La Liga Gameweek 15 Sun, Dec 7 2025 · 20:00 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
0–2 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.29 – 0.54
  • Fran García 64’
  • Álvaro Fernández 90+2’
  • 53’, 90+3’ W. Swedberg
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Celta Vigo beat Real Madrid

Real Madrid entered as clear favourites, but Celta Vigo won 2–0 through two Swedberg goals. Real Madrid played with ten men from the 64th minute after García was sent off. Celta Vigo won despite the lower xG; Real Madrid created the better chances (2.29 vs 0.54). On the chances created, Real Madrid deserved more: 2.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Real Madrid71%
Draw18%
Celta Vigo ✓11%

Model vs reality

Real Madrid goals
0
Model 2.27 · xG 2.29
Celta Vigo goals
2
Model 0.76 · xG 0.54
Total goals
2
Model 3.03 · xG 2.83
Score 0–2
1%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 58%
Both scored
No
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. TchouaméniReal Madrid
8.3
  • RefereeAlejandro Quintero Gonzalez
  • VenueEstadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Table before kick-offReal Madrid 2nd · Celta Vigo 14th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ A. RüdigerFor Éder Militão
    24’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ W. SwedbergFor Pablo Durán
    46’
  4. W. Swedberg 0–1Assist Bryan Zaragoza
    53’
  5. ⇄ RodrygoFor Raúl Asencio
    54’
  6. J. BellinghamYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    62’
  7. Fran GarcíaYellow card · Tripping
    63’
  8. Fran GarcíaSecond yellow · Tripping
    64’
  9. ⇄ Ferran JutglàFor Óscar Mingueza
    71’
  10. ⇄ Javi RuedaFor Bryan Zaragoza
    71’
  11. X. AlonsoYellow card
    73’
  12. ⇄ Gonzalo GarcíaFor A. Güler
    74’
  13. I. MoribaYellow card · Tripping
    83’
  14. ⇄ Fran BeltránFor Miguel Román
    84’
  15. ⇄ Iago AspasFor Borja Iglesias
    88’
  16. Álvaro FernándezYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+2’
  17. Álvaro FernándezSecond yellow · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+2’
  18. RodrygoYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+2’
  19. F. ValverdeYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+2’
  20. W. Swedberg 0–2Assist Iago Aspas
    90+3’
  21. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Real Madrid23 shots · 12 in box, 11 outside
Celta Vigo6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
Real MadridCelta Vigo
58% Possession 42%
2.29 Expected goals (xG) 0.54
2.47 Expected points (xPts) 0.37
23 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 4
12 Shots off target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
12 Shots inside the box 4
11 Shots outside the box 2
580 Passes 429
92% Pass accuracy 86%
8 Corners 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 1
6 Yellow cards 1
2 Red cards 0
6.74 Team rating 6.97

Line-ups

Real Madrid 4-4-2

16.2 T. Courtois(G)
205.6 Fran García 187.3 Álvaro Fernández 36.9 Éder Militão ↓24’ 176.2 Raúl Asencio ↓54’
55.9 J. Bellingham 148.3★ A. Tchouaméni 156.7 A. Güler ↓74’ 87.0 F. Valverde
76.9 Vinícius 107.2 K. Mbappé
  • 1T. Courtois (G)6.2
  • 20Fran García5.6
  • 18Álvaro Fernández7.3
  • 3Éder Militão↓24’6.9
  • 17Raúl Asencio↓54’6.2
  • 5J. Bellingham5.9
  • 14A. Tchouaméni ★8.3
  • 15A. Güler↓74’6.7
  • 8F. Valverde7.0
  • 7Vinícius6.9
  • 10K. Mbappé7.2

Substitutes used

  • 22A. Rüdiger↑24’6.2
  • 11Rodrygo↑54’6.6
  • 16Gonzalo García↑74’6.7

Unused: A. Lunin, Sergio Mestre, Joan Martínez, Franco Mastantuono, E. Camavinga, Brahim Díaz, Dani Ceballos, Endrick

Celta Vigo 3-4-2-1

138.2 I. Radu(G)
207.0 Marcos Alonso 27.0 C. Starfelt 327.0 Javi Rodríguez
36.7 Óscar Mingueza ↓71’ 66.3 I. Moriba 166.9 Miguel Román ↓84’ 57.2 Sergio Carreira
156.9 Bryan Zaragoza A↓71’ 186.6 Pablo Durán ↓46’
76.7 Borja Iglesias ↓88’
  • 13I. Radu (G)8.2
  • 20Marcos Alonso7.0
  • 2C. Starfelt7.0
  • 32Javi Rodríguez7.0
  • 3Óscar Mingueza↓71’6.7
  • 6I. Moriba6.3
  • 16Miguel Román↓84’6.9
  • 5Sergio Carreira7.2
  • 15Bryan ZaragozaA↓71’6.9
  • 18Pablo Durán↓46’6.6
  • 7Borja Iglesias↓88’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 19W. Swedberg↑46’7.3
  • 17Javi Rueda↑71’6.6
  • 9Ferran Jutglà↑71’6.2
  • 8Fran Beltrán↑84’6.7
  • 10Iago AspasA↑88’

Unused: Iván Villar, Manu Fernández, Carlos Domínguez, Yoel Lago, Damián Rodríguez, Jones El-Abdellaoui, Hugo Álvarez

Player stats

Top rated
A. TchouaméniReal Madrid8.3
2nd
I. RaduCelta Vigo8.2
3rd
Álvaro FernándezReal Madrid7.3

Real Madrid

Celta Vigo

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.