La Liga Gameweek 3 Sat, Aug 30 2025 · 20:30 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
2–1 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 1.71 – 0.66
  • A. Güler 37’
  • Vinícius 38’
  • 18’ V. Muriqi
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Real Madrid come from behind to beat Mallorca

Real Madrid entered as clear favourites, yet Mallorca led 1–0 after 18 minutes through a Muriqi goal. But Güler and Vinícius scored to turn it around for Real Madrid, who won 2–1. Real Madrid finished with the higher xG (1.71 vs 0.66).

Real Madrid ✓76%
Draw16%
Mallorca8%

Model vs reality

Real Madrid goals
2
Model 2.42 · xG 1.71
Mallorca goals
1
Model 0.67 · xG 0.66
Total goals
3
Model 3.09 · xG 2.37
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 60%
Both scored
Yes
Model 45%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchViníciusReal Madrid · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeJose Maria Sanchez Martinez
  • Coaches— · Arrasate
  • VenueEstadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Table before kick-offReal Madrid 3rd · Mallorca 18th

Timeline

  1. VAR K. MbappéGoal Disallowed - offside
    7’
  2. V. Muriqi 0–1Assist Pablo Torre
    18’
  3. A. Güler 1–1Assist D. Huijsen
    37’
  4. Vinícius 2–1Assist F. Valverde
    38’
  5. VAR K. MbappéGoal Disallowed - offside
    45+1’
  6. Half time · 2–1
  7. VAR A. GülerGoal Disallowed - handball
    55’
  8. ⇄ Samú CostaFor Pablo Torre
    64’
  9. ⇄ Brahim DíazFor Franco Mastantuono
    67’
  10. D. HuijsenYellow card · Holding
    68’
  11. ⇄ Dani CeballosFor A. Güler
    71’
  12. ⇄ RodrygoFor Vinícius
    72’
  13. ⇄ Dani CarvajalFor T. Alexander-Arnold
    72’
  14. ⇄ J. MojicaFor Toni Lato
    79’
  15. ⇄ Antonio SánchezFor Mateu Morey
    79’
  16. ⇄ T. AsanoFor Mateo Joseph
    87’
  17. ⇄ J. VirgiliFor Manu Morlanes
    87’
  18. Éder MilitãoYellow card · Tripping
    90’
  19. ⇄ Gonzalo GarcíaFor K. Mbappé
    90+5’
  20. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Real Madrid17 shots · 7 in box, 10 outside
Mallorca9 shots · 8 in box, 1 outside
Real MadridMallorca
58% Possession 42%
1.71 Expected goals (xG) 0.66
2.11 Expected points (xPts) 0.65
17 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
6 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
7 Shots inside the box 8
10 Shots outside the box 1
536 Passes 382
89% Pass accuracy 79%
4 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 6
3 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.20 Team rating 6.56

Line-ups

Real Madrid 4-2-3-1

16.7 T. Courtois(G)
187.3 Álvaro Fernández 248.0 D. Huijsen A 37.2 Éder Militão 127.7 T. Alexander-Arnold ↓72’
147.0 A. Tchouaméni 87.3 F. Valverde A
78.3★ Vinícius ↓72’ 157.5 A. Güler ↓71’ 306.3 Franco Mastantuono ↓67’
106.7 K. Mbappé ↓90’
  • 1T. Courtois (G)6.7
  • 18Álvaro Fernández7.3
  • 24D. HuijsenA8.0
  • 3Éder Militão7.2
  • 12T. Alexander-Arnold↓72’7.7
  • 14A. Tchouaméni7.0
  • 8F. ValverdeA7.3
  • 7Vinícius ★↓72’8.3
  • 15A. Güler↓71’7.5
  • 30Franco Mastantuono↓67’6.3
  • 10K. Mbappé↓90’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 2Dani Carvajal↑72’6.6
  • 19Dani Ceballos↑71’6.6
  • 21Brahim Díaz↑67’6.2
  • 11Rodrygo↑72’6.3
  • 16Gonzalo García↑90’

Unused: Sergio Mestre, A. Lunin, D. Alaba, Raúl Asencio, Fran García, A. Rüdiger, Thiago Pitarch

Mallorca 5-3-2

16.3 Leo Román(G)
36.2 Toni Lato ↓79’ 46.5 M. Kumbulla 216.9 Raíllo 246.6 M. Valjent 26.2 Mateu Morey ↓79’
206.9 Pablo Torre A↓64’ 86.9 Manu Morlanes ↓87’ 107.0 Darder
77.3 V. Muriqi 185.3 Mateo Joseph ↓87’
  • 1Leo Román (G)6.3
  • 3Toni Lato↓79’6.2
  • 4M. Kumbulla6.5
  • 21Raíllo6.9
  • 24M. Valjent6.6
  • 2Mateu Morey↓79’6.2
  • 20Pablo TorreA↓64’6.9
  • 8Manu Morlanes↓87’6.9
  • 10Darder7.0
  • 7V. Muriqi7.3
  • 18Mateo Joseph↓87’5.3

Substitutes used

  • 22J. Mojica↑79’6.6
  • 29J. Virgili↑87’6.7
  • 6Antonio Sánchez↑79’6.7
  • 12Samú Costa↑64’6.7
  • 11T. Asano↑87’6.3

Unused: L. Bergström, David López, Dani Rodríguez, Javi Llabrés, Omar Mascarell, Marc Domenech, Abdón Prats

Coach: Arrasate

Player stats

Top rated
ViníciusReal Madrid8.3
2nd
D. HuijsenReal Madrid8.0
3rd
T. Alexander-ArnoldReal Madrid7.7

Real Madrid

Mallorca

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.