natan
3Diego Llorente
40Ángel Ortiz
14S. Amrabat
6Sergi Altimira
10A. Ezzalzouli
22Isco
7Antony
19C. Hernández
Utrecht
Confirmed XI
25M. Brouwer(G)
16S. El Karouani
24N. Viergever
3M. van der Hoorn
2S. Horemans
8C. Bozdoğan
27A. Engwanda
20D. de Wit
10Y. Cathline
91S. Haller
22Miguel Rodríguez
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Real Betis
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Utrecht
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.10 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Real Betis+1.5 pp
- Draw-0.9 pp
- Utrecht-0.7 pp
Home / Away this season
Real Betis · Home
2.00points per game · 2 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-0
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Utrecht · Away
0.00points per game · 2 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-2
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 1.50
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 1 this season
| Opponent | Real Betis | Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon | W 2–0 H | L 0–1 H |
| Points | 3 of 3 · 3.00 per game | 0 of 3 · 0.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Real Betis | Utrecht | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.50 | 0.25 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.50 | 1.25 | |
| Match goals | 2.00 | 1.50 | 3.07 |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 25% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 75% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 25% | 75% | |
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Real Betis | Utrecht | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.50 | 1.30 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.70 | 1.60 | |
| Match goals | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.07 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 50% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 40% | |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 10% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Real Betis | Utrecht | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 2.50 | 3.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.50 | 5.25 | |
| Match total | 6.00 | 8.25 | 9.08 |
| Over 8.5 | 25% 1/4 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/4 | 0% 0/4 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/4 | 0% 0/4 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.75 | 2.25 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.75 | 2.75 | |
| Match total | 4.50 | 5.00 | 4.26 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 4/4 | 75% 3/4 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 2/4 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Real Betis | Utrecht | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.44 | 3.67 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.11 | 4.78 | |
| Match total | 8.55 | 8.45 | 9.08 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 33% 3/9 | 11% 1/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 11% 1/9 | 11% 1/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.20 | 1.50 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 1.60 | |
| Match total | 4.20 | 3.10 | 4.26 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 10% 1/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Nenad Minaković Serbia · 19 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.00league 4.06
Red cards0.16league 0.16
Cards 5+37%league 41%
Fouls25.5league 24.7
Penalties0.37league 0.40
Home wins63%league 49%
Real BetisNo previous matches with this referee.
UtrechtNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Real Betis4 games · scored 6 · conceded 2
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
Utrecht4 games · scored 1 · conceded 5
0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
2
61-75
76-90
Real Betis10 games · scored 15 · conceded 7
1
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
5
2
31-45
2
46-60
4
1
61-75
1
1
76-90
Utrecht10 games · scored 13 · conceded 16
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
5
31-45
4
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
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