La Liga Gameweek 8 Sun, Oct 5 2025 · 17:30 Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.56 – 0.78
  • 84’ A. Espino
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Espino goal decides it for Rayo Vallecano

Real Sociedad entered as narrow favourites, but Rayo Vallecano won 1–0 through a Espino goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.56 and 0.78. On the chances created, Real Sociedad deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Real Sociedad42%
Draw27%
Rayo Vallecano ✓31%

Model vs reality

Real Sociedad goals
0
Model 1.44 · xG 0.56
Rayo Vallecano goals
1
Model 1.19 · xG 0.78
Total goals
1
Model 2.63 · xG 1.34
Score 0–1
8%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 49%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchF. LejeuneRayo Vallecano
7.3
  • RefereeJose Luis Guzman Mansilla
  • VenueReale Arena
  • Table before kick-offReal Sociedad 19th · Rayo Vallecano 17th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ Fran PérezFor Álvaro García
    46’
  3. Carlos SolerYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    60’
  4. ⇄ T. KuboFor Carlos Soler
    61’
  5. ⇄ L. SučićFor Gonçalo Guedes
    61’
  6. Isi PalazónYellow card · Holding
    62’
  7. ⇄ Pedro DíazFor Isi Palazón
    65’
  8. ⇄ Jozhua VertrouwdFor P. Ciss
    71’
  9. ⇄ A. EspinoFor Alemão
    77’
  10. ⇄ R. NtekaFor Jorge de Frutos
    77’
  11. ⇄ Jon KarrikaburuFor Barrenetxea
    80’
  12. ⇄ Pablo MarínFor Brais Méndez
    80’
  13. A. Espino 0–1Assist A. Rațiu
    84’
  14. F. LejeuneYellow card · Roughing
    90+2’
  15. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Real Sociedad9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
Rayo Vallecano7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
Real SociedadRayo Vallecano
51% Possession 49%
0.56 Expected goals (xG) 0.78
1.10 Expected points (xPts) 1.51
9 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
1 Shots off target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
6 Shots inside the box 5
3 Shots outside the box 2
417 Passes 410
81% Pass accuracy 80%
7 Corners 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Fouls 20
0 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.79 Team rating 6.73

Line-ups

Real Sociedad 4-1-4-1

16.9 Álex Remiro(G)
176.9 Sergio Gómez 166.3 D. Ćaleta-Car 57.2 Zubeldia 26.3 J. Aramburu
46.9 Jon Gorrotxategi
77.2 Barrenetxea ↓80’ 186.7 Carlos Soler ↓61’ 237.2 Brais Méndez ↓80’ 116.6 Gonçalo Guedes ↓61’
106.6 Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 1Álex Remiro (G)6.9
  • 17Sergio Gómez6.9
  • 16D. Ćaleta-Car6.3
  • 5Zubeldia7.2
  • 2J. Aramburu6.3
  • 4Jon Gorrotxategi6.9
  • 7Barrenetxea↓80’7.2
  • 18Carlos Soler↓61’6.7
  • 23Brais Méndez↓80’7.2
  • 11Gonçalo Guedes↓61’6.6
  • 10Mikel Oyarzabal6.6

Substitutes used

  • 28Pablo Marín↑80’6.6
  • 24L. Sučić↑61’6.5
  • 14T. Kubo↑61’6.9
  • 19Jon Karrikaburu↑80’6.7

Unused: Unai Marrero, Aihen Muñoz, Luken Beitia, Odriozola, Mikel Goti, A. Zakharyan, Beñat Turrientes, U. Sadiq

Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1

137.0 A. Batalla(G)
37.0 Pep Chavarría 247.3★ F. Lejeune 66.9 P. Ciss ↓71’ 27.0 A. Rațiu A
236.3 Óscar Valentín 176.9 Unai López
186.3 Álvaro García ↓46’ 76.3 Isi Palazón ↓65’ 196.6 Jorge de Frutos ↓77’
96.2 Alemão ↓77’
  • 13A. Batalla (G)7.0
  • 3Pep Chavarría7.0
  • 24F. Lejeune ★7.3
  • 6P. Ciss↓71’6.9
  • 2A. RațiuA7.0
  • 23Óscar Valentín6.3
  • 17Unai López6.9
  • 18Álvaro García↓46’6.3
  • 7Isi Palazón↓65’6.3
  • 19Jorge de Frutos↓77’6.6
  • 9Alemão↓77’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 21Fran Pérez↑46’6.7
  • 22A. Espino↑77’7.3
  • 33Jozhua Vertrouwd↑71’6.3
  • 4Pedro Díaz↑65’6.5
  • 11R. Nteka↑77’6.3

Unused: Dani Cárdenas, I. Balliu, N. Mendy, Ó. Trejo, Samu Becerra, Gerard Gumbau

Player stats

Top rated
F. LejeuneRayo Vallecano7.3
2nd
ZubeldiaReal Sociedad7.2
3rd
BarrenetxeaReal Sociedad7.2

Real Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.