La Liga Gameweek 10 Sun, Oct 26 2025 · 15:15 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
2–1 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 3.60 – 1.03
  • K. Mbappé 22’
  • J. Bellingham 43’
  • 38’ Fermín López
  • 90+10’ Pedri
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Real Madrid beat Barcelona

Real Madrid entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Mbappé and Bellingham. Barcelona replied through a López goal. Barcelona played with ten men from the 90th minute after Pedri was sent off. Real Madrid finished with the higher xG (3.60 vs 1.03).

Real Madrid ✓46%
Draw26%
Barcelona28%

Model vs reality

Real Madrid goals
2
Model 1.62 · xG 3.60
Barcelona goals
1
Model 1.22 · xG 1.03
Total goals
3
Model 2.84 · xG 4.63
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchW. SzczęsnyBarcelona
9.2
  • RefereeCesar Soto Grado
  • VenueEstadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Table before kick-offReal Madrid 1st · Barcelona 2nd

Timeline

  1. VAR K. MbappéGoal Disallowed - offside
    12’
  2. K. Mbappé 1–0Assist J. Bellingham
    22’
  3. F. ValverdeYellow card · Tripping
    23’
  4. Fermín López 1–1Assist M. Rashford
    38’
  5. PedriYellow card · Holding
    42’
  6. J. Bellingham 2–1Assist Éder Militão
    43’
  7. Half time · 2–1
  8. ✕ K. MbappéMissed penalty
    52’
  9. D. HuijsenYellow card · Tripping
    57’
  10. ⇄ Brahim DíazFor A. Güler
    66’
  11. ⇄ Dani CarvajalFor F. Valverde
    72’
  12. ⇄ RodrygoFor Vinícius
    72’
  13. ⇄ R. AraujoFor Eric García
    74’
  14. ⇄ Marc CasadóFor Ferran Torres
    74’
  15. ⇄ R. BardghjiFor Pau Cubarsí
    84’
  16. ⇄ Gonzalo GarcíaFor J. Bellingham
    90’
  17. ⇄ Dani CeballosFor K. Mbappé
    90’
  18. ⇄ Gerard MartínFor Alejandro Balde
    90+7’
  19. Fermín LópezYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+9’
  20. PedriSecond yellow · Roughing
    90+10’
  21. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Real Madrid23 shots · 17 in box, 6 outside
Barcelona15 shots · 6 in box, 9 outside
Real MadridBarcelona
31% Possession 69%
3.60 Expected goals (xG) 1.03
2.61 Expected points (xPts) 0.29
23 Shots 15
10 Shots on target 6
6 Shots off target 5
7 Blocked shots 4
17 Shots inside the box 6
6 Shots outside the box 9
271 Passes 635
81% Pass accuracy 90%
11 Corners 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 9
11 Fouls 8
5 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
7.12 Team rating 6.77

Line-ups

Real Madrid 4-1-4-1

17.2 T. Courtois(G)
186.5 Álvaro Fernández 247.2 D. Huijsen 38.2 Éder Militão A 86.7 F. Valverde ↓72’
147.5 A. Tchouaméni
77.2 Vinícius ↓72’ 156.6 A. Güler ↓66’ 67.2 E. Camavinga 57.2 J. Bellingham A↓90’
107.0 K. Mbappé ↓90’
  • 1T. Courtois (G)7.2
  • 18Álvaro Fernández6.5
  • 24D. Huijsen7.2
  • 3Éder MilitãoA8.2
  • 8F. Valverde↓72’6.7
  • 14A. Tchouaméni7.5
  • 7Vinícius↓72’7.2
  • 15A. Güler↓66’6.6
  • 6E. Camavinga7.2
  • 5J. BellinghamA↓90’7.2
  • 10K. Mbappé↓90’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 21Brahim Díaz↑66’6.5
  • 2Dani Carvajal↑72’6.7
  • 19Dani Ceballos↑90’
  • 16Gonzalo García↑90’
  • 11Rodrygo↑72’6.5

Unused: A. Lunin, F. Mendy, Raúl Asencio, Fran García, T. Alexander-Arnold, Franco Mastantuono, Endrick

Barcelona 4-2-3-1

259.2★ W. Szczęsny(G)
36.3 Alejandro Balde ↓90’ 246.3 Eric García ↓74’ 56.2 Pau Cubarsí ↓84’ 235.9 J. Koundé
86.6 Pedri 216.6 F. de Jong
146.9 M. Rashford A 167.3 Fermín López 106.9 Lamine Yamal
76.0 Ferran Torres ↓74’
  • 25W. Szczęsny (G) ★9.2
  • 3Alejandro Balde↓90’6.3
  • 24Eric García↓74’6.3
  • 5Pau Cubarsí↓84’6.2
  • 23J. Koundé5.9
  • 8Pedri6.6
  • 21F. de Jong6.6
  • 14M. RashfordA6.9
  • 16Fermín López7.3
  • 10Lamine Yamal6.9
  • 7Ferran Torres↓74’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 4R. Araujo↑74’6.9
  • 18Gerard Martín↑90’
  • 17Marc Casadó↑74’6.7
  • 28R. Bardghji↑84’6.5

Unused: Eder Aller, D. Kochen, Xavi Espart, J. Torrents, Toni Fernández, Dro Fernández, Marc Bernal

Player stats

Top rated
W. SzczęsnyBarcelona9.2
2nd
Éder MilitãoReal Madrid8.2
3rd
A. TchouaméniReal Madrid7.5

Real Madrid

Barcelona

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.