La Liga Gameweek 22 Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 13:00 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.14 – 0.96
  • Vinícius 15’
  • K. Mbappé 90+10’ (P)
  • 49’ Jorge de Frutos
  • 80’ P. Ciss
  • 90+13’ Pep Chavarría
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Mbappé’s late goal settles it for Real Madrid

Real Madrid entered as clear favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Vinícius and Mbappé. Rayo Vallecano replied through a de Frutos goal. Rayo Vallecano played with ten men from the 80th minute after Ciss was sent off. Real Madrid finished with the higher xG (2.14 vs 0.96).

Real Madrid ✓76%
Draw15%
Rayo Vallecano9%

Model vs reality

Real Madrid goals
2
Model 2.64 · xG 2.14
Rayo Vallecano goals
1
Model 0.80 · xG 0.96
Total goals
3
Model 3.45 · xG 3.10
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 67%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchViníciusReal Madrid · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeIsidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos
  • VenueEstadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Table before kick-offReal Madrid 2nd · Rayo Vallecano 16th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ Brahim DíazFor J. Bellingham
    10’
  2. Vinícius 1–0Assist Brahim Díaz
    15’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ Dani CeballosFor Raúl Asencio
    46’
  5. Jorge de Frutos 1–1Assist Álvaro García
    49’
  6. Gerard GumbauYellow card · Roughing
    53’
  7. ⇄ Óscar ValentínFor Gerard Gumbau
    56’
  8. ⇄ Pedro DíazFor Jorge de Frutos
    56’
  9. Pep ChavarríaYellow card
    57’
  10. ⇄ Gonzalo GarcíaFor Franco Mastantuono
    60’
  11. Isi PalazónYellow card · Foul
    65’
  12. Dani CeballosYellow card · Foul
    69’
  13. Óscar ValentínYellow card · Tripping
    72’
  14. ⇄ D. AlabaFor D. Huijsen
    77’
  15. ⇄ RodrygoFor A. Güler
    77’
  16. ⇄ A. EspinoFor Álvaro García
    77’
  17. P. CissRed card · Serious foul
    80’
  18. A. BatallaYellow card · Delay of game
    83’
  19. ⇄ Luiz FelipeFor Isi Palazón
    83’
  20. I. AkhomachYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    83’
  21. ViníciusYellow card
    83’
  22. ⇄ Carlos MartínFor I. Akhomach
    84’
  23. A. EspinoYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+9’
  24. K. Mbappé (pen) 2–1
    90+10’
  25. Pep ChavarríaSecond yellow · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+13’
  26. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Real Madrid16 shots · 12 in box, 4 outside
Rayo Vallecano11 shots · 4 in box, 7 outside
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
57% Possession 43%
2.14 Expected goals (xG) 0.96
2.13 Expected points (xPts) 0.67
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
12 Shots inside the box 4
4 Shots outside the box 7
580 Passes 441
89% Pass accuracy 88%
9 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 2
7.19 Team rating 6.52

Line-ups

Real Madrid 4-4-2

16.9 T. Courtois(G)
67.3 E. Camavinga 246.6 D. Huijsen ↓77’ 176.9 Raúl Asencio ↓46’ 88.0 F. Valverde
56.7 J. Bellingham ↓10’ 146.9 A. Tchouaméni 157.5 A. Güler ↓77’ 306.7 Franco Mastantuono ↓60’
78.2★ Vinícius 106.6 K. Mbappé
  • 1T. Courtois (G)6.9
  • 6E. Camavinga7.3
  • 24D. Huijsen↓77’6.6
  • 17Raúl Asencio↓46’6.9
  • 8F. Valverde8.0
  • 5J. Bellingham↓10’6.7
  • 14A. Tchouaméni6.9
  • 15A. Güler↓77’7.5
  • 30Franco Mastantuono↓60’6.7
  • 7Vinícius ★8.2
  • 10K. Mbappé6.6

Substitutes used

  • 21Brahim DíazA↑10’7.3
  • 19Dani Ceballos↑46’7.5
  • 16Gonzalo García↑60’6.7
  • 4D. Alaba↑77’6.7
  • 11Rodrygo↑77’6.9

Unused: A. Lunin, Fran González, Álvaro Fernández, Fran García, Dani Carvajal

Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1

136.0 A. Batalla(G)
36.9 Pep Chavarría 326.7 N. Mendy 247.0 F. Lejeune 26.3 A. Rațiu
156.3 Gerard Gumbau ↓56’ 66.0 P. Ciss
186.6 Álvaro García A↓77’ 75.9 Isi Palazón ↓83’ 126.9 I. Akhomach ↓84’
197.3 Jorge de Frutos ↓56’
  • 13A. Batalla (G)6.0
  • 3Pep Chavarría6.9
  • 32N. Mendy6.7
  • 24F. Lejeune7.0
  • 2A. Rațiu6.3
  • 15Gerard Gumbau↓56’6.3
  • 6P. Ciss6.0
  • 18Álvaro GarcíaA↓77’6.6
  • 7Isi Palazón↓83’5.9
  • 12I. Akhomach↓84’6.9
  • 19Jorge de Frutos↓56’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 4Pedro Díaz↑56’6.7
  • 23Óscar Valentín↑56’6.5
  • 22A. Espino↑77’6.2
  • 5Luiz Felipe↑83’6.2
  • 14Carlos Martín↑84’6.5

Unused: Dani Cárdenas, I. Balliu, Fran Pérez, Ó. Trejo, Alemão, Sergio Camello, R. Nteka

Player stats

Top rated
ViníciusReal Madrid8.2
2nd
F. ValverdeReal Madrid8.0
3rd
A. GülerReal Madrid7.5

Real Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.